Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 8, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Heerenveen
Fortuna Sittard 		44.8%
30.0%		25.2%
+134
+180

1.54
1.21		2.75
o2¾-118
u2¾-102

Sparta Rotterdam
Zwolle 		36.5%
37.9%		25.5%
+159
+154

1.36
1.39		2.75
o3+100
u3-120

Games for Nov 7, 2025
Games for Nov 9, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
AZ Alkmaar
RKC Waalwijk		80.6%
6.6%		12.8%
-155
+425
-165
+410
3
1		-0.53091-0.52379-0.21552
Zwolle
Twente		26.5%
49.6%		23.9%
+605
-245
+610
-250
1
3		-0.39109-0.38825-0.70152
Feyenoord
Sparta Rotterdam		61.1%
18.3%		20.6%
-150
+390
-150
+375
2
2		-1.46716-1.47333-1.58061
Heerenveen
Utrecht		28.8%
46.2%		25.0%
+315
-118
+320
-125
2
0		-1.46885-1.48709-1.24570
PSV Eindhoven
Vitesse		45.1%
29.8%		25.1%
-155
+420
-150
+385
3
1		-0.53537-0.56256-0.79596
Fortuna Sittard
Feyenoord		11.4%
72.2%		16.4%
+1400
-570
+1320
-540
0
0		-2.06443-2.04957-1.81021
Sparta Rotterdam
Zwolle		36.5%
37.9%		25.5%
+165
+160
+160
+160
2
1		-1.01730-1.00518-1.00810
Heracles Almelo
Ajax		5.6%
82.9%		11.4%
+945
-385
+900
-475
1
4		-0.26276-0.24315-0.18694
RKC Waalwijk
Heerenveen		13.3%
68.0%		18.7%
+430
-170
+435
-170
1
3		-0.50969-0.51316-0.38535
Utrecht
PSV Eindhoven		18.3%
61.4%		20.3%
+800
-333
+650
-300
0
2		-0.30448-0.34053-0.48789
Sparta Rotterdam
Twente		29.6%
45.8%		24.6%
+705
-250
+650
-260
0
1		-0.37818-0.37395-0.78062
Twente
Sparta Rotterdam		36.6%
37.2%		26.2%
-110
+315
-115
+320
1
1		-1.32261-1.33044-1.34128
Utrecht
Sparta Rotterdam		46.3%
29.2%		24.4%
+140
+197
+150
+180
4
5		-1.12849-1.07960-1.22980
Heerenveen
Twente		36.5%
36.6%		26.8%
+635
-260
+615
-260
0
4		-0.37477-0.37494-1.00392
Sparta Rotterdam
Utrecht		22.2%
55.7%		22.1%
+320
-105
+305
-115
2
1		-1.47443-1.44949-1.50544
Twente
Heerenveen		29.2%
45.6%		25.2%
-105
+285
-120
+320
2
1		-0.71037-0.65514-1.23128
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Ajax (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2AZ Alkmaar (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.00.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Feyenoord (14-3-8, 50 pts)14.03.08.050.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4PSV Eindhoven (14-5-7, 49 pts)14.05.07.049.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
5Willem II (13-8-5, 44 pts)13.08.05.044.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
6Utrecht (12-8-5, 41 pts)12.08.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Vitesse (12-9-5, 41 pts)12.09.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Heracles Almelo (10-10-6, 36 pts)10.010.06.036.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Groningen (10-11-5, 35 pts)10.011.05.035.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Heerenveen (8-9-9, 33 pts)8.09.09.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Sparta Rotterdam (9-11-6, 33 pts)9.011.06.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Emmen (9-12-5, 32 pts)9.012.05.032.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13VVV-Venlo (8-14-4, 28 pts)8.014.04.028.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Twente (7-13-6, 27 pts)7.013.06.027.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Zwolle (7-14-5, 26 pts)7.014.05.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Fortuna Sittard (6-12-8, 26 pts)6.012.08.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17ADO Den Haag (4-15-7, 19 pts)4.015.07.019.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18RKC Waalwijk (4-19-3, 15 pts)4.019.03.015.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.