NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Atlanta Falcons
New England Patriots
42.5%
57.5%
+200
-230
+210
-240
+5½-110
-5-112
+5½-110
-5-108
23
24
-0.39087-0.37637-0.55354
San Francisco 49ers
New York Giants
62.8%
37.2%
-132
+115
-132
+125
-2½-104
+2-105
-2-110
+2½+100
34
24
-0.59746-0.57725-0.46572
Chicago Bears
Cincinnati Bengals
63.4%
36.6%
-155
+135
-152
+135
-3-105
+3-115
-2½-120
+3-110
47
42
-0.53067-0.53386-0.45547
Baltimore Ravens
Miami Dolphins
64.1%
35.9%
-410
+324
-400
+350
-7½-110
+7½-105
-7½-110
+7½+100
28
6
-0.25726-0.24512-0.44466
Washington Football Team
Kansas City Chiefs
11.8%
88.2%
+400
-515
+475
-500
+9½-105
-10½+100
+10-105
-10+100
7
28
-0.21417-0.18954-0.12520
Green Bay Packers
Pittsburgh Steelers
49.9%
50.1%
-145
+125
-140
+125
-2½-120
+2½+100
-2½-110
+2½+105
35
25
-0.56016-0.56639-0.69577
Dallas Cowboys
Denver Broncos
49.4%
50.6%
+185
-210
+190
-190
+4-105
-4-115
+4½+100
-3½-110
24
44
-0.41737-0.42286-0.68195
Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts
43.3%
56.7%
+874
-950
+900
-1300
+15-108
-14½-110
+15½-110
-15-108
14
38
-0.10748-0.10228-0.56752
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New Orleans Saints
41.2%
58.8%
-185
+177
-190
+180
-3½-110
+3½-106
-3½-105
+3½-104
23
3
-0.44222-0.43510-0.88617
Cleveland Browns
New England Patriots
47.4%
52.6%
+280
-310
+300
-300
+7-115
-7+100
+7-110
-6½-110
13
32
-0.29866-0.28768-0.64289
New York Giants
Philadelphia Eagles
36.8%
63.2%
+296
-360
+310
-340
+7-105
-7½+100
+7+100
-7½+105
20
38
-0.27966-0.27432-0.45925
Buffalo Bills
Carolina Panthers
70.9%
29.1%
-350
+316
-350
+315
-7-115
+7-105
-7-110
+7+100
40
9
-0.26931-0.26988-0.34449
Miami Dolphins
Atlanta Falcons
49.7%
50.3%
+263
-310
+320
-320
+6½+100
-7+100
+7-110
-7+100
34
10
-1.32032-1.43506-0.69876
Chicago Bears
Baltimore Ravens
22.1%
77.9%
+122
-140
+130
-145
+2½-104
-2½-115
+3-115
-2½-110
16
30
-0.57222-0.55080-0.24981
San Francisco 49ers
Houston Texans
56.9%
43.1%
+145
-165
+150
-155
+3+100
-3-115
+3+100
-3-110
15
26
-0.50411-0.50566-0.84206
New York Jets
Cincinnati Bengals
37.9%
62.1%
+210
-240
+225
-250
+5+100
-5½-105
+6-110
-5-108
39
38
-1.15948-1.20041-0.96938
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.