NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Baltimore Ravens
Kansas City Chiefs
33.6%
66.4%
-140
+125
-145
+125
-2½-115
+2½+100
-2½-110
+3-120
20
37
-0.83833-0.84658-0.40889
Chicago Bears
Las Vegas Raiders
43.8%
56.2%
+125
-140
+125
-134
+2½-105
-2½-105
+2½-108
-2-110
25
24
-0.83833-0.82789-0.82503
Indianapolis Colts
Los Angeles Rams
43.9%
56.1%
+161
-185
+170
-185
+3½-115
-3½-104
+3½-110
-3½+100
20
27
-0.46389-0.45144-0.57827
Jacksonville Jaguars
San Francisco 49ers
15.5%
84.5%
+145
-165
+145
-160
+3-110
-3-110
+3-108
-3-105
26
21
-0.92644-0.91937-1.86343
Los Angeles Chargers
New York Giants
51.1%
48.9%
-260
+219
-260
+260
-5½-108
+5½-110
-5½-108
+6-110
18
21
-1.19511-1.28093-0.71539
Tennessee Titans
Houston Texans
67.2%
32.8%
+316
-400
+335
-375
+7½-115
-7-115
+7½-110
-7-115
0
26
-0.26273-0.25556-1.11386
Cleveland Browns
Detroit Lions
61.4%
38.6%
+446
-585
+475
-590
+10-104
-10½-105
+10½-110
-10-108
10
34
-0.19430-0.18514-0.95200
Washington Football Team
Atlanta Falcons
36.8%
63.2%
+145
-165
+140
-150
+3-115
-3-105
+3-110
-2½-115
27
34
-0.50411-0.52736-0.45844
Carolina Panthers
New England Patriots
36.2%
63.8%
+200
-230
+215
-240
+5½-107
-5-115
+5½-110
-5-108
13
42
-0.39087-0.37138-0.44992
New Orleans Saints
Buffalo Bills
52.3%
47.7%
+874
-1200
+950
-1100
+14½-115
-14½-105
+14½-110
-14-108
19
31
-0.10546-0.09885-0.74047
Philadelphia Eagles
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
18.4%
81.6%
-180
+165
-190
+180
-3½-105
+3½-115
-3½-105
+3½-108
31
25
-0.46185-0.43510-1.69527
Minnesota Vikings
Pittsburgh Steelers
32.6%
67.4%
-140
+130
-150
+130
-2½-110
+2½+100
-2½-110
+2½+102
21
24
-0.85085-0.86710-0.39481
Seattle Seahawks
Arizona Cardinals
57.6%
42.4%
-120
+102
-120
+110
-1-110
+1-106
-1-104
+1½-110
23
20
-0.64584-0.62755-0.55229
Detroit Lions
Baltimore Ravens
15.2%
84.8%
+205
-240
+215
-235
+4½+102
-4½-110
+5-110
-4-110
38
30
-1.14832-1.16616-1.88322
Kansas City Chiefs
New York Giants
86.0%
14.0%
-285
+241
-290
+260
-5½-115
+6-110
-6-105
+6-105
22
9
-0.33373-0.31741-0.15072
Arizona Cardinals
San Francisco 49ers
48.6%
51.4%
+105
-124
+115
-120
+1½-105
-1½-110
+2-110
-1-108
15
16
-0.63190-0.61667-0.66495
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.