NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Los Angeles Chargers (7-9)
Pittsburgh Steelers (12-4)
Unknown
Unknown
20.7%
79.3%
+139
-150
+141
-145
+3-113
-3-105
+3-113
-2½-110
13.9
24.6
38.5
o34½-110
u34½-110
o35-110
u35½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Chicago Bears (8-8)
Indianapolis Colts (11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
28.6%
71.4%
+103
-120
+107
-115
+1-110
-1-110
+1½-110
-1-108
15.7
22.5
38.2
o44-105
u43½-105
o43½-110
u43½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Houston Texans (4-12)
Minnesota Vikings (7-9)
Unknown
Unknown
34.5%
65.5%
-119
+105
-125
+120
-1-112
+1½-110
-1½-108
+2-110
21.2
25.4
46.6
o46-113
u46-105
o46-110
u46-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
New York Giants (6-10)
Cleveland Browns (11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
27.2%
72.8%
+250
-285
+250
-285
+6½-110
-6½-110
+6½-108
-6½-108
21.3
28.4
49.7
o38½-110
u38-105
o38½-110
u39-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Philadelphia Eagles (4-11-1)
New Orleans Saints (12-4)
Unknown
Unknown
16.4%
83.6%
+130
-145
+131
-150
+2½+100
-2½-118
+3-110
-2½-120
17.7
31.5
49.2
o49½-105
u49-105
o49½-110
u49½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Denver Broncos (5-11)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
14.3%
85.7%
+236
-275
+260
-280
+6-105
-6-110
+6½-110
-6-108
15.2
30.7
45.9
o41-110
u41-110
o41-110
u41-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Green Bay Packers (13-3)
Tennessee Titans (11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
55.0%
45.0%
+130
-148
+130
-145
+2½+100
-2½-120
+2½+104
-2½-110
23.2
21.2
44.4
o38½-110
u38½-105
o37½-110
u38-110
Carolina Panthers (5-11)
Las Vegas Raiders (8-8)
Unknown
Unknown
38.1%
61.9%
+215
-255
+225
-255
+6-110
-5½-115
+6-108
-5½-110
23.4
26.6
50.0
o40-110
u40-110
o40-110
u40-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Miami Dolphins (10-6)
Seattle Seahawks (12-4)
Unknown
Unknown
29.3%
70.7%
+180
-210
+190
-215
+4-105
-4½-106
+4½-108
-4½-108
23.3
30.1
53.4
o41½-110
u41½+100
o41½-110
u42-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Detroit Lions (5-11)
Arizona Cardinals (8-8)
Unknown
Unknown
25.9%
74.1%
-150
+135
-145
+130
-3+100
+2½+105
-2½-110
+3-115
20.7
28.0
48.7
o51½-110
u51½-110
o51½-110
u52-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Baltimore Ravens (11-5)
Dallas Cowboys (6-10)
Unknown
Unknown
75.7%
24.3%
-115
-105
-115
+100
+1-115
+1-110
-1-108
+1-108
28.3
20.4
48.7
o47-115
u48-116
o47½-110
u47½-110
San Francisco 49ers (6-10)
Los Angeles Rams (10-6)
Unknown
Unknown
32.5%
67.5%
-285
+255
-280
+260
-6½-110
+6½-110
-6½-108
+7-120
24.1
28.9
53.0
o43-115
u43½-110
o43-110
u44-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Kansas City Chiefs (14-2)
Atlanta Falcons (4-12)
Unknown
Unknown
77.8%
22.2%
-165
+145
-163
+145
-3-110
+3-105
-3-108
+3-108
33.0
23.4
56.4
o46½-105
u46½-110
o46½-110
u46½-110
Games for Sep 21, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Los Angeles Chargers
Denver Broncos
50.6%
49.4%
+235
-130
+240
-275
+5-110
-2-109
+6½-110
-6½-110
28
31
-0.42405-0.33724-0.70591
Arizona Cardinals
San Francisco 49ers
48.6%
51.4%
+790
-1000
+930
-1100
+14½-110
-14-109
+14+100
-14-110
13
38
-0.11653-0.10067-0.66495
New York Giants
Philadelphia Eagles
36.8%
63.2%
+925
-890
+1080
-1600
+17-110
-14-109
+17-110
-17-105
16
22
-0.10303-0.08622-0.45925
Los Angeles Rams
Seattle Seahawks
40.1%
59.9%
+245
-220
+230
-240
+6½-109
-4½-110
+5-110
-4½-110
16
19
-0.35179-0.35718-0.51254
Minnesota Vikings
Chicago Bears
47.6%
52.4%
-275
+275
-260
+245
-7+110
+7½-109
-6½-110
+6½-110
29
13
-0.31016-0.33743-0.74185
Baltimore Ravens
Cincinnati Bengals
83.0%
17.0%
+545
-650
+585
-650
+12-110
-7½+106
+11½-110
-11-110
16
27
-0.16458-0.15567-1.77449
New England Patriots
Buffalo Bills
27.2%
72.8%
+330
-340
+340
-400
+9½-120
-7½-109
+8-110
-7½-110
23
35
-0.26311-0.25005-0.31700
Carolina Panthers
New Orleans Saints
16.2%
83.8%
+165
-180
+170
-180
+3½-114
-3½-102
+4-110
-3½-105
10
7
-0.99458-1.00641-1.82065
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Atlanta Falcons
69.1%
30.9%
+215
-210
+232
-240
+6-110
-4-109
+6-110
-5½-110
17
30
-0.38433-0.35536-1.17441
Houston Texans
Indianapolis Colts
23.0%
77.0%
+135
-145
+130
-143
+3-115
-2½-114
+3-110
-2½-115
32
31
-0.87165-0.85590-1.46811
Cleveland Browns
Pittsburgh Steelers
30.0%
70.0%
+135
-140
+135
-150
+3-119
-2½-115
+3-119
-2½-110
14
28
-0.54782-0.53604-0.35716
New York Jets
Miami Dolphins
18.2%
81.8%
+183
+100
+200
-210
+3½-110
+1-109
+4-110
-3½-110
6
11
-0.53457-0.40015-0.20119
Tennessee Titans
Jacksonville Jaguars
84.4%
15.6%
+230
-250
+240
-250
+6-109
-7+120
+6½-110
-5½-110
16
20
-0.35364-0.34485-1.85957
Kansas City Chiefs
Las Vegas Raiders
77.8%
22.2%
-400
+350
-400
+350
-8-104
+9½-109
-8½-110
+8½-110
31
13
-0.24512-0.24512-0.25145
Washington Football Team
Philadelphia Eagles
42.6%
57.4%
+435
-525
+415
-500
+11-109
-10½-110
+11-110
-11-110
32
21
-1.70364-1.66617-0.85224
Los Angeles Chargers
San Francisco 49ers
33.2%
66.8%
+315
-370
+315
-355
+8-110
-10+115
+8-110
-8-110
16
22
-0.26703-0.26914-0.40344
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks168-8 (0.500)0-0.78021 
Sportsbooks168-7 (0.531)1-0.77730 
DRatings1610-6 (0.625)0-0.68033
0.09988
0.09697

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.