NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Baltimore Ravens
Cincinnati Bengals
83.0%
17.0%
+150
-165
+158
-165
+3+100
-3-115
+3+100
-3-110
27
24
-0.93869-0.95797-0.18581
Kansas City Chiefs
Jacksonville Jaguars
92.7%
7.3%
-165
+150
-162
+152
-3-115
+3-105
-3-110
+3+100
17
9
-0.49617-0.49579-0.07542
Las Vegas Raiders
Buffalo Bills
25.6%
74.4%
+290
-340
+300
-340
+7½-110
-7-121
+7½-110
-7½-110
10
38
-0.28655-0.28030-0.29554
Chicago Bears
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
21.8%
78.2%
+117
-135
+120
-130
+2½-110
-2½-104
+2½-110
-2½-110
17
27
-0.58900-0.59012-0.24649
Seattle Seahawks
Detroit Lions
75.7%
24.3%
+190
-220
+195
-210
+4½-108
-4½-110
+5-110
-4½-110
37
31
-1.09652-1.09808-0.27893
Indianapolis Colts
Houston Texans
68.2%
31.8%
+105
-118
+100
-110
+1-107
-1½-105
+1-110
+0-110
31
20
-0.74651-0.71668-0.38232
Green Bay Packers
Atlanta Falcons
69.4%
30.6%
+140
-145
+140
-150
+3-114
-2½-120
+3-110
-2½-120
24
25
-0.53299-0.52736-1.18368
Los Angeles Chargers
Tennessee Titans
24.3%
75.7%
-145
+130
-144
+126
-2½-115
+2½+100
-2½-110
+2½+100
24
27
-0.85918-0.84749-0.27829
Minnesota Vikings
Philadelphia Eagles
53.1%
46.9%
+218
-255
+215
-240
+6-105
-6-109
+6-110
-5½-110
28
34
-0.36311-0.37138-0.75634
Buffalo Bills
New York Jets
84.5%
15.5%
-135
+119
-140
+127
-2½-110
+2½-105
-2½-110
+2½-105
16
22
-0.81452-0.84337-1.86394
Dallas Cowboys
New York Giants
49.9%
50.1%
-165
+152
-170
+160
-3-118
+3+105
-3-110
+3½-115
40
0
-0.49307-0.47678-0.69509
Los Angeles Rams
Seattle Seahawks
40.1%
59.9%
+180
-205
+185
-215
+4½-113
-4-110
+4½-110
-4-110
30
13
-1.05849-1.08019-0.91372
Philadelphia Eagles
New England Patriots
36.6%
63.4%
-185
+165
-185
+170
-3½-104
+3½-110
-3½-105
+3½-110
25
20
-0.45828-0.45144-1.00392
Miami Dolphins
Los Angeles Chargers
57.2%
42.8%
+140
-157
+146
-155
+3-110
-3-110
+3-105
-3-110
36
34
-0.90266-0.91442-0.55939
Las Vegas Raiders
Denver Broncos
58.0%
42.0%
+140
-158
+141
-160
+3-105
-3-110
+3-105
-3-110
17
16
-0.90412-0.90949-0.54409
Green Bay Packers
Chicago Bears
70.0%
30.0%
+105
-118
+100
-115
+1½-110
-1-110
+1-110
-1-110
38
20
-0.74651-0.72743-0.35705
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.