NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Houston Texans
New York Giants
50.6%
49.4%
+190
-220
+195
-213
+5-110
-4½-111
+5-110
-4½-110
16
24
-0.40651-0.40422-0.70459
Jacksonville Jaguars
Kansas City Chiefs
4.8%
95.2%
+360
-420
+380
-430
+9½-107
-10+105
+9½-110
-9½-110
17
27
-0.23835-0.22856-0.04913
Seattle Seahawks
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
46.1%
53.9%
+130
-140
+130
-145
+2½-105
-2½-113
+3-120
-2½-110
16
21
-0.55696-0.55080-0.61759
Atlanta Falcons
Carolina Panthers
51.1%
48.9%
-140
+130
-143
+130
-2½-112
+2½+100
-2½-110
+2½+100
15
25
-0.85085-0.85590-0.71458
Baltimore Ravens
New Orleans Saints
40.9%
59.1%
-123
+150
-122
+110
-1½-110
+3½-109
-1½-110
+2-110
27
13
-0.54535-0.62407-0.89507
Tennessee Titans
Kansas City Chiefs
25.4%
74.6%
+600
-560
+625
-825
+14½-120
-10½-109
+14-110
-14-110
17
20
-0.15561-0.14380-0.29304
Los Angeles Rams
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
36.4%
63.6%
+145
-125
+142
-155
+3-105
-2-109
+3-105
-3+100
13
16
-0.55083-0.51869-0.45242
Seattle Seahawks
Arizona Cardinals
57.6%
42.4%
+170
-135
+120
-130
+3½-114
-2-110
+2-110
-2-110
31
21
-0.93652-0.80802-0.55229
Las Vegas Raiders
Jacksonville Jaguars
74.5%
25.5%
-125
+125
-135
+130
-1½-109
+2½-105
-2½-110
+2½-101
20
27
-0.81094-0.84211-1.36751
Carolina Panthers
Cincinnati Bengals
57.8%
42.2%
+350
-310
+280
-315
+9½-109
-7½+110
+7-101
-7-110
21
42
-0.25766-0.29765-0.86273
Los Angeles Chargers
Atlanta Falcons
37.3%
62.7%
-140
+145
-136
+125
-2½-110
+3-109
-2½-110
+2½-110
20
17
-0.53045-0.57167-0.98682
Green Bay Packers
Detroit Lions
78.7%
21.3%
-185
+175
-200
+181
-3½-109
+4-110
-4-110
+4-110
9
15
-1.02427-1.05547-1.54473
Minnesota Vikings
Washington Football Team
54.9%
45.1%
-145
+150
-162
+150
-2½-119
+3+100
-3-110
+3+100
20
17
-0.51632-0.49890-0.59907
Miami Dolphins
Chicago Bears
50.4%
49.6%
-185
+175
-180
+173
-3½-109
+4-110
-4-110
+4-110
35
32
-0.44482-0.45095-0.68484
Buffalo Bills
New York Jets
84.5%
15.5%
-525
+435
-525
+450
-11½+105
+10½-109
-10½-110
+10½-110
17
20
-1.70364-1.72631-1.86394
Indianapolis Colts
New England Patriots
59.0%
41.0%
+230
-215
+192
-210
+6-109
-4½-110
+5-110
-4½-110
3
26
-0.36740-0.40916-0.89089
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.