NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 17, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Green Bay Packers (13-3)
Chicago Bears (8-8)
Unknown
Unknown
70.0%
30.0%
-240
+205
-240
+215
-5-112
+5½-110
-5-108
+5½-110
21.0
14.3
35.3
o40-115
u40-105
o40½-110
u40½-110
Cleveland Browns (11-5)
New Orleans Saints (12-4)
Unknown
Unknown
23.5%
76.5%
-115
-105
-105
-111
+0-110
+0-105
+1-108
-1-108
21.1
29.4
50.5
o44½-110
u44½-110
o44½-110
u44½-110
Los Angeles Rams (10-6)
New England Patriots (7-9)
Unknown
Unknown
59.5%
40.5%
-215
+190
-216
+190
-4-115
+4½-105
-4½-110
+5-110
24.1
20.9
45.0
o43-110
u43½-110
o43½-110
u44-110
Baltimore Ravens (11-5)
Pittsburgh Steelers (12-4)
Unknown
Unknown
49.2%
50.8%
-170
+155
-170
+155
-3-120
+3+100
-3-110
+3+100
20.7
21.0
41.7
o49-110
u49-110
o48-110
u48½-110
Las Vegas Raiders (8-8)
Miami Dolphins (10-6)
Unknown
Unknown
39.4%
60.6%
+280
-340
+320
-340
+7-105
-7½+100
+7+100
-7-110
23.1
26.2
49.3
o43½-115
u44-112
o44-110
u44½-110
Jacksonville Jaguars (1-15)
Detroit Lions (5-11)
Unknown
Unknown
26.3%
73.7%
+640
-800
+720
-1000
+14-110
-14-105
+14-108
-14-108
17.6
24.8
42.4
o47-110
u47-110
o46½-110
u47-110
Minnesota Vikings (7-9)
Tennessee Titans (11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
32.3%
67.7%
-255
+220
-250
+220
-6-110
+6-110
-5½-108
+6-110
19.1
24.0
43.1
o39½-110
u39½-110
o39½-110
u40-110
Indianapolis Colts (11-5)
New York Jets (2-14)
Unknown
Unknown
82.0%
18.0%
+170
-190
+170
-190
+3½-106
-4+100
+4-110
-4-110
27.4
14.7
42.1
o43½-110
u44-110
o43½-110
u44-110
Seattle Seahawks (12-4)
San Francisco 49ers (6-10)
Unknown
Unknown
61.5%
38.5%
+240
-280
+245
-280
+6½-105
-6½-105
+6½-108
-6½-108
28.4
25.0
53.4
o47½-110
u48-115
o48-110
u48½-110
Atlanta Falcons (4-12)
Denver Broncos (5-11)
Unknown
Unknown
58.0%
42.0%
+110
-130
+120
-128
+2-110
-2½-105
+2½-110
-2-108
22.3
19.3
41.6
o44-110
u44-110
o44-110
u44-110
Kansas City Chiefs (14-2)
Buffalo Bills (13-3)
Unknown
Unknown
60.0%
40.0%
+111
-130
+117
-130
+2-110
-2-105
+2½-108
-2-110
23.0
19.6
42.6
o46-110
u46-110
o45½-110
u46-110
Cincinnati Bengals (4-11-1)
Los Angeles Chargers (7-9)
Unknown
Unknown
32.7%
67.3%
+105
-125
+110
-125
+1-105
-1½-110
+2-110
-1½-108
19.5
24.2
43.7
o47½-110
u48-115
o48-110
u48-110
Games for Nov 16, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Points
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Washington Football Team (7-9)
Philadelphia Eagles (4-11-1)
42.6%
57.4%
+187
-217
+200
-225
+4½-110
-4-113
+4½-102
-4-110
42.3
o49-110
u49-110
o48½-110
u49½-110
4th Q
02:53
10
26

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Carolina Panthers
Washington Football Team
53.1%
46.9%
-115
+100
-115
+100
-1-109
+0-103
-1-110
+1-110
20
13
-0.65886-0.65886-0.63354
Denver Broncos
Los Angeles Chargers
36.6%
63.4%
+110
-127
+115
-125
+2-105
-2-109
+2½-110
-2-110
16
19
-0.61315-0.60657-0.45623
Atlanta Falcons
Kansas City Chiefs
17.8%
82.2%
+455
-550
+450
-525
+10½-103
-12+103
+11-110
-11-105
14
17
-0.18273-0.18743-0.19637
New York Giants
Baltimore Ravens
10.3%
89.7%
+360
-420
+375
-420
+10-114
-10½+115
+9½-110
-9½-110
13
27
-0.22922-0.22492-0.10894
Chicago Bears
Jacksonville Jaguars
65.5%
34.5%
-450
+390
-450
+400
-10+110
+9½-104
-9-110
+9-110
41
17
-0.21437-0.21185-0.42315
Indianapolis Colts
Pittsburgh Steelers
43.9%
56.1%
-110
-110
+100
-110
-1+100
+0-103
+1-110
+0-110
24
28
-0.69315-0.66963-0.57725
Cincinnati Bengals
Houston Texans
32.7%
67.3%
+280
-335
+290
-330
+9-130
-7½-104
+7½-110
-7½+100
37
31
-1.40031-1.40862-1.11862
Cleveland Browns
New York Jets
59.2%
40.8%
-300
+260
-300
+264
-7+100
+7-110
-6½-110
+6½+100
16
23
-1.33222-1.33804-0.89634
Miami Dolphins
Las Vegas Raiders
39.9%
60.1%
-135
+130
-135
+120
-2½-107
+3-120
-2½-110
+2½+100
26
25
-0.56240-0.57989-0.91962
San Francisco 49ers
Arizona Cardinals
72.9%
27.1%
+235
-270
+250
-265
+6½-120
-5½-110
+6-110
-5½-110
20
12
-1.25741-1.27354-0.31596
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Detroit Lions
73.3%
26.7%
-630
+520
-660
+520
-13½+105
+12-105
-12-110
+12½-110
47
7
-0.16151-0.15833-0.31058
Minnesota Vikings
New Orleans Saints
33.0%
67.0%
+255
-300
+260
-290
+6½-110
-7+113
+6½-110
-6½-110
33
52
-0.30903-0.31075-0.40021
Pittsburgh Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals
76.0%
24.0%
-1000
+750
-1050
+750
-14½-109
+14½-105
-14-110
+14½-110
17
27
-2.26068-2.27975-1.42887
Cleveland Browns
New York Giants
61.3%
38.7%
-280
+260
-270
+250
-7+115
+7-125
-6-110
+6½-110
20
6
-0.31535-0.32572-0.48898
Kansas City Chiefs
New Orleans Saints
54.9%
45.1%
-137
+130
-140
+130
-2½-114
+3-115
-2½-110
+3-115
32
29
-0.55925-0.55466-0.59949
Philadelphia Eagles
Arizona Cardinals
63.1%
36.9%
+230
-260
+240
-260
+6½-115
-7+120
+6½-110
-6-110
26
33
-0.34305-0.33680-0.99663
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks137-6 (0.538)0-0.63305 
Sportsbooks137-6 (0.538)0-0.62988 
DRatings136-7 (0.462)0-0.64244
-0.00939
-0.01256

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.