NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 17, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Green Bay Packers (13-3)
Chicago Bears (8-8)
Unknown
Unknown
70.0%
30.0%
-245
+215
-240
+215
-5½-114
+5½-105
-5-110
+5½-108
21.2
14.4
35.6
o40-115
u40-105
o40½-110
u40½-110
Cleveland Browns (11-5)
New Orleans Saints (12-4)
Unknown
Unknown
23.5%
76.5%
-115
-105
-105
-108
+0-114
+1-110
+1-110
+0-108
21.1
29.4
50.5
o44-105
u44-105
o44-110
u44½-110
Los Angeles Rams (10-6)
New England Patriots (7-9)
Unknown
Unknown
59.5%
40.5%
-225
+195
-210
+190
-4½-110
+4½-105
-4½-108
+4½-108
24.1
20.9
45.0
o43-110
u43½-110
o43½-110
u44-110
Baltimore Ravens (11-5)
Pittsburgh Steelers (12-4)
Unknown
Unknown
49.2%
50.8%
-175
+155
-175
+160
-3-120
+3+100
-3-110
+3+100
20.7
21.0
41.7
o49-105
u49-115
o48-110
u48½-110
Las Vegas Raiders (8-8)
Miami Dolphins (10-6)
Unknown
Unknown
39.4%
60.6%
+280
-350
+320
-340
+7-105
-7½+100
+7+100
-7-110
23.1
26.2
49.3
o43½-115
u44-112
o44-110
u44-110
Jacksonville Jaguars (1-15)
Detroit Lions (5-11)
Unknown
Unknown
26.3%
73.7%
+580
-800
+700
-900
+13½-105
-14-101
+14-110
-13½-108
17.6
24.8
42.4
o46½-115
u47-110
o46½-110
u47-110
Minnesota Vikings (7-9)
Tennessee Titans (11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
32.3%
67.7%
-255
+220
-250
+220
-6-108
+6-110
-6-108
+6-108
18.9
23.9
42.8
o39½-110
u39½-110
o39½-110
u40-110
Indianapolis Colts (11-5)
New York Jets (2-14)
Unknown
Unknown
82.0%
18.0%
+170
-195
+170
-190
+3½-102
-4-105
+4-110
-4-110
27.4
14.8
42.2
o43-115
u43½-110
o43½-110
u44-110
Seattle Seahawks (12-4)
San Francisco 49ers (6-10)
Unknown
Unknown
61.5%
38.5%
+240
-280
+245
-280
+6½-110
-6½-110
+6½+100
-6½-110
28.3
24.8
53.1
o48-105
u48-110
o48-110
u48-110
Atlanta Falcons (4-12)
Denver Broncos (5-11)
Unknown
Unknown
58.0%
42.0%
+114
-130
+120
-128
+2-110
-2½-105
+2½-110
-2-108
22.2
19.2
41.4
o44-115
u44½-110
o44-110
u44-110
Kansas City Chiefs (14-2)
Buffalo Bills (13-3)
Unknown
Unknown
60.0%
40.0%
+111
-130
+115
-129
+1½-108
-2+100
+2½-108
-2½-105
23.0
19.6
42.6
o46-110
u46-110
o45½-110
u46½-110
Cincinnati Bengals (4-11-1)
Los Angeles Chargers (7-9)
Unknown
Unknown
32.7%
67.3%
+105
-125
+110
-125
+1-105
-1-115
+2-110
-1½-108
19.5
24.2
43.7
o48-105
u48-110
o48-110
u48-110
Games for Nov 16, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
New England Patriots
Buffalo Bills
47.3%
52.7%
+180
-205
+190
-200
+4-105
-4-109
+4½-110
-4-110
21
24
-0.41931-0.41412-0.64109
Minnesota Vikings
Green Bay Packers
45.8%
54.2%
+220
-255
+240
-260
+6-110
-5½-109
+6-110
-5½-110
28
22
-1.21372-1.25194-0.78176
Indianapolis Colts
Detroit Lions
68.6%
31.4%
-175
+165
-175
+170
-3½-104
+3½-114
-3½+100
+3½-110
41
21
-0.46283-0.45730-0.37640
Atlanta Falcons
Carolina Panthers
62.5%
37.5%
+100
-117
+105
-120
+1½-109
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1-110
25
17
-0.73312-0.75254-0.46994
Chicago Bears
Los Angeles Rams
38.9%
61.1%
+245
-270
+240
-270
+6+105
-6½-109
+6½-105
-6½-110
10
24
-0.32859-0.33155-0.49248
Seattle Seahawks
Arizona Cardinals
63.6%
36.4%
-185
+170
-185
+175
-3½-104
+3½-105
-3½-110
+4-110
34
37
-1.01990-1.02929-1.01057
Jacksonville Jaguars
Los Angeles Chargers
21.7%
78.3%
+305
-365
+330
-370
+9-125
-7½-104
+8-110
-7½-110
29
39
-0.26264-0.25188-0.24424
Kansas City Chiefs
Denver Broncos
79.8%
20.2%
-320
+275
-320
+300
-7½+120
+7-110
-7+100
+7-110
43
16
-0.29087-0.27978-0.22582
San Francisco 49ers
New England Patriots
57.2%
42.8%
+146
-160
+155
-155
+3+100
-3-109
+3½-120
-3-110
33
6
-0.92745-0.93609-0.55905
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Las Vegas Raiders
72.1%
27.9%
-190
+170
-200
+177
-4-109
+4-105
-4-110
+4-110
45
20
-0.44254-0.42644-0.32752
Pittsburgh Steelers
Tennessee Titans
53.3%
46.7%
+100
-115
+105
-115
+1-104
-1-105
+1½-110
-1-110
27
24
-0.72865-0.74137-0.62839
Green Bay Packers
Houston Texans
61.4%
38.6%
-137
+140
-141
+130
-2½-113
+3-119
-2½-110
+3-120
35
20
-0.54354-0.55314-0.48820
Buffalo Bills
New York Jets
69.3%
30.7%
-425
+410
-450
+410
-10+105
+10-108
-9-110
+10-110
18
10
-0.21478-0.20943-0.36616
Carolina Panthers
New Orleans Saints
13.7%
86.3%
+280
-320
+290
-320
+7-109
-7½+110
+7-110
-7+100
24
27
-0.28852-0.28402-0.14712
Detroit Lions
Atlanta Falcons
32.9%
67.1%
+103
-115
+105
-110
+1-108
-1-105
+1½-110
+0-110
23
22
-0.73635-0.72983-1.11054
Dallas Cowboys
Washington Football Team
82.4%
17.6%
-110
-105
+100
-115
-1-104
-1+102
+1-110
+0-110
3
25
-0.70481-0.65886-1.73835
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks148-6 (0.571)0-0.61722 
Sportsbooks148-6 (0.571)0-0.61296 
DRatings147-7 (0.500)0-0.63626
-0.01904
-0.02330

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.