NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Francisco 49ers
Los Angeles Rams
32.5%
67.5%
+165
-175
+170
-173
+3½-109
-3½-105
+3½-110
-3½+100
17
20
-0.46561-0.46024-0.39318
Cincinnati Bengals
Kansas City Chiefs
7.6%
92.4%
+280
-325
+280
-310
+7-104
-7-108
+7-105
-7-105
27
24
-1.36250-1.35406-2.57203
Buffalo Bills
Kansas City Chiefs
30.0%
70.0%
+115
-133
+120
-125
+2½-109
-2½-109
+2½-110
-1½-110
36
42
-0.59598-0.59784-0.35659
Los Angeles Rams
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
36.4%
63.6%
+131
-140
+130
-142
+3-115
-3+100
+3-110
-3+105
30
27
-0.85334-0.85426-1.01085
San Francisco 49ers
Green Bay Packers
25.3%
74.7%
+230
-270
+225
-240
+6-109
-6-107
+6-110
-6-110
13
10
-1.22615-1.19214-1.37338
Cincinnati Bengals
Tennessee Titans
16.3%
83.7%
+180
-196
+185
-200
+4-105
-4-105
+4-110
-4-110
19
16
-1.04874-1.06470-1.81413
Arizona Cardinals
Los Angeles Rams
36.2%
63.8%
+160
-170
+160
-170
+3+104
-3-114
+3½-115
-3-110
11
34
-0.47678-0.47678-0.44942
Pittsburgh Steelers
Kansas City Chiefs
29.5%
70.5%
+475
-600
+525
-630
+12-110
-11½-109
+12½-110
-11½-110
21
42
-0.18473-0.17008-0.34986
San Francisco 49ers
Dallas Cowboys
57.6%
42.4%
+165
-180
+165
-175
+3½-109
-3-125
+3+110
-3-119
23
17
-0.99458-0.98819-0.55215
Philadelphia Eagles
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
18.4%
81.6%
+280
-350
+300
-330
+7-102
-7-114
+7½-115
-7-110
15
31
-0.29144-0.28198-0.20279
New England Patriots
Buffalo Bills
27.2%
72.8%
+195
-210
+205
-210
+4½-109
-4½-109
+5-110
-4-110
17
47
-0.40573-0.39473-0.31700
Las Vegas Raiders
Cincinnati Bengals
64.0%
36.0%
+230
-250
+225
-240
+6-105
-6-109
+6-110
-6-110
19
26
-0.35364-0.36179-1.02299
Los Angeles Chargers
Las Vegas Raiders
37.3%
62.7%
-166
+150
-160
+150
-3-114
+3+100
-3-110
+3+100
32
35
-0.94007-0.93156-0.46660
San Francisco 49ers
Los Angeles Rams
32.5%
67.5%
+150
-170
+155
-165
+3½-115
-3½+101
+3+105
-3-110
27
24
-0.94549-0.95078-1.12365
Seattle Seahawks
Arizona Cardinals
57.6%
42.4%
+205
-240
+208
-230
+5½-109
-5½-105
+5½-105
-5-110
38
30
-1.14832-1.14633-0.55229
New Orleans Saints
Atlanta Falcons
71.9%
28.1%
-210
+190
-200
+200
-4½-109
+4½-104
-4-110
+4½-110
30
20
-0.41146-0.40546-0.33016
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.