NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 17, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Green Bay Packers (13-3)
Chicago Bears (8-8)
Unknown
Unknown
70.0%
30.0%
-250
+215
-240
+215
-5½-114
+5½-105
-5-110
+5½-108
21.2
14.4
35.6
o40-115
u40-105
o40½-110
u40½-110
Cleveland Browns (11-5)
New Orleans Saints (12-4)
Unknown
Unknown
23.5%
76.5%
-120
+100
-105
-108
+0-114
+0-106
+1-110
+0-108
21.1
29.4
50.5
o44-110
u44-105
o44-110
u44½-110
Los Angeles Rams (10-6)
New England Patriots (7-9)
Unknown
Unknown
59.5%
40.5%
-225
+195
-210
+190
-4½-110
+4½-105
-4½-108
+4½-108
24.1
20.9
45.0
o43-110
u43½-110
o43½-110
u44-110
Baltimore Ravens (11-5)
Pittsburgh Steelers (12-4)
Unknown
Unknown
49.2%
50.8%
-175
+155
-175
+160
-3-120
+3+100
-3-110
+3+100
20.7
21.0
41.7
o48½-110
u48½-110
o48-110
u48½-110
Las Vegas Raiders (8-8)
Miami Dolphins (10-6)
Unknown
Unknown
39.4%
60.6%
+280
-350
+320
-340
+7-105
-7½+100
+7+100
-7-110
23.1
26.2
49.3
o43½-110
u43½-105
o44-110
u44-110
Jacksonville Jaguars (1-15)
Detroit Lions (5-11)
Unknown
Unknown
26.3%
73.7%
+580
-800
+700
-900
+13½-105
-14-101
+14-110
-13½-108
17.6
24.8
42.4
o47-110
u47-110
o46½-110
u47-110
Minnesota Vikings (7-9)
Tennessee Titans (11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
32.3%
67.7%
-255
+220
-250
+220
-6-108
+6-110
-6-108
+6-108
18.9
23.9
42.8
o39½-110
u39½-110
o39½-110
u40-110
Indianapolis Colts (11-5)
New York Jets (2-14)
Unknown
Unknown
82.0%
18.0%
+173
-198
+170
-190
+3½+100
-4-105
+4-110
-4-110
27.4
14.8
42.2
o43-115
u43½-110
o43½-110
u44-110
Seattle Seahawks (12-4)
San Francisco 49ers (6-10)
Unknown
Unknown
61.5%
38.5%
+240
-280
+245
-280
+6½-110
-6½-105
+6½+100
-6½-110
28.3
24.8
53.1
o47½-110
u48-110
o48-110
u48-110
Atlanta Falcons (4-12)
Denver Broncos (5-11)
Unknown
Unknown
58.0%
42.0%
+114
-130
+120
-128
+2-110
-2½-105
+2½-110
-2-108
22.2
19.2
41.4
o44½-115
u44½-105
o44½-110
u45-110
Kansas City Chiefs (14-2)
Buffalo Bills (13-3)
Unknown
Unknown
60.0%
40.0%
+111
-130
+115
-129
+1½-108
-2+100
+2½-108
-2½-105
23.0
19.6
42.6
o46-110
u46-110
o45½-110
u46½-110
Cincinnati Bengals (4-11-1)
Los Angeles Chargers (7-9)
Unknown
Unknown
32.7%
67.3%
+105
-125
+110
-125
+1-105
-1-115
+2-110
-1½-108
19.5
24.2
43.7
o48-110
u48-110
o48-110
u48-110
Games for Nov 16, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Philadelphia Eagles
San Francisco 49ers
33.7%
66.3%
+300
-340
+300
-320
+8-109
-7½-108
+8½-110
-7½-110
25
20
-1.43284-1.41038-1.08655
Buffalo Bills
Las Vegas Raiders
66.4%
33.6%
-165
+160
-170
+160
-3-115
+3½-115
-3½+100
+3½-110
30
23
-0.47963-0.47401-0.41020
Indianapolis Colts
Chicago Bears
61.2%
38.8%
-175
+165
-175
+170
-3½+100
+3½-109
-3-110
+3½-110
19
11
-0.46283-0.45730-0.49130
New York Giants
Los Angeles Rams
28.0%
72.0%
+700
-890
+780
-1000
+13½-104
-14½+115
+14-110
-13½-110
9
17
-0.11991-0.10789-0.32863
Baltimore Ravens
Washington Football Team
89.5%
10.5%
-955
+710
-1100
+820
-15+108
+15-128
-14-110
+14-105
31
17
-0.11556-0.10095-0.11102
Los Angeles Chargers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
28.5%
71.5%
+310
-350
+311
-350
+7½-105
-7½-104
+7½-110
-7½-105
31
38
-0.26535-0.26496-0.33484
Seattle Seahawks
Miami Dolphins
74.3%
25.7%
-205
+190
-206
+190
-4-110
+5-110
-4-110
+4½-110
31
23
-0.41000-0.40920-0.29722
Minnesota Vikings
Houston Texans
62.6%
37.4%
+160
-170
+160
-170
+3+110
-3½+101
+3½-110
-3½+100
31
23
-0.97421-0.97421-0.46882
Cleveland Browns
Dallas Cowboys
29.3%
70.7%
+165
-175
+165
-173
+3½-110
-3½-104
+3½-110
-3½-110
49
38
-0.99290-0.98932-1.22909
Jacksonville Jaguars
Cincinnati Bengals
39.9%
60.1%
+100
-115
+102
-120
+0-102
-1-109
+1½-110
-1-110
25
33
-0.65886-0.64398-0.50941
Arizona Cardinals
Carolina Panthers
59.8%
40.2%
-160
+150
-155
+148
-3-105
+3½-120
-3-105
+3-105
21
31
-0.93570-0.92206-0.91063
New Orleans Saints
Detroit Lions
76.1%
23.9%
-152
+145
-153
+140
-3-109
+3-105
-3-105
+3-110
35
29
-0.51500-0.52083-0.27316
Denver Broncos
New York Jets
51.4%
48.6%
+115
-117
+100
-110
+1+100
+0-117
+1-110
+0-110
37
28
-0.77009-0.71723-0.66505
Kansas City Chiefs
Baltimore Ravens
45.0%
55.0%
+160
-165
+160
-175
+3½-114
-3-120
+3½-110
-3½+100
34
20
-0.96498-0.98315-0.79869
Green Bay Packers
New Orleans Saints
31.9%
68.1%
+150
-150
+153
-155
+3+105
-3-110
+3+105
-3-110
37
30
-0.91629-0.93214-1.14366
Dallas Cowboys
Seattle Seahawks
45.1%
54.9%
+205
-226
+206
-230
+5½-109
-5-110
+5½-110
-5-110
31
38
-0.38171-0.37821-0.60039
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks148-6 (0.571)0-0.61722 
Sportsbooks148-6 (0.571)0-0.61296 
DRatings147-7 (0.500)0-0.63626
-0.01904
-0.02330

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.