NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for February 25, 2021

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Chicago Blackhawks (0-0-0)
Columbus Blue Jackets (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
33.6%
66.4%
+121
-134
+123
-130
+1½-220
-1½+190
+1½-210
-1½+192
2.05
3.31
5.36
o6-110
u6+101
o6+100
u6-110
Dallas Stars (0-0-0)
Florida Panthers (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
51.7%
48.3%
+120
-133
+119
-129
+1½-205
-1½+185
+1½-210
-1½+191
2.94
2.76
5.70
o5½-113
u5½+102
o5½-110
u5½+100
New Jersey Devils (0-0-0)
Buffalo Sabres (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
36.7%
63.3%
-115
+105
-113
+106
-1½+226
+1½-255
-1½+225
-1½+240
2.38
3.52
5.90
o5½+112
u5½-120
o5½+110
u5½-120
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
PostponedVegas Golden Knights (0-0-0)
San Jose Sharks (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
64.3%
35.7%
-210
+180



3.59
2.41
6.00
o6-110
u6-110

Games for Feb 24, 2021

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Chicago Blackhawks
Vegas Golden Knights
30.1%
69.9%
+336
-390
+350
-400
+1½+130
-1½-149
+1½+130
-1½-140
5
7
-0.25322-0.24512-0.35833
Vancouver Canucks
Anaheim Ducks
41.6%
58.4%
-116
+103
-110
+108
-1½+210
+1½-248
-1½+220
+1½-235
2
5
-0.73727-0.73693-0.53755
Winnipeg Jets
Nashville Predators
38.3%
61.7%
-133
+118
-122
+115
-1½+190
+1½-210
-1½+205
+1½-210
1
2
-0.80842-0.78001-0.48277
Philadelphia Flyers
Pittsburgh Penguins
38.3%
61.7%
+101
-112
+101
-108
+1½-260
-1½+220
-1½+240
+1½-260
4
5
-0.66357-0.67201-0.48256
Edmonton Oilers
Florida Panthers
45.0%
55.0%
+121
-136
+120
-130
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-204
-1½+185
3
4
-0.57953-0.59012-0.59722
St. Louis Blues
Washington Capitals
46.0%
54.0%
+140
-155
+140
-145
+1½-172
-1½+153
+1½-175
-1½+170
5
2
-0.89968-0.88394-0.77681
New York Islanders
Boston Bruins
43.6%
56.4%
-115
+103
-110
+102
-1½+220
+1½-255
-1½+225
+1½-248
2
1
-0.65283-0.66532-0.83105
Buffalo Sabres
Carolina Hurricanes
22.7%
77.3%
+183
-206
+190
-205
+1½-135
-1½+116
+1½-135
-1½+120
2
5
-0.42193-0.41412-0.25776
Columbus Blue Jackets
Detroit Red Wings
53.5%
46.5%
+135
-148
+133
-142
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+173
5
2
-0.87647-0.86171-0.62566
San Jose Sharks
Montreal Canadiens
41.1%
58.9%
+188
-212
+200
-220
+1½-138
-1½+120
+1½-133
-1½+120
3
4
-0.41278-0.39531-0.52874
Calgary Flames
Tampa Bay Lightning
30.9%
69.1%
+194
-219
+195
-205
+1½-127
-1½+112
+1½-133
-1½+120
0
3
-0.40243-0.40836-0.36914
Vancouver Canucks
Los Angeles Kings
48.0%
52.0%
+163
-177
+160
-175
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-155
-1½+145
3
2
-0.98602-0.97625-0.73309
New Jersey Devils
Colorado Avalanche
22.7%
77.3%
+131
-147
+140
-145
+1½-194
-1½+170
+1½-180
-1½+170
1
5
-0.54661-0.53299-0.25741
Winnipeg Jets
Ottawa Senators
57.3%
42.7%
-154
+137
-145
+137
-1½+178
+1½-197
-1½+185
+1½-192
4
1
-0.52823-0.53820-0.55671
Seattle Kraken
St. Louis Blues
39.3%
60.7%
+122
-136
+126
-128
+1½-205
-1½+175
+1½-120
-1½+188
2
7
-0.57755-0.58119-0.49990
Detroit Red Wings
Minnesota Wild
30.1%
69.9%
+109
-122
+107
-112
+1½-225
-1½+195
+1½-115
-1½+220
3
2
-0.76479-0.73888-1.20045
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/21/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin 1st Rd.Win 2nd Rd.Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Colorado Avalanche (0-0-0, 0 pts)46.326.77.099.684.2%54.5%35.3%21.0%11.8%
2Tampa Bay Lightning (0-0-0, 0 pts)46.325.96.899.485.9%55.6%33.2%20.8%12.3%
3Vegas Golden Knights (0-0-0, 0 pts)45.527.37.398.286.4%54.0%34.9%19.9%10.9%
4Toronto Maple Leafs (0-0-0, 0 pts)45.328.27.598.178.2%39.8%21.4%12.5%6.9%
5Florida Panthers (0-0-0, 0 pts)43.428.97.794.472.4%32.8%16.1%8.8%4.7%
6Carolina Hurricanes (0-0-0, 0 pts)43.428.07.694.473.7%43.6%24.5%13.0%6.9%
7Boston Bruins (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.529.67.992.966.5%31.8%15.4%8.2%3.9%
8Pittsburgh Penguins (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.429.68.092.864.3%33.5%17.2%9.1%4.5%
9New York Islanders (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.229.88.092.361.3%29.8%15.6%7.9%3.7%
10Edmonton Oilers (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.029.17.891.977.2%38.0%19.6%9.0%4.4%
11Washington Capitals (0-0-0, 0 pts)41.629.67.991.061.6%30.0%14.8%7.4%3.4%
12Minnesota Wild (0-0-0, 0 pts)41.330.68.090.760.1%31.6%15.9%7.6%3.6%
13New York Rangers (0-0-0, 0 pts)41.230.78.090.552.6%24.1%11.7%5.1%2.4%
14St. Louis Blues (0-0-0, 0 pts)40.532.08.589.548.7%24.1%10.5%4.4%1.9%
15Dallas Stars (0-0-0, 0 pts)40.431.48.289.152.3%27.3%12.7%5.7%2.6%
16Montreal Canadiens (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.832.58.788.243.6%17.0%6.8%3.1%1.4%
17Calgary Flames (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.531.28.387.358.2%28.0%12.9%5.1%2.2%
18Chicago Blackhawks (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.032.48.686.640.8%20.5%8.7%3.8%1.7%
19Winnipeg Jets (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.032.58.586.540.2%21.3%9.7%3.9%1.6%
20Nashville Predators (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.031.78.386.445.0%21.5%9.7%4.1%1.7%
21Philadelphia Flyers (0-0-0, 0 pts)38.132.99.085.333.9%19.6%8.3%3.3%1.4%
22Seattle Kraken (0-0-0, 0 pts)37.632.88.683.846.5%16.6%6.6%2.5%0.9%
23Arizona Coyotes (0-0-0, 0 pts)37.233.89.083.428.7%13.3%5.0%2.0%0.9%
24Vancouver Canucks (0-0-0, 0 pts)37.033.28.882.841.3%16.3%6.8%2.6%1.0%
25Columbus Blue Jackets (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.533.59.082.026.4%9.9%3.8%1.5%0.6%
26New Jersey Devils (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.433.69.081.826.2%10.8%4.0%1.4%0.5%
27Los Angeles Kings (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.134.69.281.530.0%10.6%4.0%1.2%0.4%
28Detroit Red Wings (0-0-0, 0 pts)35.835.79.581.117.6%8.6%2.9%1.1%0.4%
29Ottawa Senators (0-0-0, 0 pts)35.934.19.180.824.3%9.3%3.2%1.3%0.5%
30San Jose Sharks (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.034.28.880.733.8%13.7%4.7%1.7%0.6%
31Anaheim Ducks (0-0-0, 0 pts)35.035.69.479.326.6%8.7%3.0%0.9%0.3%
32Buffalo Sabres (0-0-0, 0 pts)33.836.59.777.311.5%3.9%1.1%0.3%0.1%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.