Belenenses at Benfica

Updated

Belenenses

7.9%16.1%76.0%
WinDrawBenfica Win
0.59Projected Goals 2.30
1Final Score 3

Benfica

Last 5 Games

Belenenses
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Portimonense+245
T 0-0 at Santa Clara+700
T 0-0 vs Boavista+285
T 1-1 at Tondela+360
L 2-0 vs Pacos+210
Benfica
Money Line
L 2-3 at Braga+135
W 2-1 at Portimonense-200
W 0-3 vs Vitoria-310
T 2-2 at Boavista-255
W 1-2 vs Santa Clara-325

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Belenenses+1700+986+750+730+831+730+986+884.2
Benfica-675-332-325-357-336-357-325-272.1
Draw+650+490+425+460+469+460+490+498.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Belenenses+1800----+850+850+884.2
Benfica-650-----350-350-272.1
Draw+670----+500+500+498.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Belenenses: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Belenenses: 0.0%
Benfica: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Belenenses: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Belenenses: 20.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Belenenses ML moved from +919 to +911
Benfica ML moved from -312 to -357

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Belenenses: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Belenenses: 0.0%
Benfica: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Belenenses: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Belenenses: 0.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Belenenses ML moved from +1800 to +850
No Steam Moves On Benfica ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼+102o3-123o3¼+102o3-121-o3-121o3-121o3-114
Underu3¼-122u3+108u3¼-122u3+101-u3+101u3¼-122u3+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-114
Under-----u3+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.2%
 
No59.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.55%
Exactly 223.20%
Exactly 416.17%
Exactly 64.51%
Exactly 80.67%
 
Exactly 116.04%
Exactly 322.36%
Exactly 59.35%
Exactly 71.86%
Exactly 90.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Belenenses
Exactly 055.33%
Exactly 132.75%
Exactly 29.69%
Exactly 31.91%
Exactly 40.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 010.03%
Exactly 123.06%
Exactly 226.52%
Exactly 320.33%
Exactly 411.69%
Exactly 55.38%
Exactly 62.06%
Exactly 70.68%
Exactly 80.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.21%
Exactly 223.50%
Exactly 43.51%
Exactly 60.21%
 
Exactly 135.10%
Exactly 310.49%
Exactly 50.94%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Belenenses
Exactly 076.03%
Exactly 120.84%
Exactly 22.85%
Exactly 30.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 034.48%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 219.55%
Exactly 36.94%
Exactly 41.85%
Exactly 50.39%

Alternate Props

Spread

Belenenses
Wins by 2+ goals1.77%
Wins by 3+ goals0.29%
Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals52.30%
Wins by 3+ goals29.73%
Wins by 4+ goals14.09%
Wins by 5+ goals5.65%
Wins by 6+ goals1.93%
Wins by 7+ goals0.55%
Wins by 8+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Belenenses
Benfica
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Belenenses
Wins by 1 goal6.08%
Wins by 2 goals1.49%
Wins by 3 goals0.26%
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal23.65%
Wins by 2 goals22.57%
Wins by 3 goals15.64%
Wins by 4 goals8.44%
Wins by 5 goals3.72%
Wins by 6 goals1.38%
Wins by 7 goals0.44%
Wins by 8 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.45%5.55%
1.578.41%21.59%
2.555.22%44.78%
3.532.86%67.14%
4.516.69%83.31%
5.57.34%92.66%
6.52.84%97.16%

Total Goals Belenenses Over/Under

OverUnder
0.544.67%55.33%
1.511.92%88.08%
2.52.23%97.77%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.97%10.03%
1.566.92%33.08%
2.540.40%59.60%
3.520.07%79.93%
4.58.38%91.62%
5.53.00%97.00%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.79%26.21%
1.538.69%61.31%
2.515.20%84.80%
3.54.71%95.29%
4.51.20%98.80%

Score Props

Correct Score

Belenenses
Benfica
Score012345
0
5.55%
12.76%
14.67%
11.25%
6.47%
2.98%
1
3.28%
7.55%
8.68%
6.66%
3.83%
1.76%
2
0.97%
2.23%
2.57%
1.97%
1.13%
0.52%
3
0.19%
0.44%
0.51%
0.39%
0.22%
0.10%
Belenenses
1-03.28%
2-00.97%
2-12.23%
3-00.19%
3-10.44%
3-20.51%
Draw
0-05.55%
1-17.55%
2-22.57%
3-30.39%
Benfica
0-112.76%
0-214.67%
1-28.68%
0-311.25%
1-36.66%
2-31.97%
0-46.47%
1-43.83%
2-41.13%
3-40.22%
0-52.98%
1-51.76%
2-50.52%
3-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Belenenses
Benfica
Score012345
0
26.21%
27.91%
14.86%
5.28%
1.40%
0.30%
1
7.18%
7.65%
4.07%
1.45%
0.38%
0.08%
2
0.98%
1.05%
0.56%
0.20%
0.05%
0.01%
Belenenses
1-07.18%
2-00.98%
2-11.05%
Draw
0-026.21%
1-17.65%
2-20.56%
Benfica
0-127.91%
0-214.86%
1-24.07%
0-35.28%
1-31.45%
2-30.20%
0-41.40%
1-40.38%
0-50.30%
Marítimo at Paços
Sporting CP at Tondela