Braga at Belenenses

Updated

Braga

69.6%18.9%11.5%
Braga WinDrawWin
2.10Projected Goals 0.72
1Final Score 0

Belenenses

Last 5 Games

Braga
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Porto+360
W 2-3 vs Benfica+200
W 2-1 at Portimonense-115
L 1-0 vs Gil Vicente FC-125
T 1-1 at Boavista+105
Belenenses
Money Line
L 1-3 at Benfica+850
W 0-2 vs Portimonense+245
T 0-0 at Santa Clara+700
T 0-0 vs Boavista+285
T 1-1 at Tondela+360

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braga-165-105-115-115-118-115-105-100.8
Belenenses+450+330+330+245+332+245+332+352.8
Draw+285+252+245+240+251+240+252+261.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braga-140-----115-115-100.8
Belenenses+390----+335+335+352.8
Draw+280----+250+250+261.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Belenenses: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braga: 40.0%
Belenenses: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braga: 0.0%
Belenenses: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braga ML moved from -106 to -115
Belenenses ML moved from +255 to +245

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Belenenses: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braga: 40.0%
Belenenses: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braga: 0.0%
Belenenses: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Braga ML
Belenenses ML moved from +390 to +335

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½+116o2¼-118o2¼-115-o2¼-115o2¼-115o2½+119
Underu2½-115u2½-131u2¼-102u2¼-105-u2¼-105u2½-131u2½-119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+119
Under-----u2½-119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-122 to u2¼-104

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.9%
 
No55.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.97%
Exactly 223.71%
Exactly 415.70%
Exactly 64.16%
Exactly 80.59%
 
Exactly 116.82%
Exactly 322.28%
Exactly 58.85%
Exactly 71.67%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Braga
Exactly 012.20%
Exactly 125.67%
Exactly 227.00%
Exactly 318.93%
Exactly 49.95%
Exactly 54.19%
Exactly 61.47%
Exactly 70.44%
Exactly 80.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Belenenses
Exactly 048.89%
Exactly 134.98%
Exactly 212.52%
Exactly 32.99%
Exactly 40.53%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.11%
Exactly 223.09%
Exactly 43.28%
Exactly 60.19%
 
Exactly 135.39%
Exactly 310.05%
Exactly 50.86%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Braga
Exactly 037.76%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 217.91%
Exactly 35.81%
Exactly 41.42%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Belenenses
Exactly 071.80%
Exactly 123.79%
Exactly 23.94%
Exactly 30.44%

Alternate Props

Spread

Braga
Wins by 2+ goals44.86%
Wins by 3+ goals23.66%
Wins by 4+ goals10.35%
Wins by 5+ goals3.82%
Belenenses
Wins by 2+ goals3.00%
Wins by 3+ goals0.57%

Exact Winning Margin

Braga
Belenenses
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Braga
Wins by 1 goal24.68%
Wins by 2 goals21.20%
Wins by 3 goals13.31%
Wins by 4 goals6.53%
Wins by 5 goals2.62%
Belenenses
Wins by 1 goal8.39%
Wins by 2 goals2.44%
Wins by 3 goals0.50%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.03%5.97%
1.577.21%22.79%
2.553.51%46.49%
3.531.23%68.77%
4.515.53%84.47%
5.56.68%93.32%
6.52.52%97.48%

Total Goals Braga Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.80%12.20%
1.562.13%37.87%
2.535.13%64.87%
3.516.20%83.80%
4.56.25%93.75%
5.52.06%97.94%

Total Goals Belenenses Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.11%48.89%
1.516.12%83.88%
2.53.61%96.39%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.89%27.11%
1.537.50%62.50%
2.514.41%85.59%
3.54.36%95.64%
4.51.08%98.92%

Score Props

Correct Score

Braga
Belenenses
Score0123
0
5.97%
4.27%
1.53%
0.36%
1
12.55%
8.98%
3.21%
0.77%
2
13.20%
9.44%
3.38%
0.81%
3
9.26%
6.62%
2.37%
0.57%
4
4.87%
3.48%
1.25%
0.30%
5
2.05%
1.47%
0.52%
0.13%
Braga
1-012.55%
2-013.20%
2-19.44%
3-09.26%
3-16.62%
3-22.37%
4-04.87%
4-13.48%
4-21.25%
4-30.30%
5-02.05%
5-11.47%
5-20.52%
5-30.13%
Draw
0-05.97%
1-18.98%
2-23.38%
3-30.57%
Belenenses
0-14.27%
0-21.53%
1-23.21%
0-30.36%
1-30.77%
2-30.81%

Correct Score - First Half

Braga
Belenenses
Score0123
0
27.11%
8.98%
1.49%
0.16%
1
26.40%
8.75%
1.45%
0.16%
2
12.86%
4.26%
0.71%
0.08%
3
4.17%
1.38%
0.23%
0.03%
4
1.02%
0.34%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.20%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Braga
1-026.40%
2-012.86%
2-14.26%
3-04.17%
3-11.38%
3-20.23%
4-01.02%
4-10.34%
5-00.20%
Draw
0-027.11%
1-18.75%
2-20.71%
Belenenses
0-18.98%
0-21.49%
1-21.45%
0-30.16%
1-30.16%