England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 12, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Queens Park Rangers
West Bromwich Albion 		18.9%
59.4%		21.7%
+240
+115

1.00
1.95		2.95
o2½-120
u2½+100

Birmingham City
Derby County 		21.9%
52.6%		25.4%
+116
+255

0.91
1.56		2.47
o2½+112
u2½-134

Cardiff City
Bolton Wanderers 		76.6%
8.6%		14.8%
+150
+165

2.56
0.75		3.31
o3-105
u3-108

Norwich City
Middlesbrough 		48.8%
23.9%		27.2%
+283
-114

1.41
0.89		2.30
o3-112
u3-107

Stoke City
Watford 		22.5%
51.6%		25.9%
+196
+139

0.91
1.52		2.43
o2½-110
u2½-110

Burnley
Swansea City 		41.4%
30.0%		28.7%
+263
+105

1.23
1.00		2.23
o2½-114
u2½-105

Millwall
Blackburn 		28.7%
43.9%		27.4%
+150
+180

1.04
1.34		2.38
o2½-112
u2½-105

Games for Sep 11, 2026
Games for Sep 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Stoke City
Derby County		37.7%
35.7%		26.6%
+120
+285
+115
+280
1
2		-1.38326-1.38462-1.02879
Bournemouth
Cardiff City		41.8%
32.8%		25.4%
+141
+205
+145
+205
1
0		-0.92010-0.94348-0.87223
Nottingham Forest
Huddersfield		39.7%
33.6%		26.7%
+310
+102
+290
+105
2
0		-1.45214-1.41157-0.92367
Coventry City
Millwall		30.4%
42.2%		27.4%
+200
+161
+200
+155
1
1		-1.17193-1.17834-1.29539
West Bromwich Albion
Preston North End		42.5%
32.4%		25.1%
+105
+275
+105
+260
1
1		-1.28172-1.30280-1.38402
Swansea City
Luton Town		48.7%
27.1%		24.2%
+260
+119
+260
+120
3
3		-1.20899-1.19600-1.41989
Blackburn
Barnsley		41.2%
33.5%		25.3%
+162
+210
+150
+215
0
0		-1.14898-1.17067-1.37369
Barnsley
Stoke City		30.5%
44.2%		25.3%
+475
-152
+480
-150
1
1		-1.36457-1.32991-1.37263
Luton Town
Bristol City		30.8%
44.2%		25.0%
+225
+138
+220
+135
1
1		-1.19610-1.20141-1.38442
Fulham
Birmingham City		59.5%
19.7%		20.9%
+119
+301
+110
+280
4
1		-0.80223-0.79248-0.51980
Cardiff City
Coventry City		38.9%
34.9%		26.2%
+235
+128
+245
+120
0
1		-0.85491-0.83924-1.05185
Millwall
Swansea City		26.1%
48.8%		25.1%
+210
+160
+210
+155
0
0		-1.15629-1.14555-1.38135
Middlesbrough
Nottingham Forest		32.4%
40.3%		27.3%
+190
+176
+185
+170
2
0		-1.08901-1.09527-1.12569
Derby County
West Bromwich Albion		26.1%
50.3%		23.6%
+600
-204
+635
-200
0
0		-1.51481-1.43767-1.44562
Hull City
Blackburn		32.4%
43.6%		23.9%
+320
-108
+345
-110
0
2		-0.69913-0.69689-0.82908
Queens Park Rangers
Bournemouth		22.6%
56.9%		20.5%
+325
-123
+330
-125
1
2		-0.62820-0.63779-0.56373
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.