England Championship Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Barnsley
Queens Park Rangers
36.3%
38.5%
25.2%
+260
+109
+265
+110
2
2
-1.28345-1.24573-1.37864
Swansea City
Bristol City
44.3%
30.4%
25.3%
+255
+125
+260
+120
1
0
-1.30114-1.32950-0.81527
Queens Park Rangers
Middlesbrough
32.1%
42.9%
25.0%
+200
+152
+210
+140
3
2
-1.13578-1.18185-1.13513
Bournemouth
Birmingham City
56.8%
21.5%
21.7%
+205
+151
+190
+160
2
0
-1.15040-1.11541-0.56570
Derby County
Hull City
31.3%
43.9%
24.8%
+290
+111
+295
+110
1
0
-1.40385-1.41473-1.16257
Blackburn
Nottingham Forest
38.5%
35.2%
26.2%
+195
+155
+200
+145
2
1
-1.11810-1.14662-0.95324
Bristol City
Reading
33.2%
41.5%
25.2%
+235
+123
+245
+120
3
2
-1.25685-1.28913-1.10130
Fulham
Millwall
45.0%
28.4%
26.5%
+120
+240
+120
+250
2
1
-0.83799-0.83986-0.79742
Luton Town
Barnsley
33.4%
40.7%
25.9%
+240
+120
+240
+115
1
0
-1.26319-1.27576-1.09623
Preston North End
Huddersfield
40.0%
34.2%
25.8%
+195
+146
+195
+150
0
1
-0.95018-0.96648-1.07274
Stoke City
Swansea City
26.6%
49.3%
24.0%
+150
+195
+155
+195
3
1
-0.96556-0.98840-1.32354
Stoke City
Birmingham City
47.0%
28.3%
24.7%
+157
+205
+160
+200
0
0
-1.17684-1.14863-1.39812
Luton Town
West Bromwich Albion
25.4%
52.2%
22.4%
+429
-140
+440
-150
2
3
-0.57391-0.56138-0.64970
Blackburn
Millwall
36.7%
36.9%
26.4%
+230
+131
+245
+130
1
1
-1.21699-1.16632-1.33215
Coventry City
Barnsley
34.4%
38.6%
27.0%
+302
+105
+300
+100
0
1
-0.76115-0.74051-0.95254
Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
44.5%
29.2%
26.3%
+187
+160
+185
+160
2
1
-1.09886-1.09419-0.80961
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.