England Championship Predictions

Updated 5 days ago

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Games for Nov 15, 2024

Games for Nov 17, 2024

Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
04/01/2023 02:00 PM	Reading Bristol City	34.1% 38.2%	27.7%	+390 -125 +395 -130	1 1	-1.28667-1.30438	-1.28345
04/01/2023 02:00 PM	Blackburn Birmingham City	54.9% 21.3%	23.8%	+188 +185 +195 +155	0 1	-1.07611-0.98840	-1.54595
04/01/2023 02:00 PM	Queens Park Rangers Wigan Athletic	56.3% 21.0%	22.7%	+207 +164 +210 +140	0 1	-1.00057-0.92591	-1.56108
04/01/2023 02:00 PM	Rotherham United Hull City	29.9% 44.4%	25.6%	+343 -104 +305 -110	0 0	-1.27382-1.31800	-1.36168
04/01/2023 11:30 AM	Watford Luton Town	50.8% 23.2%	26.0%	+292 +115 +250 +115	0 2	-0.79766-0.81792	-1.46059
03/19/2023 12:30 PM	Bristol City Swansea City	20.6% 55.2%	24.2%	+290 -110 +255 +110	0 2	-0.70670-0.79264	-0.59426
03/18/2023 03:00 PM	Preston North End Middlesbrough	33.2% 38.0%	28.7%	+559 -176 +550 -190	0 4	-0.48043-0.47443	-0.96666
03/18/2023 03:00 PM	Norwich City Stoke City	44.4% 27.8%	27.8%	+208 +149 +200 +145	0 0	-1.21638-1.22670	-1.27999
03/18/2023 03:00 PM	Hull City Reading	32.1% 41.6%	26.3%	+171 +190 +160 +190	1 1	-1.18912-1.18215	-1.33705
03/18/2023 03:00 PM	Huddersfield Millwall	22.7% 51.3%	26.0%	+618 -159 +580 -175	1 0	-1.99517-1.96919	-1.48355
03/18/2023 03:00 PM	Birmingham City Queens Park Rangers	24.4% 50.9%	24.7%	+190 +179 +190 +165	1 0	-1.09121-1.11355	-1.40977
03/15/2023 07:45 PM	Burnley Hull City	56.5% 20.0%	23.4%	-160 +534 -155 +485	3 1	-0.51462-0.54230	-0.57019
03/15/2023 07:45 PM	West Bromwich Albion Cardiff City	38.6% 34.3%	27.1%	+116 +286 +120 +255	1 1	-1.20795-1.21073	-1.30479
03/15/2023 07:45 PM	Reading Blackburn	29.6% 44.2%	26.2%	+462 -134 +450 -140	1 2	-0.58620-0.58861	-0.81746
03/15/2023 07:45 PM	Norwich City Huddersfield	56.7% 19.1%	24.2%	-117 +363 -125 +375	1 1	-1.32141-1.30328	-1.41803
03/15/2023 07:45 PM	Bristol City Luton Town	37.4% 34.3%	28.3%	+360 -120 +350 -115	0 1	-0.66153-0.67566	-1.06962

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21

		Regular Season				Postseason
#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win League	Promotion	Promotion Playoff	Relegation
2	West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)	23.4	7.2	15.4	85.6	33.5%	90.8%	9.2%	0.0%
3	Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)	21.3	12.1	12.6	76.5	1.0%	6.8%	87.7%	0.0%
3	Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)	23.7	8.9	13.4	84.5	23.9%	50.2%	49.0%	0.0%
5	Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)	20.4	14.6	10.9	72.3	0.5%	1.7%	63.1%	0.0%
6	Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)	19.4	11.9	14.8	72.9	0.6%	2.9%	70.6%	0.0%
7	Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)	17.5	16.5	11.9	64.6	0.0%	0.0%	15.7%	0.0%
8	Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)	16.7	17.5	11.9	61.9	0.0%	0.0%	5.9%	0.8%
9	Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)	17.8	17.0	11.2	64.6	0.0%	0.0%	15.2%	0.2%
10	Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)	15.2	13.8	17.0	62.6	0.0%	0.0%	7.7%	0.6%
11	Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)	16.9	17.8	11.3	62.0	0.0%	0.0%	5.0%	1.0%
12	Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)	17.7	20.4	7.9	60.9	0.0%	0.0%	4.8%	1.7%
13	Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)	18.1	20.1	7.8	62.1	0.0%	0.0%	4.7%	0.7%
14	Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)	14.0	13.1	18.9	60.9	0.0%	0.0%	4.3%	0.8%
15	Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)	15.6	18.2	12.2	59.0	0.0%	0.0%	2.6%	3.1%
17	Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)	13.8	18.2	14.0	55.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	8.8%
18	Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)	14.0	17.6	14.4	56.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	9.3%
19	Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)	14.0	21.3	10.7	52.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	24.0%
20	Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)	14.0	19.7	12.3	54.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	17.6%
21	Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)	13.9	21.4	10.7	52.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	15.6%
21	Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)	12.5	18.7	14.8	52.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	27.9%
23	Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)	10.3	21.1	14.6	45.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.