England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 23, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Burnley
Bristol City 		56.9%
19.1%		24.0%
+147
+185
+160
+185
1.69
0.87		2.56
o2¼+102
u2¼-117

Cardiff City
Sheffield Wednesday 		40.8%
31.5%		27.7%
+265
+102
+285
+100
1.28
1.09		2.37
o2½-102
u2½-116

Hull City
Luton Town 		39.3%
33.6%		27.1%
+265
+100
+265
+100
1.30
1.18		2.48
o2½-109
u2½-110

Derby County
Preston North End 		30.0%
42.2%		27.9%
+240
+121
+245
+115
1.04
1.29		2.33
o2¼+101
u2¼-118

Stoke City
Queens Park Rangers 		40.8%
32.3%		26.9%
+170
+160
+175
+155
1.34
1.16		2.50
o2½+100
u2½-118

Norwich City
West Bromwich Albion 		36.0%
34.8%		29.3%
+320
-120
+320
-115
1.10
1.08		2.18
o2½+100
u2½-118

Games for Nov 22, 2024
Games for Nov 24, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Nottingham Forest
Cardiff City		30.6%
42.5%		26.8%
+265
+125
+250
+125
1
0		-1.32999-1.30416-1.18293
Cardiff City
Swansea City		27.8%
47.9%		24.4%
+233
+145
+220
+145
1
0		-1.23354-1.21053-0.65133
Middlesbrough
Millwall		30.1%
41.2%		28.6%
+150
+240
+145
+235
0
1		-1.25302-1.25917-0.88586
Blackburn
Norwich City		28.2%
46.2%		25.6%
+550
-192
+550
-200
1
1		-1.17762-1.18778-0.69607
Luton Town
Preston North End		31.1%
42.1%		26.7%
+205
+150
+205
+150
1
0		-1.15471-1.16437-0.54687
Queens Park Rangers
Reading		29.1%
46.8%		24.1%
+255
+118
+260
+115
1
1		-1.05960-1.07256-0.69520
Derby County
Stoke City		30.1%
42.8%		27.1%
+230
+142
+240
+130
0
1		-0.92389-0.88312-0.84903
Birmingham City
Watford		18.6%
63.4%		18.0%
+455
-139
+475
-145
0
3		-0.57711-0.57471-0.45525
Wycombe Wanderers
Coventry City		27.8%
46.0%		26.1%
+431
-133
+425
-140
0
0		-1.14342-1.14890-0.69628
Rotherham United
Bristol City		32.6%
40.6%		26.8%
+180
+155
+185
+150
2
0		-1.07213-1.09551-0.52111
Sheffield Wednesday
Barnsley		32.4%
39.0%		28.6%
+425
-140
+450
-150
2
1		-1.70490-1.75550-0.49390
Nottingham Forest
Brentford		23.3%
54.4%		22.4%
+470
-152
+475
-155
1
1		-1.16527-1.17424-0.69698
Bristol City
Blackburn		30.8%
43.4%		25.8%
+390
-130
+400
-135
0
0		-0.69692-0.69739-0.70192
Huddersfield
Sheffield Wednesday		30.5%
41.9%		27.6%
+170
+186
+175
+180
1
1		-0.75028-0.74676-0.70639
Reading
Birmingham City		47.1%
28.0%		24.9%
+133
+275
+125
+250
1
2		-1.33007-1.30416-1.27239
Barnsley
Wycombe Wanderers		39.0%
33.0%		28.1%
-155
+470
-155
+450
3
1		-0.18481-0.18959-0.40012
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.