England Championship Predictions

Updated 12 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
03/16/2022 07:45 PM	Hull City Coventry City	36.4% 35.2%	28.4%	+583 -175 +540 -180	2 0	-1.95115-1.90724	-1.01143
03/15/2022 08:00 PM	Fulham West Bromwich Albion	39.7% 32.1%	28.1%	+120 +259 +105 +270	0 1	-1.29521-1.35922	-1.13606
03/15/2022 07:45 PM	Reading Bournemouth	22.1% 53.4%	24.6%	+747 -230 +750 -270	1 1	-1.60654-1.63943	-1.40401
03/15/2022 07:45 PM	Derby County Blackburn	24.5% 50.0%	25.5%	+464 -119 +420 -125	1 3	-0.63518-0.63743	-0.69225
03/15/2022 07:45 PM	Middlesbrough Birmingham City	44.7% 27.7%	27.6%	+101 +306 +105 +270	2 0	-0.72334-0.76873	-0.80455
03/15/2022 07:45 PM	Bristol City Barnsley	36.0% 35.3%	28.7%	+224 +135 +225 +130	0 2	-0.87899-0.88187	-1.04154
03/13/2022 12:00 PM	Queens Park Rangers Luton Town	31.6% 41.9%	26.5%	+285 +105 +235 +125	2 1	-1.39308-1.25836	-1.15293
03/12/2022 03:00 PM	Reading Nottingham Forest	34.7% 36.3%	29.0%	+527 -180 +525 -185	0 4	-0.47101-0.47559	-1.01332
03/12/2022 03:00 PM	Middlesbrough Millwall	27.8% 43.4%	28.7%	+166 +206 +150 +205	0 0	-1.18689-1.18061	-1.24709
03/12/2022 03:00 PM	Derby County Bournemouth	17.9% 58.5%	23.6%	+512 -158 +505 -175	0 2	-0.51768-0.50235	-0.53654
03/12/2022 03:00 PM	Bristol City Blackburn	27.9% 46.2%	25.9%	+488 -139 +380 -130	1 0	-1.79042-1.61868	-1.27787
03/12/2022 03:00 PM	Hull City Birmingham City	50.8% 24.5%	24.7%	+251 +130 +260 +115	0 0	-1.19918-1.22799	-1.39812
03/12/2022 03:00 PM	Preston North End Cardiff City	28.0% 46.1%	25.9%	+230 +144 +205 +150	0 0	-1.15731-1.18061	-1.34950
03/12/2022 12:30 PM	Fulham Barnsley	54.5% 20.6%	24.9%	-225 +659 -225 +625	1 1	-1.61039-1.55519	-1.39062
03/11/2022 08:00 PM	Huddersfield West Bromwich Albion	16.8% 61.7%	21.4%	+325 -110	2 2	-1.29660	-1.54187
03/08/2022 07:45 PM	Millwall Blackburn	28.7% 43.9%	27.4%	+310 +123 +290 +120	0 0	-1.13292-1.13054	-1.29477

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21

		Regular Season				Postseason
#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win League	Promotion	Promotion Playoff	Relegation
2	West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)	23.4	7.2	15.4	85.6	33.5%	90.8%	9.2%	0.0%
3	Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)	21.3	12.1	12.6	76.5	1.0%	6.8%	87.7%	0.0%
3	Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)	23.7	8.9	13.4	84.5	23.9%	50.2%	49.0%	0.0%
5	Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)	20.4	14.6	10.9	72.3	0.5%	1.7%	63.1%	0.0%
6	Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)	19.4	11.9	14.8	72.9	0.6%	2.9%	70.6%	0.0%
7	Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)	17.5	16.5	11.9	64.6	0.0%	0.0%	15.7%	0.0%
8	Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)	16.7	17.5	11.9	61.9	0.0%	0.0%	5.9%	0.8%
9	Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)	17.8	17.0	11.2	64.6	0.0%	0.0%	15.2%	0.2%
10	Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)	15.2	13.8	17.0	62.6	0.0%	0.0%	7.7%	0.6%
11	Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)	16.9	17.8	11.3	62.0	0.0%	0.0%	5.0%	1.0%
12	Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)	17.7	20.4	7.9	60.9	0.0%	0.0%	4.8%	1.7%
13	Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)	18.1	20.1	7.8	62.1	0.0%	0.0%	4.7%	0.7%
14	Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)	14.0	13.1	18.9	60.9	0.0%	0.0%	4.3%	0.8%
15	Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)	15.6	18.2	12.2	59.0	0.0%	0.0%	2.6%	3.1%
17	Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)	13.8	18.2	14.0	55.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	8.8%
18	Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)	14.0	17.6	14.4	56.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	9.3%
19	Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)	14.0	21.3	10.7	52.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	24.0%
20	Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)	14.0	19.7	12.3	54.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	17.6%
21	Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)	13.9	21.4	10.7	52.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	15.6%
21	Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)	12.5	18.7	14.8	52.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	27.9%
23	Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)	10.3	21.1	14.6	45.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.