England Championship Predictions

Updated

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Games for Jun 5, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Stoke City
Barnsley
37.5%
33.9%
28.6%
+170
+195
+160
+190
1
1
-1.17386-1.19326-1.25065
Fulham
Swansea City
34.8%
35.5%
29.7%
-150
+478
-150
+450
5
1
-0.55180-0.55818-1.05662
Luton Town
Coventry City
29.9%
41.8%
28.2%
+262
+110
+270
+105
1
0
-1.32629-1.35922-1.20624
Coventry City
Swansea City
18.2%
57.9%
23.9%
+200
+174
+180
+170
1
3
-1.03378-1.03724-0.54702
Cardiff City
Queens Park Rangers
43.5%
30.8%
25.7%
+291
+119
+265
+115
2
1
-1.38906-1.34504-0.83179
Millwall
Reading
31.3%
40.1%
28.5%
+159
+213
+150
+200
1
0
-0.97445-0.96111-1.16037
Bournemouth
Preston North End
48.1%
25.7%
26.3%
+141
+234
+125
+235
1
2
-1.22231-1.25836-1.36059
Luton Town
Middlesbrough
29.7%
42.4%
27.9%
+416
-123
+370
-125
1
2
-0.62247-0.63660-0.85826
West Bromwich Albion
Hull City
41.3%
32.3%
26.4%
+101
+328
+110
+265
2
0
-0.72565-0.79376-0.88535
Barnsley
Derby County
31.4%
39.9%
28.7%
+329
+108
+300
+105
0
2
-0.75935-0.76692-0.91807
Birmingham City
Bristol City
19.2%
57.4%
23.4%
+274
+111
+230
+120
2
1
-1.34573-1.24434-1.65016
Blackburn
Fulham
21.7%
53.8%
24.5%
+609
-199
+700
-240
0
2
-0.43895-0.40004-0.62083
Derby County
Cardiff City
25.8%
48.1%
26.1%
+323
+112
+310
+110
0
1
-0.77182-0.78878-0.73212
Swansea City
West Bromwich Albion
36.1%
35.4%
28.5%
+469
-140
+500
-155
2
0
-1.76832-1.84269-1.01960
Bristol City
Nottingham Forest
32.9%
38.1%
29.1%
+407
-125
+375
-135
0
2
-0.60497-0.60468-0.96598
Derby County
Luton Town
33.5%
37.8%
28.8%
+386
-111
+370
-125
0
1
-0.66134-0.64040-0.97408
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.