England Championship Predictions

Updated 12 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
02/26/2022 03:00 PM	Preston North End Coventry City	33.4% 37.5%	29.1%	+340 +105 +305 +105	1 1	-1.20758-1.22020	-1.23591
02/26/2022 03:00 PM	Stoke City Bournemouth	21.7% 53.3%	24.9%	+422 -128 +400 -150	1 2	-0.59470-0.56263	-0.62897
02/26/2022 03:00 PM	Huddersfield Birmingham City	37.9% 33.7%	28.5%	+201 +161 +185 +155	2 0	-1.12846-1.10136	-0.97093
02/26/2022 03:00 PM	Middlesbrough Barnsley	32.9% 38.0%	29.0%	-103 +324 -110 +315	2 3	-1.46612-1.47631	-0.96645
02/26/2022 03:00 PM	Fulham Cardiff City	46.8% 26.9%	26.3%	-127 +395 -145 +395	1 0	-0.60715-0.57673	-0.75961
02/26/2022 12:30 PM	Queens Park Rangers Blackburn	22.3% 54.6%	23.0%	+243 +131 +260 +110	0 1	-0.86171-0.79308	-0.60435
02/23/2022 07:45 PM	Cardiff City Huddersfield	46.2% 27.8%	26.0%	+227 +150 +215 +140	1 2	-0.94128-0.92576	-1.28100
02/23/2022 07:45 PM	Luton Town Stoke City	26.0% 47.9%	26.2%	+301 +113 +280 +110	2 1	-1.40686-1.38553	-1.34796
02/23/2022 07:45 PM	Millwall Derby County	35.9% 33.8%	30.3%	+193 +191 +185 +185	2 1	-1.10316-1.09862	-1.02343
02/22/2022 08:00 PM	Birmingham City Reading	17.9% 59.7%	22.4%	+217 +142 +210 +140	1 2	-0.90716-0.91687	-0.51587
02/22/2022 07:45 PM	Nottingham Forest Preston North End	32.1% 39.1%	28.8%	+171 +192 +165 +185	0 0	-1.18247-1.19211	-1.24452
02/22/2022 07:45 PM	West Bromwich Albion Middlesbrough	45.1% 28.0%	26.9%	+232 +140 +220 +135	1 2	-0.89978-0.90372	-1.27150
02/22/2022 07:45 PM	Barnsley Hull City	27.5% 46.7%	25.7%	+267 +129 +270 +120	2 0	-1.31785-1.34973	-1.29058
02/22/2022 07:45 PM	Coventry City Bristol City	29.0% 43.1%	27.9%	+117 +261 +120 +250	2 1	-0.80042-0.82650	-1.23946
02/19/2022 03:00 PM	Birmingham City Stoke City	18.1% 58.9%	22.9%	+391 -124 +355 -125	2 2	-1.31942-1.33268	-1.47229
02/19/2022 03:00 PM	Hull City Queens Park Rangers	41.1% 33.0%	25.9%	+345 -105 +335 -120	1 1	-1.29957-1.33268	-1.35066

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21

		Regular Season				Postseason
#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win League	Promotion	Promotion Playoff	Relegation
2	West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)	23.4	7.2	15.4	85.6	33.5%	90.8%	9.2%	0.0%
3	Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)	21.3	12.1	12.6	76.5	1.0%	6.8%	87.7%	0.0%
3	Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)	23.7	8.9	13.4	84.5	23.9%	50.2%	49.0%	0.0%
5	Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)	20.4	14.6	10.9	72.3	0.5%	1.7%	63.1%	0.0%
6	Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)	19.4	11.9	14.8	72.9	0.6%	2.9%	70.6%	0.0%
7	Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)	17.5	16.5	11.9	64.6	0.0%	0.0%	15.7%	0.0%
8	Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)	16.7	17.5	11.9	61.9	0.0%	0.0%	5.9%	0.8%
9	Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)	17.8	17.0	11.2	64.6	0.0%	0.0%	15.2%	0.2%
10	Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)	15.2	13.8	17.0	62.6	0.0%	0.0%	7.7%	0.6%
11	Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)	16.9	17.8	11.3	62.0	0.0%	0.0%	5.0%	1.0%
12	Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)	17.7	20.4	7.9	60.9	0.0%	0.0%	4.8%	1.7%
13	Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)	18.1	20.1	7.8	62.1	0.0%	0.0%	4.7%	0.7%
14	Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)	14.0	13.1	18.9	60.9	0.0%	0.0%	4.3%	0.8%
15	Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)	15.6	18.2	12.2	59.0	0.0%	0.0%	2.6%	3.1%
17	Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)	13.8	18.2	14.0	55.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	8.8%
18	Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)	14.0	17.6	14.4	56.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	9.3%
19	Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)	14.0	21.3	10.7	52.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	24.0%
20	Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)	14.0	19.7	12.3	54.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	17.6%
21	Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)	13.9	21.4	10.7	52.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	15.6%
21	Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)	12.5	18.7	14.8	52.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	27.9%
23	Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)	10.3	21.1	14.6	45.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.