Derby County at Bournemouth

Updated

Derby County

17.9%23.6%58.5%
WinDrawBournemouth Win
0.84Projected Goals 1.72
0Final Score 2

Bournemouth

Last 5 Games

Derby County
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Barnsley+105
L 0-1 at Cardiff City+310
L 0-1 at Luton Town+370
L 2-1 vs Millwall+185
L 1-4 at Middlesbrough+540
Bournemouth
Money Line
L 1-2 at Preston North End+125
W 1-2 vs Stoke City-150
W 1-3 vs Birmingham City-225
W 1-0 at Barnsley-185
L 1-0 vs Hull City-200

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+400+512+425+400+449+400+512+504.9
Bournemouth-150-158-160-159-165-159-158-145.4
Draw+260+295+280+275+297+275+297+313.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+515---+475+505+505+504.9
Bournemouth-165----200-175-175-145.4
Draw+275---+250+300+300+313.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 10.0%
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 10.0%
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +463 to +449
Bournemouth ML moved from -175 to -182

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 20.0%
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 10.0%
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +515 to +505
Bournemouth ML moved from -165 to -175

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-110o2½-102o2½-105o2½-106-o2½-106o2½-102o2½+104
Underu2¼-110u2½-113u2½-115u2½-114-u2½-114u2½-113u2½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+104
Under-----u2½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-117 to o2½+101
The Under moved from u2½-122 to u2¼-104

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.5%
 
No53.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.75%
Exactly 225.34%
Exactly 413.82%
Exactly 63.01%
Exactly 80.35%
 
Exactly 119.81%
Exactly 321.61%
Exactly 57.07%
Exactly 71.10%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 043.41%
Exactly 136.22%
Exactly 215.11%
Exactly 34.20%
Exactly 40.88%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Bournemouth
Exactly 017.84%
Exactly 130.75%
Exactly 226.50%
Exactly 315.23%
Exactly 46.56%
Exactly 52.26%
Exactly 60.65%
Exactly 70.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.59%
Exactly 221.46%
Exactly 42.51%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.23%
Exactly 38.47%
Exactly 50.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 067.95%
Exactly 126.25%
Exactly 25.07%
Exactly 30.65%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bournemouth
Exactly 045.02%
Exactly 135.93%
Exactly 214.34%
Exactly 33.81%
Exactly 40.76%
Exactly 50.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals5.53%
Wins by 3+ goals1.29%
Wins by 4+ goals0.23%
Bournemouth
Wins by 2+ goals32.89%
Wins by 3+ goals14.78%
Wins by 4+ goals5.42%
Wins by 5+ goals1.65%
Wins by 6+ goals0.41%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
Bournemouth
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal12.37%
Wins by 2 goals4.24%
Wins by 3 goals1.06%
Wins by 4 goals0.20%
Bournemouth
Wins by 1 goal25.55%
Wins by 2 goals18.11%
Wins by 3 goals9.36%
Wins by 4 goals3.77%
Wins by 5 goals1.24%
Wins by 6 goals0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.25%7.75%
1.572.44%27.56%
2.547.10%52.90%
3.525.49%74.51%
4.511.67%88.33%
5.54.60%95.40%
6.51.59%98.41%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.59%43.41%
1.520.36%79.64%
2.55.25%94.75%
3.51.05%98.95%

Total Goals Bournemouth Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.16%17.84%
1.551.40%48.60%
2.524.90%75.10%
3.59.68%90.32%
4.53.11%96.89%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.41%30.59%
1.533.17%66.83%
2.511.71%88.29%
3.53.24%96.76%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
Bournemouth
Score012345
0
7.75%
13.35%
11.51%
6.61%
2.85%
0.98%
1
6.46%
11.14%
9.60%
5.52%
2.38%
0.82%
2
2.70%
4.65%
4.01%
2.30%
0.99%
0.34%
3
0.75%
1.29%
1.11%
0.64%
0.28%
0.10%
4
0.16%
0.27%
0.23%
0.13%
0.06%
0.02%
Derby County
1-06.46%
2-02.70%
2-14.65%
3-00.75%
3-11.29%
3-21.11%
4-00.16%
4-10.27%
4-20.23%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-07.75%
1-111.14%
2-24.01%
3-30.64%
Bournemouth
0-113.35%
0-211.51%
1-29.60%
0-36.61%
1-35.52%
2-32.30%
0-42.85%
1-42.38%
2-40.99%
3-40.28%
0-50.98%
1-50.82%
2-50.34%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
Bournemouth
Score01234
0
30.59%
24.41%
9.74%
2.59%
0.52%
1
11.82%
9.43%
3.76%
1.00%
0.20%
2
2.28%
1.82%
0.73%
0.19%
0.04%
3
0.29%
0.23%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Derby County
1-011.82%
2-02.28%
2-11.82%
3-00.29%
3-10.23%
Draw
0-030.59%
1-19.43%
2-20.73%
Bournemouth
0-124.41%
0-29.74%
1-23.76%
0-32.59%
1-31.00%
2-30.19%
0-40.52%
1-40.20%
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