Barnsley at Derby County

Updated

Barnsley

31.4%28.7%39.9%
Barnsley WinDrawDerby County Win
1.04Projected Goals 1.20
0Final Score 2

Derby County

Last 5 Games

Barnsley
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Middlesbrough+315
W 2-0 at Hull City+270
L 0-1 at Coventry City+575
W 0-1 vs Queens Park Rangers+250
L 1-2 at Luton Town+525
Derby County
Money Line
L 0-1 at Cardiff City+310
L 0-1 at Luton Town+370
L 2-1 vs Millwall+185
L 1-4 at Middlesbrough+540
W 1-3 vs Hull City+130

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Barnsley+350+329+300+295+316+295+329+334.0
Derby County-125+108+105-102+102-102+108+113.8
Draw+240+219+200+205+207+205+219+231.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Barnsley+250---+230+300+300+334.0
Derby County+115----105+105+105+113.8
Draw+230---+210+220+220+231.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Barnsley: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Barnsley: 30.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Barnsley: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Barnsley ML moved from +336 to +329
Derby County ML moved from +100 to -102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Barnsley: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Barnsley: 30.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Barnsley: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Barnsley ML
Derby County ML moved from +115 to +105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-115o2-115o2-115o2-116-o2-116o2-115o2-104
Underu2¼-105u2+100u2-105u2-104-u2-104u2+100u2+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-104
Under-----u2+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.1%
 
No54.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.68%
Exactly 226.72%
Exactly 411.14%
Exactly 61.86%
Exactly 80.17%
 
Exactly 123.89%
Exactly 319.92%
Exactly 54.98%
Exactly 70.59%
Exact Goals Scored - Barnsley
Exactly 035.61%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 218.98%
Exactly 36.53%
Exactly 41.69%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 029.99%
Exactly 136.12%
Exactly 221.75%
Exactly 38.73%
Exactly 42.63%
Exactly 50.63%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.50%
Exactly 219.04%
Exactly 41.70%
 
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 36.57%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Barnsley
Exactly 062.00%
Exactly 129.64%
Exactly 27.08%
Exactly 31.13%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 057.26%
Exactly 131.93%
Exactly 28.90%
Exactly 31.65%
Exactly 40.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Barnsley
Wins by 2+ goals11.83%
Wins by 3+ goals3.38%
Wins by 4+ goals0.74%
Wins by 5+ goals0.10%
Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals17.21%
Wins by 3+ goals5.71%
Wins by 4+ goals1.51%
Wins by 5+ goals0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Barnsley
Derby County
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Barnsley
Wins by 1 goal19.46%
Wins by 2 goals8.45%
Wins by 3 goals2.64%
Wins by 4 goals0.63%
Wins by 5 goals0.10%
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal22.70%
Wins by 2 goals11.50%
Wins by 3 goals4.20%
Wins by 4 goals1.19%
Wins by 5 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.32%10.68%
1.565.43%34.57%
2.538.71%61.29%
3.518.79%81.21%
4.57.65%92.35%
5.52.67%97.33%

Total Goals Barnsley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.39%35.61%
1.527.62%72.38%
2.58.64%91.36%
3.52.10%97.90%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.01%29.99%
1.533.89%66.11%
2.512.14%87.86%
3.53.41%96.59%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.50%35.50%
1.527.73%72.27%
2.58.70%91.30%
3.52.13%97.87%

Score Props

Correct Score

Barnsley
Derby County
Score012345
0
10.68%
12.86%
7.74%
3.11%
0.94%
0.23%
1
11.03%
13.28%
8.00%
3.21%
0.97%
0.23%
2
5.69%
6.86%
4.13%
1.66%
0.50%
0.12%
3
1.96%
2.36%
1.42%
0.57%
0.17%
0.04%
4
0.51%
0.61%
0.37%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.10%
0.13%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Barnsley
1-011.03%
2-05.69%
2-16.86%
3-01.96%
3-12.36%
3-21.42%
4-00.51%
4-10.61%
4-20.37%
4-30.15%
5-00.10%
5-10.13%
Draw
0-010.68%
1-113.28%
2-24.13%
3-30.57%
Derby County
0-112.86%
0-27.74%
1-28.00%
0-33.11%
1-33.21%
2-31.66%
0-40.94%
1-40.97%
2-40.50%
3-40.17%
0-50.23%
1-50.23%
2-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Barnsley
Derby County
Score01234
0
35.50%
19.79%
5.52%
1.03%
0.14%
1
16.97%
9.46%
2.64%
0.49%
0.07%
2
4.06%
2.26%
0.63%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.65%
0.36%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Barnsley
1-016.97%
2-04.06%
2-12.26%
3-00.65%
3-10.36%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-035.50%
1-19.46%
2-20.63%
Derby County
0-119.79%
0-25.52%
1-22.64%
0-31.03%
1-30.49%
2-30.12%
0-40.14%