England Championship Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Reading
Preston North End
35.4%
36.4%
28.1%
+441
-130
+430
-150
3
2
-1.70700-1.72160-1.03826
West Bromwich Albion
Luton Town
48.3%
26.0%
25.7%
+138
+241
+130
+230
0
2
-1.25040-1.24303-1.34804
Barnsley
Coventry City
30.9%
40.3%
28.8%
+582
-175
+575
-190
0
1
-0.47852-0.47482-0.90899
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
29.3%
42.9%
27.8%
+115
+247
+100
+285
1
2
-1.28165-1.40051-0.84644
Huddersfield
Fulham
12.4%
68.0%
19.6%
+810
-282
+850
-310
2
1
-2.23877-2.29363-2.08610
Queens Park Rangers
Millwall
29.0%
45.5%
25.6%
+204
+160
+200
+155
0
2
-0.98315-0.98305-0.78759
Coventry City
Cardiff City
29.5%
44.3%
26.3%
+140
+228
+135
+220
0
2
-1.21301-1.21244-0.81434
Blackburn
West Bromwich Albion
31.3%
43.0%
25.8%
+355
-105
+325
-105
0
0
-1.25994-1.24320-1.35666
Bristol City
Swansea City
25.7%
50.6%
23.7%
+273
+111
+280
-105
1
3
-0.77169-0.72081-0.68207
Queens Park Rangers
Barnsley
32.4%
41.2%
26.4%
+137
+240
+115
+250
0
1
-1.23822-1.30523-0.88693
Cardiff City
Millwall
34.4%
36.8%
28.8%
+282
+123
+240
+125
1
2
-0.82069-0.86074-0.99878
Coventry City
Reading
30.2%
42.8%
27.0%
-115
+337
-110
+300
3
2
-0.65224-0.69693-1.19743
Stoke City
Nottingham Forest
34.5%
36.1%
29.4%
+300
+109
+275
+110
2
2
-1.23977-1.22799-1.22258
Derby County
Middlesbrough
32.4%
38.7%
28.9%
+511
-152
+540
-170
1
4
-0.53578-0.51385-0.94814
Fulham
Hull City
46.0%
28.9%
25.1%
-169
+499
-165
+455
1
0
-0.48906-0.52526-0.77733
Luton Town
Birmingham City
40.5%
32.0%
27.5%
+150
+209
+150
+200
0
3
-1.15360-1.14816-1.14003
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.