England Championship Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Bournemouth
Queens Park Rangers
50.2%
26.9%
22.9%
+155
+177
+150
+180
1
0
-0.97191-0.96627-0.68898
West Bromwich Albion
Derby County
43.9%
30.8%
25.3%
-170
+565
-185
+575
0
1
-1.93551-1.96184-1.17912
Nottingham Forest
Middlesbrough
34.7%
37.8%
27.5%
+317
-105
+340
-110
0
2
-0.71168-0.69503-0.97411
Hull City
Nottingham Forest
36.0%
38.1%
25.9%
+302
-107
+330
-110
1
2
-0.71156-0.69589-0.96414
Huddersfield
Bristol City
28.3%
47.4%
24.2%
+190
+147
+190
+155
3
2
-1.11783-1.10842-1.26118
Birmingham City
Blackburn
22.3%
57.0%
20.7%
+297
+100
+295
+110
0
4
-0.74661-0.79257-0.56217
Bournemouth
Middlesbrough
46.1%
28.3%
25.5%
+166
+175
+170
+175
0
1
-1.05961-1.06178-1.26090
West Bromwich Albion
Barnsley
44.5%
30.6%
24.9%
-139
+473
-155
+450
0
0
-1.37726-1.38645-1.39155
Nottingham Forest
Swansea City
24.7%
50.9%
24.3%
+270
+115
+275
+115
4
1
-1.34692-1.36983-1.39643
Cardiff City
Birmingham City
49.0%
27.5%
23.5%
+190
+158
+200
+150
2
2
-1.22663-1.19696-1.44638
Reading
West Bromwich Albion
29.8%
46.2%
24.0%
+743
-260
+725
-250
0
1
-0.36739-0.37135-0.77141
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
31.1%
42.9%
26.0%
+185
+162
+215
+165
0
0
-1.19624-1.14866-1.34869
Barnsley
Preston North End
32.4%
41.9%
25.7%
+360
-119
+360
-120
1
2
-0.65383-0.65356-0.87070
Fulham
Luton Town
51.4%
25.0%
23.6%
-110
+285
-110
+285
1
1
-1.36277-1.37074-1.44388
Bristol City
Hull City
34.0%
41.3%
24.7%
+300
-109
+300
-110
2
2
-1.33313-1.33124-1.39691
Blackburn
Bournemouth
28.9%
46.8%
24.3%
+360
-115
+395
-125
2
0
-1.55566-1.64979-1.24005
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.