England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 12, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Queens Park Rangers
West Bromwich Albion 		18.9%
59.4%		21.7%
+235
+115

1.00
1.95		2.95
o2½-120
u2½+100

Birmingham City
Derby County 		21.9%
52.6%		25.4%
+116
+255

0.91
1.56		2.47
o2½+112
u2½-134

Cardiff City
Bolton Wanderers 		76.6%
8.6%		14.8%
+150
+165

2.56
0.75		3.31
o3-105
u3-108

Norwich City
Middlesbrough 		48.8%
23.9%		27.2%
+283
-114

1.41
0.89		2.30
o3-112
u3-107

Stoke City
Watford 		22.5%
51.6%		25.9%
+196
+139

0.91
1.52		2.43
o2½-110
u2½-110

Burnley
Swansea City 		41.4%
30.0%		28.7%
+263
+105

1.23
1.00		2.23
o2½-114
u2½-105

Millwall
Blackburn 		28.7%
43.9%		27.4%
+150
+180

1.04
1.34		2.38
o2½-112
u2½-105

Games for Sep 11, 2026
Games for Sep 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Huddersfield
Reading		27.3%
49.2%		23.5%
+147
+191
+145
+200
4
3		-0.95358-0.94410-1.29664
Queens Park Rangers
Coventry City		32.2%
42.4%		25.3%
+316
-110
+310
+115
2
1		-1.45252-1.39006-1.13206
Hull City
Bournemouth		26.8%
50.2%		22.9%
+552
-205
+550
-200
1
0		-1.92586-1.92093-1.31535
Barnsley
Birmingham City		42.3%
31.8%		25.9%
+290
+103
+330
+100
1
2		-0.75877-0.73262-1.14539
Preston North End
Swansea City		25.0%
52.0%		23.1%
+258
+113
+270
+110
0
1		-0.80580-0.79025-0.65477
Derby County
Nottingham Forest		31.9%
40.9%		27.2%
+360
-115
+355
-110
1
2		-0.68041-0.69663-0.89424
Cardiff City
Bristol City		37.0%
37.7%		25.4%
+166
+170
+165
+175
2
3		-1.05039-1.06372-0.97609
Luton Town
Reading		29.8%
45.8%		24.4%
-105
+341
-125
+360
2
0		-0.68338-0.63726-1.21184
Blackburn
Hull City		37.7%
37.8%		24.6%
+136
+210
+135
+220
0
2		-1.17697-1.20341-0.97339
Birmingham City
Fulham		16.0%
65.5%		18.5%
+929
-357
+1000
-360
2
6		-0.30142-0.29590-0.42304
Stoke City
Hull City		34.9%
40.1%		25.0%
+192
+150
+200
+175
2
0		-1.12788-1.11294-1.05182
Swansea City
Huddersfield		52.1%
24.8%		23.1%
+198
+150
+185
+160
1
1		-1.19908-1.21002-1.46482
West Bromwich Albion
Queens Park Rangers		47.1%
29.6%		23.2%
+126
+206
+130
+215
0
1		-1.17193-1.19274-1.21621
Birmingham City
Preston North End		25.6%
51.0%		23.4%
+325
-108
+360
-115
1
1		-1.28179-1.25846-1.45457
Nottingham Forest
Millwall		31.7%
40.6%		27.7%
+202
+155
+215
+155
1
0		-1.15617-1.17909-1.14835
Reading
Middlesbrough		37.6%
36.2%		26.2%
+861
-323
+920
-330
1
2		-0.31370-0.31577-1.01501
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.