England Championship Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Coventry City
Huddersfield
38.2%
35.0%
26.8%
+165
+179
+165
+185
1
1
-1.21029-1.18097-1.31557
Stoke City
Queens Park Rangers
40.5%
34.5%
24.9%
+225
+130
+240
+120
2
0
-1.21882-1.27418-0.90278
Swansea City
Middlesbrough
46.2%
28.3%
25.4%
+305
+100
+320
-105
0
1
-0.73756-0.69673-1.26090
Hull City
Reading
34.4%
41.0%
24.5%
+195
+149
+190
+155
1
1
-1.22581-1.21147-1.40531
Birmingham City
Millwall
23.7%
52.5%
23.8%
+280
+117
+285
+110
1
3
-0.81534-0.79396-0.64428
Derby County
Bristol City
31.6%
42.4%
25.9%
+190
+159
+190
+155
0
1
-0.99231-0.98438-0.85727
Preston North End
Blackburn
30.4%
45.3%
24.3%
+245
+131
+240
+120
0
1
-0.86541-0.83884-0.79083
Huddersfield
Barnsley
30.8%
43.8%
25.4%
+189
+166
+180
+170
1
1
-1.19267-1.18026-1.37089
West Bromwich Albion
Coventry City
43.4%
30.9%
25.7%
+138
+220
+140
+215
2
1
-0.90666-0.92576-0.83517
Bournemouth
Fulham
31.5%
42.0%
26.5%
+350
-120
+365
-130
1
1
-1.35950-1.35763-1.32633
Queens Park Rangers
Derby County
32.6%
42.2%
25.1%
+160
+185
+160
+180
2
1
-0.99331-1.00376-1.11957
Reading
Swansea City
27.0%
49.3%
23.7%
+375
-121
+375
-125
3
2
-1.60092-1.60864-1.30978
Cardiff City
Luton Town
41.0%
33.9%
25.1%
+275
+105
+280
+105
2
1
-1.36352-1.38758-0.89170
Blackburn
Stoke City
37.0%
37.5%
25.5%
+265
+117
+255
+120
1
0
-1.32750-1.31453-0.99463
Millwall
Hull City
34.4%
39.8%
25.8%
+189
+165
+195
+155
1
2
-1.01459-0.98355-0.92178
Middlesbrough
Huddersfield
38.6%
34.9%
26.5%
+156
+200
+160
+200
2
1
-0.97676-0.99523-0.95200
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.