England Championship Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
West Bromwich Albion
Huddersfield
49.0%
27.5%
23.5%
+100
+310
+100
+305
0
1
-1.45000-1.44745-1.29062
Nottingham Forest
Reading
32.0%
41.9%
26.0%
+150
+210
+150
+200
1
1
-1.19981-1.19696-1.34527
Birmingham City
Hull City
24.4%
54.0%
21.5%
+185
+170
+195
+160
0
2
-1.03027-1.00570-0.61559
Cardiff City
Preston North End
38.1%
36.6%
25.3%
+285
+100
+280
+100
2
1
-1.39332-1.38270-0.96614
Luton Town
Queens Park Rangers
35.5%
39.6%
24.9%
+225
+132
+210
+130
0
2
-0.86977-0.88312-0.92743
Reading
Birmingham City
47.5%
28.3%
24.2%
+330
-105
+375
-125
2
1
-1.49673-1.60864-0.74379
Swansea City
Bournemouth
34.0%
39.4%
26.6%
+410
-122
+410
-125
0
4
-0.63764-0.63671-0.93069
Hull City
Barnsley
38.5%
36.3%
25.2%
+215
+140
+225
+140
2
0
-1.19297-1.22455-0.95459
Preston North End
Nottingham Forest
33.7%
39.6%
26.7%
+230
+138
+240
+130
0
3
-0.90217-0.88312-0.92601
Derby County
Millwall
30.3%
42.7%
27.0%
+340
+105
+325
+105
1
1
-1.15718-1.16485-1.31082
Huddersfield
Cardiff City
26.5%
50.7%
22.8%
+235
+130
+230
+130
1
2
-0.87770-0.88201-0.68019
Stoke City
Luton Town
39.2%
34.9%
25.9%
+210
+147
+215
+145
1
0
-1.17532-1.19448-0.93588
Bristol City
Coventry City
36.2%
37.0%
26.8%
+523
-182
+525
-190
2
3
-0.47988-0.47209-0.99368
Middlesbrough
West Bromwich Albion
26.6%
49.7%
23.8%
+429
-140
+430
-140
1
1
-1.34006-1.32950-1.43670
Hull City
West Bromwich Albion
29.6%
47.2%
23.2%
+600
-174
+600
-200
0
1
-0.47739-0.45751-0.75152
Derby County
Barnsley
34.3%
39.1%
26.7%
+240
+131
+235
+130
1
2
-0.87137-0.87309-0.93997
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.