Brighton and Hove Albion at Aston Villa

Updated 45 sec ago

07:45 PM • Dec 30, 2024

Brighton and Hove Albion

26.9%25.8%47.4%

Brighton and Hove Albion WinDrawAston Villa Win

1.07Projected Goals 1.51

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Brighton and Hove Albion		Money Line
T 1-1	12/21 at West Ham United	+150
L 3-1	12/15 vs Crystal Palace	-110
T 2-2	12/08 at Leicester City	-145
L 1-3	12/05 at Fulham	+185
T 1-1	11/29 vs Southampton	-270

Aston Villa		Money Line
L 0-3	12/26 at Newcastle United	+280
W 1-2	12/21 vs Manchester City	+230
W 0-1	12/07 vs Southampton	-320
L 0-3	12/01 at Chelsea	+350
T 2-2	11/23 vs Crystal Palace	-135

Money Line Analysis

:4.5%

	Open Line	5Dimes	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Brighton and Hove Albion	+265	-	+270	-	-	-	+270	-
Aston Villa	-110	-	-110	-	-	-	-110	-
Draw	+295	-	+295	-	-	-	+295	-

	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Brighton and Hove Albion	-	-	-	-	-	-
Aston Villa	-	-	-	-	-	-
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Brighton and Hove Albion: 20.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Brighton and Hove Albion: 20.0%

Aston Villa: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Aston Villa: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Brighton and Hove Albion ML

No Steam Moves On Aston Villa ML

Over/Under Analysis

:4.5%

	Open Line	5Dimes	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o3-110	-	o3-108	-	-	-	o3-108	-
Under	u3-110	-	u3-112	-	-	-	u3-112	-

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		-
Under		-	-	-	-	-		-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 10.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	51.2%


No	48.8%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	7.58%
Exactly 2	25.22%
Exactly 4	13.98%
Exactly 6	3.10%
Exactly 8	0.37%


Exactly 1	19.56%
Exactly 3	21.69%
Exactly 5	7.21%
Exactly 7	1.14%
Exactly 9	0.11%

Exact Goals Scored - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 0	34.31%
Exactly 1	36.70%
Exactly 2	19.63%
Exactly 3	7.00%
Exactly 4	1.87%
Exactly 5	0.40%

Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 0	22.10%
Exactly 1	33.36%
Exactly 2	25.18%
Exactly 3	12.67%
Exactly 4	4.78%
Exactly 5	1.44%
Exactly 6	0.36%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	30.30%
Exactly 2	21.60%
Exactly 4	2.57%
Exactly 6	0.12%


Exactly 1	36.18%
Exactly 3	8.60%
Exactly 5	0.61%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 0	60.94%
Exactly 1	30.18%
Exactly 2	7.47%
Exactly 3	1.23%
Exactly 4	0.15%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 0	49.71%
Exactly 1	34.74%
Exactly 2	12.14%
Exactly 3	2.83%
Exactly 4	0.49%

Alternate Props

Spread

Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 2+ goals	10.10%
Wins by 3+ goals	2.91%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.64%

Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals	23.74%
Wins by 3+ goals	9.41%
Wins by 4+ goals	2.99%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.75%
Wins by 6+ goals	0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Brighton and Hove Albion

Aston Villa

Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 1 goal	16.68%
Wins by 2 goals	7.20%
Wins by 3 goals	2.27%
Wins by 4 goals	0.55%

Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal	23.54%
Wins by 2 goals	14.34%
Wins by 3 goals	6.41%
Wins by 4 goals	2.24%
Wins by 5 goals	0.63%
Wins by 6 goals	0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	92.42%	7.58%
1.5	72.86%	27.14%
2.5	47.63%	52.37%
3.5	25.95%	74.05%
4.5	11.96%	88.04%
5.5	4.75%	95.25%
6.5	1.65%	98.35%

Total Goals Brighton and Hove Albion Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	65.69%	34.31%
1.5	28.98%	71.02%
2.5	9.35%	90.65%
3.5	2.36%	97.64%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	77.90%	22.10%
1.5	44.53%	55.47%
2.5	19.35%	80.65%
3.5	6.68%	93.32%
4.5	1.90%	98.10%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	69.70%	30.30%
1.5	33.53%	66.47%
2.5	11.92%	88.08%
3.5	3.33%	96.67%

Score Props

Correct Score

Brighton and Hove Albion

Aston Villa

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7.58%	11.45%	8.64%	4.35%	1.64%	0.50%
1	8.11%	12.25%	9.24%	4.65%	1.75%	0.53%
2	4.34%	6.55%	4.94%	2.49%	0.94%	0.28%
3	1.55%	2.34%	1.76%	0.89%	0.33%	0.10%
4	0.41%	0.62%	0.47%	0.24%	0.09%	0.03%

Brighton and Hove Albion
1-0	8.11%
2-0	4.34%
2-1	6.55%
3-0	1.55%
3-1	2.34%
3-2	1.76%
4-0	0.41%
4-1	0.62%
4-2	0.47%
4-3	0.24%

Draw
0-0	7.58%
1-1	12.25%
2-2	4.94%
3-3	0.89%

Aston Villa
0-1	11.45%
0-2	8.64%
1-2	9.24%
0-3	4.35%
1-3	4.65%
2-3	2.49%
0-4	1.64%
1-4	1.75%
2-4	0.94%
3-4	0.33%
0-5	0.50%
1-5	0.53%
2-5	0.28%
3-5	0.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Brighton and Hove Albion

Aston Villa

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	30.30%	21.17%	7.40%	1.72%	0.30%
1	15.00%	10.49%	3.66%	0.85%	0.15%
2	3.72%	2.60%	0.91%	0.21%	0.04%
3	0.61%	0.43%	0.15%	0.03%	0.01%

Brighton and Hove Albion
1-0	15.00%
2-0	3.72%
2-1	2.60%
3-0	0.61%
3-1	0.43%
3-2	0.15%

Draw
0-0	30.30%
1-1	10.49%
2-2	0.91%

Aston Villa
0-1	21.17%
0-2	7.40%
1-2	3.66%
0-3	1.72%
1-3	0.85%
2-3	0.21%
0-4	0.30%
1-4	0.15%

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