Newcastle United at Manchester United

Updated 29 sec ago

08:00 PM • Dec 30, 2024

Newcastle United

9.8%16.1%74.0%

WinDrawManchester United Win

0.76Projected Goals 2.43

Manchester United

Last 5 Games

Newcastle United		Money Line
W 0-3	12/26 vs Aston Villa	-105
W 0-4	12/14 vs Leicester City	-360
T 3-3	12/04 vs Liverpool	+290
T 1-1	11/30 at Crystal Palace	+125
L 2-0	11/25 vs West Ham United	-215

Manchester United		Money Line
L 0-2	12/26 at Wolverhampton	-120
L 3-0	12/22 vs Bournemouth	-115
W 2-1	12/15 at Manchester City	+460
L 0-2	12/04 at Arsenal	+600
W 0-4	12/01 vs Everton	-175

Money Line Analysis

:4.8%

	Open Line	5Dimes	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle United	+200	-	+155	-	-	-	+155	-
Manchester United	+125	-	+160	-	-	-	+160	-
Draw	+270	-	+265	-	-	-	+265	-

	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle United	-	-	-	-	-	-
Manchester United	-	-	-	-	-	-
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Newcastle United: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Manchester United: 50.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Newcastle United: 0.0%

Manchester United: 60.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Newcastle United: 10.0%

Manchester United: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Newcastle United: 0.0%

Manchester United: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

Newcastle United ML moved from +165 to +15512/26/2024
06:56 PM

Manchester United ML moved from +120 to +10012/22/2024
09:09 AM

Over/Under Analysis

:4.4%

	Open Line	5Dimes	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2¾-108	-	o3-102	-	-	-	o3-102	-
Under	u2¾-112	-	u3-118	-	-	-	u3-118	-

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		-
Under		-	-	-	-	-		-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 20.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¾-112 to o3-10212/22/2024
09:09 AM

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	48.7%


No	51.3%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	4.12%
Exactly 2	20.95%
Exactly 4	17.76%
Exactly 6	6.03%
Exactly 8	1.09%
Exactly 10	0.12%


Exactly 1	13.13%
Exactly 3	22.28%
Exactly 5	11.33%
Exactly 7	2.75%
Exactly 9	0.39%

Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 0	46.55%
Exactly 1	35.59%
Exactly 2	13.61%
Exactly 3	3.47%
Exactly 4	0.66%
Exactly 5	0.10%

Exact Goals Scored - Manchester United
Exactly 0	8.85%
Exactly 1	21.45%
Exactly 2	26.01%
Exactly 3	21.03%
Exactly 4	12.75%
Exactly 5	6.18%
Exactly 6	2.50%
Exactly 7	0.87%
Exactly 8	0.26%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	22.83%
Exactly 2	24.90%
Exactly 4	4.53%
Exactly 6	0.33%


Exactly 1	33.72%
Exactly 3	12.26%
Exactly 5	1.34%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 0	70.18%
Exactly 1	24.85%
Exactly 2	4.40%
Exactly 3	0.52%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester United
Exactly 0	32.53%
Exactly 1	36.53%
Exactly 2	20.51%
Exactly 3	7.68%
Exactly 4	2.16%
Exactly 5	0.48%

Alternate Props

Spread

Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals	2.71%
Wins by 3+ goals	0.56%

Manchester United
Wins by 2+ goals	51.35%
Wins by 3+ goals	29.79%
Wins by 4+ goals	14.53%
Wins by 5+ goals	6.02%
Wins by 6+ goals	2.13%
Wins by 7+ goals	0.62%
Wins by 8+ goals	0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Newcastle United

Manchester United

Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal	7.12%
Wins by 2 goals	2.14%
Wins by 3 goals	0.48%

Manchester United
Wins by 1 goal	22.59%
Wins by 2 goals	21.56%
Wins by 3 goals	15.26%
Wins by 4 goals	8.51%
Wins by 5 goals	3.90%
Wins by 6 goals	1.51%
Wins by 7 goals	0.50%
Wins by 8 goals	0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	95.88%	4.12%
1.5	82.75%	17.25%
2.5	61.80%	38.20%
3.5	39.52%	60.48%
4.5	21.76%	78.24%
5.5	10.43%	89.57%
6.5	4.40%	95.60%
7.5	1.66%	98.34%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	53.45%	46.55%
1.5	17.86%	82.14%
2.5	4.25%	95.75%

Total Goals Manchester United Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	91.15%	8.85%
1.5	69.70%	30.30%
2.5	43.69%	56.31%
3.5	22.66%	77.34%
4.5	9.91%	90.09%
5.5	3.72%	96.28%
6.5	1.22%	98.78%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	77.17%	22.83%
1.5	43.44%	56.56%
2.5	18.54%	81.46%
3.5	6.28%	93.72%
4.5	1.75%	98.25%

Score Props

Correct Score

Newcastle United

Manchester United

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	4.12%	9.99%	12.11%	9.79%	5.94%	2.88%
1	3.15%	7.64%	9.26%	7.49%	4.54%	2.20%
2	1.20%	2.92%	3.54%	2.86%	1.74%	0.84%
3	0.31%	0.74%	0.90%	0.73%	0.44%	0.21%

Newcastle United
1-0	3.15%
2-0	1.20%
2-1	2.92%
3-0	0.31%
3-1	0.74%
3-2	0.90%

Draw
0-0	4.12%
1-1	7.64%
2-2	3.54%
3-3	0.73%

Manchester United
0-1	9.99%
0-2	12.11%
1-2	9.26%
0-3	9.79%
1-3	7.49%
2-3	2.86%
0-4	5.94%
1-4	4.54%
2-4	1.74%
3-4	0.44%
0-5	2.88%
1-5	2.20%
2-5	0.84%
3-5	0.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Newcastle United

Manchester United

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	22.83%	25.64%	14.40%	5.39%	1.51%	0.34%
1	8.08%	9.08%	5.10%	1.91%	0.54%	0.12%
2	1.43%	1.61%	0.90%	0.34%	0.09%	0.02%
3	0.17%	0.19%	0.11%	0.04%	0.01%	0.00%

Newcastle United
1-0	8.08%
2-0	1.43%
2-1	1.61%
3-0	0.17%
3-1	0.19%
3-2	0.11%

Draw
0-0	22.83%
1-1	9.08%
2-2	0.90%

Manchester United
0-1	25.64%
0-2	14.40%
1-2	5.10%
0-3	5.39%
1-3	1.91%
2-3	0.34%
0-4	1.51%
1-4	0.54%
0-5	0.34%
1-5	0.12%

Brighton and Hove Albion at Aston Villa

Newcastle United at Manchester United