Manchester City at Newcastle United

Updated

Manchester City

70.8%15.3%13.9%
Manchester City WinDrawWin
2.26Projected Goals 0.45
4Final Score 0

Newcastle United

Last 5 Games

Manchester City
Money Line
W 0-7 vs Leeds United-750
W 0-1 vs Wolverhampton-650
W 3-1 at Watford-500
W 2-1 at Aston Villa-230
W 1-2 vs West Ham United-385
Newcastle United
Money Line
L 1-3 at Liverpool+2300
L 0-4 at Leicester City+375
W 0-1 vs Burnley+140
T 1-1 vs Norwich City+116
L 0-2 at Arsenal+530

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-298--725-750-929-750-725-623.5
Newcastle United+713-+1800+1900+2026+1900+2026+2323.9
Draw+432-+750+850+808+850+850+931.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-530--780---800-780-623.5
Newcastle United+1165-+2000--+2000+2000+2323.9
Draw+625-+705--+790+790+931.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle United: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 0.0%
Newcastle United: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Newcastle United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -725 to -750
Newcastle United ML moved from +1800 to +1700

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle United: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 0.0%
Newcastle United: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Newcastle United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -760 to -800
No Steam Moves On Newcastle United ML

Over/Under Analysis

 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-o3½-105o3½-112-o3½-112o3½+101
Under-u3½-115u3½-108-u3½-108u3½-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-110o3½-105-o3½-110o3½-105o3½+101
Underu3½-110u3½-115-u3½-120u3½-115u3½-101

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes32.2%
 
No67.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.66%
Exactly 224.44%
Exactly 414.95%
Exactly 63.66%
Exactly 80.48%
 
Exactly 118.04%
Exactly 322.07%
Exactly 58.10%
Exactly 71.42%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 010.39%
Exactly 123.52%
Exactly 226.64%
Exactly 320.11%
Exactly 411.38%
Exactly 55.15%
Exactly 61.95%
Exactly 70.63%
Exactly 80.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 064.08%
Exactly 128.52%
Exactly 26.35%
Exactly 30.94%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.52%
Exactly 222.44%
Exactly 42.94%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.78%
Exactly 39.39%
Exactly 50.74%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 035.05%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 219.26%
Exactly 36.73%
Exactly 41.76%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 081.38%
Exactly 116.77%
Exactly 21.73%
Exactly 30.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals54.85%
Wins by 3+ goals31.27%
Wins by 4+ goals14.80%
Wins by 5+ goals5.91%
Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals1.04%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester City
Newcastle United
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal24.06%
Wins by 2 goals23.57%
Wins by 3 goals16.48%
Wins by 4 goals8.89%
Wins by 5 goals3.90%
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal4.73%
Wins by 2 goals0.91%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.34%6.66%
1.575.31%24.69%
2.550.87%49.13%
3.528.80%71.20%
4.513.85%86.15%
5.55.75%94.25%
6.52.09%97.91%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.61%10.39%
1.566.09%33.91%
2.539.45%60.55%
3.519.35%80.65%
4.57.97%92.03%
5.52.81%97.19%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.535.92%64.08%
1.57.40%92.60%
2.51.06%98.94%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.48%28.52%
1.535.70%64.30%
2.513.25%86.75%
3.53.87%96.13%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester City
Newcastle United
Score012
0
6.66%
2.96%
0.66%
1
15.07%
6.71%
1.49%
2
17.07%
7.60%
1.69%
3
12.88%
5.73%
1.28%
4
7.29%
3.25%
0.72%
5
3.30%
1.47%
0.33%
Manchester City
1-015.07%
2-017.07%
2-17.60%
3-012.88%
3-15.73%
3-21.28%
4-07.29%
4-13.25%
4-20.72%
4-30.11%
5-03.30%
5-11.47%
5-20.33%
Draw
0-06.66%
1-16.71%
2-21.69%
3-30.19%
Newcastle United
0-12.96%
0-20.66%
1-21.49%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester City
Newcastle United
Score012
0
28.52%
5.88%
0.61%
1
29.90%
6.16%
0.63%
2
15.68%
3.23%
0.33%
3
5.48%
1.13%
0.12%
4
1.44%
0.30%
0.03%
5
0.30%
0.06%
0.01%
Manchester City
1-029.90%
2-015.68%
2-13.23%
3-05.48%
3-11.13%
3-20.12%
4-01.44%
4-10.30%
5-00.30%
Draw
0-028.52%
1-16.16%
2-20.33%
Newcastle United
0-15.88%
0-20.61%
1-20.63%