Watford at Newcastle United

Updated

Watford

27.5%25.1%47.5%
Watford WinDrawNewcastle United Win
0.92Projected Goals 1.60
1Final Score 1

Newcastle United

Last 5 Games

Watford
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Tottenham+473
L 4-1 vs West Ham United+250
L 3-1 vs Manchester City+1300
L 2-1 vs Chelsea+975
L 2-4 at Leicester City+390
Newcastle United
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Manchester United+515
L 4-0 vs Manchester City+2000
L 1-3 at Liverpool+2300
L 0-4 at Leicester City+375
W 0-1 vs Burnley+140

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+230-+330+340+326+340+340+367.9
Newcastle United+110--125-120-122-120-120-112.1
Draw+270-+280+285+264+285+285+288.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+270-+340-+250+315+340+367.9
Newcastle United+100--122--120-115-115-112.1
Draw+255-+262-+235+265+265+288.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle United: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Newcastle United: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Newcastle United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +320 to +310
Newcastle United ML moved from -118 to -124

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle United: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Newcastle United: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Newcastle United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +294 to +288
Newcastle United ML moved from -112 to -118

Over/Under Analysis

 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-o2¾-105o2¾-106-o2¾-106o2¾+107
Under-u2¾-115u2¾-114-u2¾-114u2¾-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-125o2½-123-o2½-140o2½-130o2¾+107
Underu2½+105u2½+103-u2½+110u2½+110u2¾-107

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.0%
 
No52.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.06%
Exactly 225.56%
Exactly 413.51%
Exactly 62.86%
Exactly 80.32%
 
Exactly 120.29%
Exactly 321.45%
Exactly 56.80%
Exactly 71.03%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 039.73%
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 216.93%
Exactly 35.21%
Exactly 41.20%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 020.28%
Exactly 132.36%
Exactly 225.81%
Exactly 313.73%
Exactly 45.47%
Exactly 51.75%
Exactly 60.46%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.16%
Exactly 221.18%
Exactly 42.40%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.33%
Exactly 38.23%
Exactly 50.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 065.22%
Exactly 127.88%
Exactly 25.96%
Exactly 30.85%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 047.78%
Exactly 135.29%
Exactly 213.03%
Exactly 33.21%
Exactly 40.59%

Alternate Props

Spread

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals7.32%
Wins by 3+ goals1.86%
Wins by 4+ goals0.36%
Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals28.14%
Wins by 3+ goals11.83%
Wins by 4+ goals4.05%
Wins by 5+ goals1.15%
Wins by 6+ goals0.27%

Exact Winning Margin

Watford
Newcastle United
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Watford
Wins by 1 goal14.44%
Wins by 2 goals5.46%
Wins by 3 goals1.50%
Wins by 4 goals0.32%
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal24.95%
Wins by 2 goals16.31%
Wins by 3 goals7.78%
Wins by 4 goals2.90%
Wins by 5 goals0.88%
Wins by 6 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.94%8.06%
1.571.65%28.35%
2.546.09%53.91%
3.524.64%75.36%
4.511.13%88.87%
5.54.33%95.67%
6.51.47%98.53%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.27%39.73%
1.523.60%76.40%
2.56.67%93.33%
3.51.46%98.54%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.72%20.28%
1.547.36%52.64%
2.521.54%78.46%
3.57.82%92.18%
4.52.34%97.66%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.84%31.16%
1.532.51%67.49%
2.511.32%88.68%
3.53.09%96.91%

Score Props

Correct Score

Watford
Newcastle United
Score012345
0
8.06%
12.86%
10.25%
5.45%
2.17%
0.69%
1
7.44%
11.87%
9.47%
5.03%
2.01%
0.64%
2
3.43%
5.48%
4.37%
2.32%
0.93%
0.30%
3
1.06%
1.69%
1.34%
0.72%
0.29%
0.09%
4
0.24%
0.39%
0.31%
0.17%
0.07%
0.02%
Watford
1-07.44%
2-03.43%
2-15.48%
3-01.06%
3-11.69%
3-21.34%
4-00.24%
4-10.39%
4-20.31%
4-30.17%
Draw
0-08.06%
1-111.87%
2-24.37%
3-30.72%
Newcastle United
0-112.86%
0-210.25%
1-29.47%
0-35.45%
1-35.03%
2-32.32%
0-42.17%
1-42.01%
2-40.93%
3-40.29%
0-50.69%
1-50.64%
2-50.30%

Correct Score - First Half

Watford
Newcastle United
Score01234
0
31.16%
23.02%
8.50%
2.09%
0.39%
1
13.32%
9.84%
3.63%
0.89%
0.17%
2
2.85%
2.10%
0.78%
0.19%
0.04%
3
0.41%
0.30%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Watford
1-013.32%
2-02.85%
2-12.10%
3-00.41%
3-10.30%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-031.16%
1-19.84%
2-20.78%
Newcastle United
0-123.02%
0-28.50%
1-23.63%
0-32.09%
1-30.89%
2-30.19%
0-40.39%
1-40.17%