English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 2, 2021

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedLiverpool
Manchester United
36.3%
35.9%
27.8%
+145
+190
+150
+185
1.20
1.18
2.38
o2½-130
u2¾-122
o2½-125
u2½+125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for May 1, 2021

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Arsenal
Tottenham
30.8%
42.8%
26.4%
+232
+131
+230
+125
0
3
-0.85607-0.85170-0.84915
Manchester City
Wolverhampton
69.0%
12.3%
18.7%
-385
+1200
-425
+1300
5
1
-0.25093-0.24903-0.37122
Everton
Watford
59.3%
17.9%
22.8%
-143
+485
-165
+500
0
0
-1.36508-1.40760-1.47709
Norwich City
Leicester City
10.2%
72.2%
17.6%
+891
-290
+840
-300
0
3
-0.31422-0.32775-0.32552
Chelsea
Leeds United
58.8%
19.2%
21.9%
-139
+403
-150
+390
3
0
-0.55486-0.55213-0.53079
Liverpool
Aston Villa
62.6%
16.8%
20.6%
-195
+647
-213
+650
2
1
-0.41849-0.40899-0.46919
Newcastle United
Manchester City
5.5%
82.8%
11.7%
+1700
-575
+1600
-572
0
5
-0.19346-0.20355-0.18843
West Ham United
Norwich City
52.8%
22.2%
25.0%
-138
+390
-140
+380
4
0
-0.56680-0.58594-0.63959
Everton
Leicester City
25.5%
49.5%
24.9%
+191
+168
+164
+180
2
1
-1.08509-1.01807-1.36465
Leeds United
Arsenal
18.0%
59.7%
22.3%
+535
-187
+585
-210
1
2
-0.45174-0.41864-0.51664
Tottenham
Liverpool
20.7%
56.6%
22.7%
+625
-224
+610
-245
1
1
-1.66379-1.67526-1.48109
Manchester United
Brighton and Hove Albion
63.3%
15.6%
21.0%
+150
+207
+135
+215
0
4
-1.14134-1.18551-1.85604
Aston Villa
Burnley
41.2%
31.4%
27.4%
+153
+218
+145
+205
3
1
-0.94364-0.93440-0.88739
Wolverhampton
Chelsea
19.5%
57.9%
22.5%
+860
-260
+900
-300
2
2
-1.64990-1.65826-1.49148
Watford
Crystal Palace
20.8%
53.1%
26.1%
+459
-143
+435
-145
0
1
-0.55054-0.55909-0.63386
Arsenal
West Ham United
43.1%
30.2%
26.7%
-121
+357
-125
+340
2
1
-0.62168-0.63407-0.84218
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
#TeamWLTPtsWin PremiershipChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Manchester City (16-2-5, 53 pts)25.24.68.283.796.7%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Manchester United (13-4-7, 46 pts)19.87.510.770.21.8%84.1%7.7%0.0%
3Leicester City (14-6-4, 46 pts)20.110.07.968.21.0%70.8%13.5%0.0%
4Chelsea (12-6-6, 42 pts)18.210.09.864.30.0%42.5%19.5%0.0%
5West Ham United (12-6-6, 42 pts)16.711.49.960.00.0%11.8%10.7%0.0%
6Liverpool (11-6-7, 40 pts)18.88.910.466.70.4%61.9%19.0%0.0%
7Everton (11-7-4, 37 pts)16.712.88.558.70.1%8.0%7.5%0.0%
8Aston Villa (11-8-3, 36 pts)16.214.57.455.90.0%3.7%4.1%0.0%
9Tottenham (10-7-6, 36 pts)16.711.210.160.20.0%14.8%13.4%0.0%
10Arsenal (10-10-4, 34 pts)16.014.37.755.70.0%2.2%4.2%0.0%
11Leeds United (10-11-2, 32 pts)14.417.56.049.40.0%0.0%0.2%0.3%
12Wolverhampton (8-10-6, 30 pts)13.115.09.949.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
13Southampton (8-10-5, 29 pts)13.315.59.249.00.0%0.2%0.2%0.3%
14Crystal Palace (8-11-5, 29 pts)12.017.38.744.70.0%0.0%0.0%1.8%
15Brighton and Hove Albion (5-8-11, 26 pts)9.213.914.842.50.0%0.0%0.0%6.0%
16Burnley (7-11-5, 26 pts)11.417.49.243.30.0%0.0%0.0%5.3%
17Newcastle United (7-13-4, 25 pts)10.819.57.740.20.0%0.0%0.0%14.5%
17Watford (6-14-9, 27 pts)8.318.311.436.40.0%0.0%0.0%32.5%
20Norwich City (5-18-6, 21 pts)6.922.88.329.00.0%0.0%0.0%95.1%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.