English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 30, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Brighton and Hove Albion
Aston Villa 		26.9%
47.4%		25.8%
+255
-105

1.07
1.51		2.58
o3-108
u3-112

Newcastle United
Manchester United 		9.8%
74.0%		16.1%
+185
+130

0.76
2.43		3.19
o3-102
u3-118

Games for Dec 29, 2024
Games for Dec 31, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Liverpool
Tottenham		47.5%
27.3%		25.3%
-157
+390
-165
+380
6
3		-0.52020-0.52562-0.74539
Bournemouth
Manchester United		6.7%
80.0%		13.3%
+320
-112
+310
-115
3
0		-1.46421-1.44244-2.69681
Wolverhampton
Leicester City		22.7%
52.5%		24.8%
+142
+202
+155
+200
3
0		-0.91339-0.94721-1.48404
Chelsea
Everton		45.7%
29.0%		25.3%
-144
+400
-150
+435
0
0		-1.46292-1.44134-1.37314
Southampton
Fulham		49.2%
25.3%		25.5%
+450
-162
+600
-159
0
0		-1.49077-1.51659-1.36602
Arsenal
Crystal Palace		50.7%
23.4%		25.9%
-215
+685
-215
+665
5
1		-0.40889-0.40985-0.67962
Brighton and Hove Albion
West Ham United		25.8%
48.1%		26.1%
+150
+182
+150
+170
1
1		-1.33291-1.33815-1.34462
Manchester City
Aston Villa		72.3%
11.0%		16.7%
+120
+222
+115
+230
1
2		-1.20274-1.23162-2.20482
West Ham United
Bournemouth		53.6%
22.0%		24.4%
+340
-130
+350
-140
1
1		-1.48338-1.47780-1.41256
Tottenham
Southampton		46.7%
28.5%		24.8%
-135
+325
-130
+325
5
0		-0.58109-0.59795-0.76098
Manchester United
Manchester City		20.1%
57.1%		22.8%
+480
-193
+460
-195
2
1		-1.79246-1.76160-1.60400
Crystal Palace
Brighton and Hove Albion		31.1%
39.5%		29.4%
+315
-109
+304
-110
3
1		-1.45188-1.43704-1.16790
Everton
Arsenal		27.2%
46.9%		25.9%
+1200
-415
+1150
-415
0
0		-1.92073-1.87738-1.35232
Leicester City
Newcastle United		57.1%
19.8%		23.2%
+925
-360
+920
-360
0
4		-0.27858-0.28772-1.62126
Fulham
Liverpool		6.7%
79.6%		13.7%
+925
-350
+900
-325
2
2		-1.87132-1.85700-1.98530
Wolverhampton
West Ham United		33.3%
38.8%		27.9%
+345
-125
+315
-120
1
2		-0.61284-0.64808-0.94776
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
#TeamWLTPtsWin PremiershipChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Manchester City (16-2-5, 53 pts)25.24.68.283.796.7%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Manchester United (13-4-7, 46 pts)19.87.510.770.21.8%84.1%7.7%0.0%
3Leicester City (14-6-4, 46 pts)20.110.07.968.21.0%70.8%13.5%0.0%
4Chelsea (12-6-6, 42 pts)18.210.09.864.30.0%42.5%19.5%0.0%
5West Ham United (12-6-6, 42 pts)16.711.49.960.00.0%11.8%10.7%0.0%
6Liverpool (11-6-7, 40 pts)18.88.910.466.70.4%61.9%19.0%0.0%
7Everton (11-7-4, 37 pts)16.712.88.558.70.1%8.0%7.5%0.0%
8Aston Villa (11-8-3, 36 pts)16.214.57.455.90.0%3.7%4.1%0.0%
9Tottenham (10-7-6, 36 pts)16.711.210.160.20.0%14.8%13.4%0.0%
10Arsenal (10-10-4, 34 pts)16.014.37.755.70.0%2.2%4.2%0.0%
11Leeds United (10-11-2, 32 pts)14.417.56.049.40.0%0.0%0.2%0.3%
12Wolverhampton (8-10-6, 30 pts)13.115.09.949.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
13Southampton (8-10-5, 29 pts)13.315.59.249.00.0%0.2%0.2%0.3%
14Crystal Palace (8-11-5, 29 pts)12.017.38.744.70.0%0.0%0.0%1.8%
15Brighton and Hove Albion (5-8-11, 26 pts)9.213.914.842.50.0%0.0%0.0%6.0%
16Burnley (7-11-5, 26 pts)11.417.49.243.30.0%0.0%0.0%5.3%
17Newcastle United (7-13-4, 25 pts)10.819.57.740.20.0%0.0%0.0%14.5%
17Watford (6-14-9, 27 pts)8.318.311.436.40.0%0.0%0.0%32.5%
20Norwich City (5-18-6, 21 pts)6.922.88.329.00.0%0.0%0.0%95.1%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.