MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 12, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Robert Gasser
Paul Skenes
60.9%
39.1%
+109
-115
+105
-115
+1½-200
-1½+180
+1½-210
-1½+185
4.94
3.80
8.74
o7½-110
u7½+100
o7½-110
u7½-105
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Seth Lugo
Shane Baz
51.2%
48.8%
+138
-150
+135
-145
+1½-150
-1½+145
+1½-150
-1½+140
5.11
4.98
10.09
o9½-105
u9½-115
o9½-105
u9½-115
New York Yankees (69-52)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Will Warren
Cade Cavalli
55.1%
44.9%
-110
+100
-110
+100
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-160
5.23
4.70
9.93
o9-115
u9½-125
o9-115
u9½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Matthew Boyd
Andrew Abbott
42.1%
57.9%
-125
+113
-124
+115
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
4.04
4.87
8.91
o9½+105
u9½-120
o9½+100
u9½-120
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Emerson Hancock
Ian Seymour
39.2%
60.8%
+113
-125
+115
-124
+1½-180
-1½+175
+1½-185
-1½+165
3.93
5.06
8.99
o7½-120
u7½+102
o7½-120
u7½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Zack Wheeler
Tarik Skubal
55.8%
44.2%
-102
-108
+100
-108


4.79
4.18
8.97
o7½+105
u7½-120
o7½+100
u7½-120
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Joey Cantillo
Tyler Phillips
47.9%
52.1%
-102
-108
+100
-110

+1½-205
-1½+180
4.28
4.49
8.77
o8-115
u8½-120
o8-115
u8-105
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
New York Mets (60-60)
Payton Tolle
Zach Thornton
49.7%
50.3%
-120
+109
-118
+111
-1½+145
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-155
4.92
4.95
9.87
o8½+105
u8½-120
o8½+100
u8½-120
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Jose Soriano
Taj Bradley
48.4%
51.6%
+119
-131
+120
-130
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+155
5.33
5.50
10.83
o8½-120
u8½+105
o8½-125
u8½+105
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
JT Ginn
Noah Schultz
45.6%
54.4%
+102
-112
+102
-107


4.60
5.06
9.66
o8½-115
u8½+100
o8½-115
u8½-105
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
JR Ritchie
Dustin May
51.7%
48.3%
+118
-130
+120
-129
+1½-170
-1½+165
+1½-170
-1½+155
4.34
4.16
8.50
o8½+100
u8½-120
o8½+100
u8½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Houston Astros (70-50)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Cristian Javier
MacKenzie Gore
62.6%
37.4%
+113
-125
+113
-127
+1½-185
-1½+161
+1½-184
-1½+160
5.43
4.11
9.54
o8½-105
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½-115
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Michael Lorenzen
Trevor McDonald
38.1%
61.9%
+131
-144
+130
-140
+1½-165
-1½+155
+1½-160
-1½+145
4.22
5.46
9.68
o8½-115
u8½+105
o8½-115
u8½-105
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Mitch Bratt
Emmet Sheehan
33.5%
66.5%
+185
-200
+190
-200
+1½-115
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½+100
3.54
5.25
8.79
o9½-110
u9½-110
o9½-110
u9½-110
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Kevin Gausman
German Marquez
46.7%
53.3%
-121
+110
-120
+111
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-150
4.29
4.63
8.92
o8½+105
u8+100
o8-120
u8+100
Games for Jul 11, 2026
Games for Jul 13, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
46.7%
53.3%
-103
-107
-102
-105
+1½-205
-1½+185
+1½-210
-1½+190
9.07
o8-105
u8-115
o8+100
u8-115
6th
BOT
7
8
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
29.1%
70.9%
+265
-300
+262
-300
+1½+130
-1½-150
+1½+135
-1½-140
8.80
o8½-105
u8½-105
o8½-110
u8½-100
6th
BOT
6
2

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Washington Nationals
Cincinnati Reds
43.0%
57.0%
+190
-210
+205
-214
+1½+100
-1½-116
+1½+105
-1½-114
7
3
-1.08672-1.12448-0.84416
Miami Marlins
Texas Rangers
50.9%
49.1%
+129
-140
+132
-140
+1½-164
-1½+144
+1½-150
-1½+155
8
9
-0.55881-0.55326-0.71184
Atlanta Braves
Chicago Cubs
53.8%
46.2%
-138
+127
-137
+139
-1½+105
+1½-119
-1½+111
+1½-115
6
8
-0.83993-0.86776-0.77260
Tampa Bay Rays
Detroit Tigers
61.7%
38.3%
-142
+130
-142
+139
-1½+115
+1½-133
-1½+116
+1½-120
2
4
-0.85426-0.87647-0.95922
Houston Astros
New York Yankees
56.2%
43.8%
-133
+122
-133
+127
-1½+120
+1½-137
-1½+122
+1½-130
1
3
-0.81855-0.83105-0.82659
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
48.3%
51.7%
+116
-126
+115
-122
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+170
10
5
-0.79039-0.78001-0.72701
Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels
46.2%
53.8%
-113
+103
-110
+103
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+150
+1½-160
9
7
-0.65676-0.66291-0.77265
Colorado Rockies
St. Louis Cardinals
43.5%
56.5%
+171
-187
+172
-185
+1½-118
-1½+100
+1½-110
-1½+105
9
4
-1.01733-1.01724-0.83174
Arizona Diamondbacks
Minnesota Twins
41.7%
58.3%
+102
-112
+115
-115
+1½-192
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+170
2
3
-0.66116-0.62571-0.53899
Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers
33.2%
66.8%
+166
-181
+169
-170
+1½-124
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+120
8
4
-0.99821-0.99091-1.10241
Miami Marlins
Texas Rangers
52.9%
47.1%
+121
-132
+123
-131
+1½-167
-1½+150
+1½-155
-1½+160
2
6
-0.58515-0.58263-0.75328
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
48.2%
51.8%
+148
-162
+150
-160
+1½-136
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+120
7
3
-0.92958-0.93156-0.72977
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Indians
54.5%
45.5%
+140
-153
+145
-155
+1½-148
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+133
2
4
-0.52415-0.51371-0.78812
Kansas City Royals
Philadelphia Phillies
35.5%
64.5%
+218
-245
+222
-240
+1½+106
-1½-125
+1½+115
-1½-120
7
5
-1.18117-1.18567-1.03657
New York Mets
Baltimore Orioles
57.5%
42.5%
+128
-139
+140
-142
+1½-148
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+131
3
10
-0.56198-0.53655-0.85468
Houston Astros
New York Yankees
48.0%
52.0%
-173
+158
-175
+160
-1½-115
+1½-104
-1½-110
+1½-105
7
3
-0.47726-0.47276-0.73439
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks149-5 (0.643)0-0.66067 
Sportsbooks149-5 (0.643)0-0.66124 
DRatings148-6 (0.571)0-0.67606
-0.01540
-0.01482

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.