MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 12, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Robert Gasser
Paul Skenes
60.9%
39.1%
+109
-120
+115
-115
+1½-185
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+185
4.99
3.84
8.83
o7½-117
u7½+100
o7½-110
u7½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Seth Lugo
Shane Baz
51.2%
48.8%
+135
-149
+140
-150
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+130
5.11
4.98
10.09
o9½-105
u9½-110
o9½-105
u9½-110
New York Yankees (69-52)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Will Warren
Cade Cavalli
55.1%
44.9%
-110
+100
-110
+100
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-160
5.23
4.70
9.93
o9-125
u9½-125
o9-115
u9½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Matthew Boyd
Andrew Abbott
42.1%
57.9%
-125
+113
-124
+115
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
4.04
4.87
8.91
o9½+100
u9½-115
o9½+100
u9½-110
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Emerson Hancock
Ian Seymour
39.2%
60.8%
+118
-130
+120
-128
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+165
3.93
5.06
8.99
o7½-120
u7½+102
o7½-120
u7½+100
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Zack Wheeler
Tarik Skubal
55.8%
44.2%
+100
-110
+100
-108
+1½-218
-1½+190
+1½-210
-1½+190
4.79
4.18
8.97
o7½+105
u7+100
o7½+105
u7½-120
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Joey Cantillo
Tyler Phillips
47.9%
52.1%
-102
-108
+102
-110
+1½-215
-1½+183
+1½-205
-1½+180
4.28
4.49
8.77
o8-115
u8-105
o8-115
u8-105
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
New York Mets (60-60)
Payton Tolle
Zach Thornton
49.7%
50.3%
-116
+105
-118
+111
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-155
4.92
4.95
9.87
o8½+105
u8½-120
o8½+100
u8½-120
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Jose Soriano
Taj Bradley
48.4%
51.6%
+122
-134
+125
-130
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+155
5.33
5.50
10.83
o8½-120
u8½+102
o8½-125
u8½+105
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
JT Ginn
Noah Schultz
45.6%
54.4%
+102
-112
+102
-105
+1½-200
-1½+175

4.60
5.06
9.66
o8½-115
u8½+100
o8½-115
u8½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
JR Ritchie
Dustin May
51.7%
48.3%
+118
-128
+120
-129
+1½-170
-1½+165
+1½-170
-1½+155
4.34
4.16
8.50
o8½+100
u8½-115
o8½+100
u8½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Houston Astros (70-50)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Cristian Javier
MacKenzie Gore
62.6%
37.4%
+115
-125
+117
-124
+1½-175
-1½+161
+1½-180
-1½+160
5.42
4.09
9.51
o8½-105
u8½-110
o8½-105
u8½-115
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Michael Lorenzen
Trevor McDonald
38.1%
61.9%
+125
-136
+130
-138
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-160
-1½+145
4.19
5.44
9.63
o8½-115
u8½+100
o8½-115
u8½-105
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Mitch Bratt
Emmet Sheehan
33.5%
66.5%
+189
-210
+190
-200
+1½-102
-1½-105
+1½-105
-1½+100
3.54
5.25
8.79
o9½-103
u9½-110
o9½-110
u9½-110
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Kevin Gausman
German Marquez
46.7%
53.3%
-123
+112
-120
+115
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-150
4.29
4.63
8.92
o8½+100
u8+105
o8-120
u8+100
Games for Jul 11, 2026
Games for Jul 13, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Boston Red Sox
Seattle Mariners
46.5%
53.5%
+116
-126
+115
-120
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+175
2
6
-0.60453-0.61667-0.62551
Cleveland Indians
Houston Astros
37.6%
62.4%
+151
-162
+155
-168
+1½-118
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+110
3
7
-0.49733-0.48587-0.47167
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
51.6%
48.4%
+115
-125
+116
-123
+1½-195
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+180
6
5
-0.78592-0.78454-0.66231
Los Angeles Angels
Atlanta Braves
43.9%
56.1%
+190
-207
+185
-204
+1½-103
-1½-115
+1½-103
-1½-105
4
1
-1.08362-1.06900-0.82412
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays
30.1%
69.9%
+126
-137
+133
-136
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+150
4
2
-0.83570-0.85132-1.20045
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
47.2%
52.8%
-155
+142
-150
+145
-1½+106
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-125
5
1
-0.51869-0.51896-0.74982
Milwaukee Brewers
Washington Nationals
57.7%
42.3%
-197
+179
-200
+181
-1½-117
+1½+105
-1½-120
+1½+110
3
5
-1.04754-1.05547-0.86114
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
51.7%
48.3%
+100
-110
+107
-105


4
2
-0.71668-0.72282-0.65952
New York Yankees
Baltimore Orioles
62.2%
37.8%
+139
-152
+143
-140
+1½-153
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+143
3
9
-0.52690-0.53384-0.97196
Texas Rangers
San Diego Padres
34.3%
65.7%
+166
-182
+175
-188
+1½-118
-1½+100
+1½-120
-1½+104
3
5
-0.45901-0.44281-0.42063
Seattle Mariners
Arizona Diamondbacks
53.0%
47.0%
-103
-107
-104
-102

-1½+155
+1½-165
4
0
-0.70249-0.68838-0.63571
Cincinnati Reds
Los Angeles Dodgers
37.7%
62.3%
+146
-159
+152
-156
+1½-137
-1½+120
+1½-125
-1½+118
9
0
-0.92037-0.93044-0.97585
Boston Red Sox
San Francisco Giants
45.1%
54.9%
-105
-105
-102
-105

-1½+156
+1½-165
3
4
-0.69315-0.68605-0.59906
Oakland Athletics
Colorado Rockies
53.9%
46.1%
+117
-127
+114
-110
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-175
-1½+160
0
2
-0.60086-0.63769-0.77518
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
47.5%
52.5%
+118
-128
+122
-125
+1½-173
-1½+153
+1½-165
-1½+158
0
3
-0.59724-0.59377-0.64424
Cleveland Indians
Chicago White Sox
41.4%
58.6%
-139
+128
-138
+130
-1½+120
+1½-136
-1½+115
+1½-128
5
0
-0.56198-0.55953-0.88232
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1610-6 (0.625)0-0.70323 
Sportsbooks1610-6 (0.625)0-0.70349 
DRatings169-7 (0.562)0-0.70788
-0.00465
-0.00439

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.