MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 17, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Griffin Jax
Jake Bennett
48.5%
51.5%
+111
-122
+116
-122
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+165
4.65
4.81
9.46
o8½-110
u8½-110
o8½-110
u8½-110
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Roki Sasaki
Gerrit Cole
46.5%
53.5%
-111
+101
-110
+104
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-159
4.11
4.48
8.59
o9-120
u9+100
o9-120
u9+100
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
48.5%
51.5%
+110
-132

+1½-195
-1½+165

4.65
4.81
9.46
o8½-110
u8½-110

Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Jared Jones
Gavin Williams
40.0%
60.0%
+113
-125
+116
-120
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+170
3.93
4.98
8.91
o7½-110
u7½-110
o7½-110
u7½-105
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Anthony Kay
Spencer Miles
46.6%
53.4%
+118
-130
+120
-128
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+158
4.69
5.05
9.74
o8½-110
u8½-110
o8½-110
u8½-110
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Cal Quantrill
Chris Sale
35.9%
64.1%
+175
-195
+185
-200
+1½-125
-1½+105
+1½-123
-1½+105
4.35
5.82
10.17
o8½+100
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½-115
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Sandy Alcantara
Logan Henderson
41.1%
58.9%
+129
-139
+130
-140
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+150
3.70
4.64
8.34
o8-115
u8+100
o8-115
u8-105
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Bailey Ober
Colin Rea
49.9%
50.1%
+121
-133
+120
-130
+1½-155
-1½+145
+1½-155
-1½+137
5.36
5.36
10.72
o10½-105
u10½-110
o10½-105
u10½-115
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Dean Kremer
Peter Lambert
31.0%
69.0%
-105
-105
+100
-108
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-200
-1½+175
3.73
5.68
9.41
o8½-120
u8½+100
o8½-120
u8½+100
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Mike King
Seth Lugo
54.3%
45.7%
-110
+100
-110
+100
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
4.97
4.51
9.48
o10½-105
u10-107
o10-115
u10-105
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Brady Singer
Gabriel Hughes
51.6%
48.4%
+100
-110
+105
-107


5.10
4.93
10.03
o12+100
u12-105
o12-105
u12-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Troy Melton
Reid Detmers
40.8%
59.2%
-105
-105
+100
-106
-1½+155
+1½-175
+1½-205
-1½+185
4.23
5.19
9.42
o8-110
u8-105
o8-105
u8½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Merrill Kelly
52.2%
47.8%
-114
-106
-107
-105
-1½+150
+1½-175
-1½+150
+1½-170
4.26
4.03
8.29
o9-125
u9+105
o9-120
u9+100
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Cade Cavalli
Gage Jump
40.7%
59.3%
-105
-105
+100
-105

+1½-185
-1½+170
4.44
5.42
9.86
o10-110
u10-105
o10-110
u10-105
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Landen Roupp
Bryce Miller
54.6%
45.4%
+136
-150
+137
-145
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-162
-1½+145
4.67
4.19
8.86
o7-105
u7-103
o7-120
u7+100
Games for Jul 16, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
49.2%
50.8%
-133
+126
-135
+129
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-133
3
4
-0.82858-0.83965-0.67820
Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles
61.2%
38.8%
-114
+105
-115
+112
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+140
+1½-145
4
1
-0.65009-0.63228-0.49070
New York Yankees
Texas Rangers
56.3%
43.7%
-147
+140
-145
+137
-1½+110
+1½-128
-1½+115
+1½-128
3
1
-0.53071-0.53820-0.57393
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
42.3%
57.7%
+107
-114
+110
-110
+1½-190
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+178
1
3
-0.64546-0.64663-0.54976
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
48.1%
51.9%
-147
+141
-147
+142
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-128
0
4
-0.88965-0.89211-0.65562
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
56.2%
43.8%
-145
+137
-146
+140
-1½+112
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-125
2
3
-0.87659-0.88557-0.82533
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Indians
51.0%
49.0%
+180
-189
+177
-188
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+117
5
2
-1.04069-1.03254-0.67405
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
49.7%
50.3%
+116
-124
+120
-125
+1½-183
-1½+163
+1½-185
-1½+170
3
5
-0.60776-0.59784-0.68800
Chicago White Sox
San Diego Padres
46.4%
53.6%
+145
-152
+144
-148
+1½-165
-1½+155
+1½-155
-1½+155
2
1
-0.90736-0.89857-0.76778
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
54.2%
45.8%
+235
-235
+230
-239
+1½+100
-1½-111
+1½+105
-1½-115
10
3
-1.20895-1.20194-0.61229
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
36.3%
63.7%
+240
-255
+240
-257
+1½+115
-1½-130
+1½+125
-1½-125
4
1
-1.23612-1.23767-1.01335
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
42.1%
57.9%
+110
-118
+110
-115
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+170
3
8
-0.63113-0.63673-0.54659
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
33.6%
66.4%
+118
-127
+118
-124
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-178
-1½+170
3
4
-0.59878-0.60358-0.40962
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
37.7%
62.3%
+163
-171
+164
-168
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-142
-1½+135
7
5
-0.97814-0.97641-0.97519
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
51.4%
48.6%
+174
-182
+165
-175
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+125
1
8
-0.44820-0.46561-0.72146
Tampa Bay Rays
Houston Astros
48.9%
51.1%
+151
-159
+151
-157
+1½-148
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+138
1
3
-0.50017-0.50210-0.67166
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1 (0.000)0-0.74701 
Sportsbooks10-1 (0.000)0-0.76430 
DRatings10-1 (0.000)0-0.76778
-0.02077
-0.00348

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.