MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 17, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Griffin Jax
Jake Bennett
48.5%
51.5%
+111
-122
+116
-125
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+165
4.65
4.81
9.46
o8½-105
u8½-115
o8½-110
u8½-110
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Roki Sasaki
Gerrit Cole
46.5%
53.5%
-111
+101
-110
+104
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-159
4.11
4.48
8.59
o9-120
u9+100
o9-120
u9+100
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
48.5%
51.5%
+108
-130

+1½-195
-1½+165

4.65
4.81
9.46
o8½-105
u8½-115

Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Jared Jones
Gavin Williams
40.0%
60.0%
+117
-125
+116
-120
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+170
3.92
4.97
8.89
o7½-110
u7½-110
o7½-110
u7½-105
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Anthony Kay
Spencer Miles
46.6%
53.4%
+118
-130
+120
-128
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+158
4.69
5.05
9.74
o8½-110
u8½-110
o8½-110
u8½-110
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Cal Quantrill
Chris Sale
35.9%
64.1%
+184
-205
+185
-200
+1½-117
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+105
4.35
5.82
10.17
o8½-105
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½-115
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Sandy Alcantara
Logan Henderson
41.1%
58.9%
+130
-139
+130
-140
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+145
3.70
4.64
8.34
o8-115
u8-105
o8-115
u8-105
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Bailey Ober
Colin Rea
49.9%
50.1%
+121
-133
+125
-130
+1½-155
-1½+145
+1½-155
-1½+137
5.36
5.36
10.72
o10½-108
u10½-110
o10½-105
u10½-115
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Dean Kremer
Peter Lambert
31.0%
69.0%
-105
-105
+100
-110
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-200
-1½+175
3.73
5.68
9.41
o8½-120
u8½+100
o8½-120
u8½+100
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Mike King
Seth Lugo
54.3%
45.7%
-110
+100
-110
+100
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+143
+1½-160
5.15
4.71
9.86
o10½-105
u10-102
o10-115
u10-105
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Brady Singer
Gabriel Hughes
51.6%
48.4%
+102
-112
+105
-107


5.10
4.93
10.03
o12-110
u12-105
o12-105
u12-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Troy Melton
Reid Detmers
40.8%
59.2%
-110
+100
+100
-106
-1½+155
+1½-175

4.23
5.19
9.42
o8-110
u8-110
o8-105
u8-105
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Merrill Kelly
52.2%
47.8%
-114
-106
-107
-105
-1½+150
+1½-175
-1½+150
+1½-170
4.26
4.03
8.29
o9-125
u9+105
o9-120
u9+100
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Cade Cavalli
Gage Jump
40.7%
59.3%
-105
-105
+100
-105

+1½-185
-1½+170
4.44
5.42
9.86
o10-110
u10-105
o10-110
u10-105
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Landen Roupp
Bryce Miller
54.6%
45.4%
+139
-153
+140
-150
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-162
-1½+145
4.62
4.15
8.77
o7-105
u7-106
o7-110
u7+100
Games for Jul 16, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Indians
44.9%
55.1%
+124
-127
+125
-135
+1½-181
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+175
3
6
-0.58665-0.57304-0.59642
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
39.2%
60.8%
+180
-185
+181
-190
+1½-124
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+110
0
9
-0.43838-0.43383-0.49822
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
29.7%
70.3%
+155
-163
+156
-163
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+127
2
1
-0.94794-0.95034-1.21476
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
51.4%
48.6%
+143
-153
+147
-152
+1½-156
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+141
1
6
-0.51909-0.51355-0.72146
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
50.8%
49.2%
-190
+209
-220
+205
-1½-110
+1½+120
-1½-125
+1½+120
5
1
-0.40142-0.38995-0.67792
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
38.1%
61.9%
+215
-235
+213
-230
+1½+105
-1½-115
+1½-105
-1½-105
4
6
-0.37333-0.37734-0.47931
Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners
37.1%
62.9%
+110
-118
+113
-116
+1½-195
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+176
9
10
-0.63113-0.62818-0.46348
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
50.1%
49.9%
-140
+133
-140
+138
-1½+125
+1½-138
-1½+120
+1½-132
5
2
-0.55144-0.54249-0.69107
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
55.7%
44.3%
+236
-255
+233
-250
+1½+110
-1½-125
+1½+115
-1½-122
2
4
-0.34665-0.35095-0.81385
Miami Marlins
Milwaukee Brewers
42.2%
57.8%
+153
-163
+153
-160
+1½-145
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+125
4
2
-0.94312-0.93879-0.86157
Tampa Bay Rays
Cleveland Indians
56.6%
43.4%
-130
+120
-128
+124
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-153
1
2
-0.80802-0.81428-0.83487
Philadelphia Phillies
Chicago Cubs
51.5%
48.5%
-175
+165
-174
+165
-1½-110
+1½+100
-1½-110
+1½-105
0
2
-0.98819-0.98687-0.72453
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
30.3%
69.7%
+135
-143
+137
-144
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+134
3
5
-0.54412-0.53940-0.36080
Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins
56.6%
43.4%
-105
-101
-107
+101
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-170
4
3
-0.68363-0.67421-0.56914
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
48.0%
52.0%
+117
-124
+120
-125
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+165
3
10
-0.60567-0.59784-0.65331
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
38.1%
61.9%
+148
-158
+148
-154
+1½-141
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+130
3
6
-0.50587-0.50986-0.47931
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1 (0.000)0-0.74701 
Sportsbooks10-1 (0.000)0-0.76430 
DRatings10-1 (0.000)0-0.76778
-0.02077
-0.00348

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.