MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 17, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Griffin Jax
Jake Bennett
48.5%
51.5%
+103
-113
+106
-111
+1½-197
-1½+172
+1½-190
-1½+170
4.65
4.81
9.46
o8-115
u8-105
o8-115
u8½-110
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Roki Sasaki
Gerrit Cole
46.5%
53.5%
-105
-105
-101
+100
-1½+148
+1½-168

4.29
4.65
8.94
o9-115
u9-103
o9-120
u9+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
48.5%
51.5%
+100
-110
+105
-110
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-210
-1½+185
4.65
4.81
9.46
o9-105
u9-115
o9-105
u9-115
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Jared Jones
Gavin Williams
40.0%
60.0%
+113
-125
+115
-122
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+170
3.92
4.97
8.89
o7½-105
u7½-110
o7½-110
u7½-110
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Anthony Kay
Spencer Miles
46.6%
53.4%
+118
-130
+120
-128
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+158
4.69
5.05
9.74
o8½-110
u8½-110
o8½-110
u8½-110
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Cal Quantrill
Chris Sale
35.9%
64.1%
+184
-205
+185
-200
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-119
-1½+100
4.31
5.80
10.11
o8-105
u8-110
o8-110
u8½-115
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Sandy Alcantara
Logan Henderson
41.1%
58.9%
+131
-145
+132
-140
+1½-162
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+145
3.70
4.64
8.34
o8-115
u8-105
o8-115
u8-105
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Bailey Ober
Colin Rea
49.9%
50.1%
+130
-143
+125
-135
+1½-155
-1½+145
+1½-155
-1½+138
5.48
5.48
10.96
o10½-115
u10½+100
o10½-110
u10½-105
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Dean Kremer
Peter Lambert
31.0%
69.0%
+101
-111
+100
-110
+1½-205
-1½+180
+1½-200
-1½+175
3.73
5.68
9.41
o8½-120
u8½+100
o8½-120
u8½+100
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Mike King
Seth Lugo
54.3%
45.7%
-116
+105
-115
+105
-1½+139
+1½-150
-1½+143
+1½-160
5.15
4.71
9.86
o10½+100
u10+105
o10-115
u10+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Brady Singer
Gabriel Hughes
51.6%
48.4%
+102
-112
+103
-110
+1½-190
-1½+165

5.10
4.93
10.03
o12-112
u12-105
o12-105
u12-110
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Troy Melton
Reid Detmers
40.8%
59.2%
-113
+103
-107
+100
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+152
+1½-170
4.23
5.19
9.42
o8-120
u8½-115
o8-110
u8+100
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Michael McGreevy
Merrill Kelly
52.2%
47.8%
-110
+100
-108
-102


4.26
4.03
8.29
o9-115
u9-105
o9-115
u9+100
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Cade Cavalli
Gage Jump
40.7%
59.3%
-106
-104
-103
-101


4.44
5.42
9.86
o10-110
u10-105
o10-110
u10-105
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Landen Roupp
Bryce Miller
54.6%
45.4%
+140
-155
+140
-150
+1½-162
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+147
4.62
4.15
8.77
o7-122
u7+105
o7-110
u7+100
Games for Jul 16, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals
50.2%
49.8%
-120
+111
-120
+114
-1½+134
+1½-150
-1½+133
+1½-145
2
5
-0.76589-0.77347-0.69701
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
51.6%
48.4%
+133
-143
+135
-140
+1½-158
-1½+140
+1½-151
-1½+145
2
7
-0.54771-0.54782-0.72532
Pittsburgh Pirates
New York Yankees
32.4%
67.6%
+240
-260
+245
-262
+1½+115
-1½-125
+1½+115
-1½-124
2
14
-0.34163-0.33683-0.39093
Detroit Tigers
Baltimore Orioles
53.3%
46.7%
+136
-146
+142
-146
+1½-155
-1½+136
+1½-145
-1½+135
1
8
-0.53880-0.52841-0.76119
Toronto Blue Jays
Philadelphia Phillies
53.6%
46.4%
+103
-107
+100
-102
+1½-205
-1½+180
+1½-200
-1½+190
3
4
-0.66935-0.68824-0.76720
Boston Red Sox
Cincinnati Reds
49.4%
50.6%
-146
+138
-143
+136
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+102
+1½-115
1
5
-0.88068-0.87079-0.68157
Houston Astros
Tampa Bay Rays
45.7%
54.3%
-127
+117
-122
+120
-1½+141
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-152
5
2
-0.60086-0.60274-0.78307
Chicago Cubs
Miami Marlins
46.7%
53.3%
+101
-111
+104
-110
+1½-220
-1½+192
+1½-220
-1½+195
4
3
-0.72144-0.72685-0.76136
New York Mets
Milwaukee Brewers
44.7%
55.3%
-125
+123
-128
+125
-1½+126
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-142
0
6
-0.80598-0.81676-0.59245
Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves
38.4%
61.6%
+228
-240
+220
-240
+1½+114
-1½-120
+1½+115
-1½-122
3
2
-1.19855-1.18136-0.95659
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
29.1%
70.9%
+249
-270
+255
-271
+1½+120
-1½-138
+1½+130
-1½-135
5
2
-1.26603-1.27902-1.23278
Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics
42.5%
57.5%
-220
+212
-230
+213
-1½-120
+1½+115
-1½-125
+1½+115
1
4
-1.14583-1.15734-0.55344
St. Louis Cardinals
San Diego Padres
41.2%
58.8%
+105
-112
+102
-108
+1½-190
-1½+175
+1½-210
-1½+190
0
5
-0.65406-0.66959-0.53065
Cleveland Indians
Chicago White Sox
43.9%
56.1%
+161
-167
+157
-165
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+131
10
7
-0.96793-0.95558-0.82312
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
56.1%
43.9%
+103
-112
+108
-113
+1½-175
-1½+160

6
3
-0.72873-0.74360-0.57784
Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals
46.9%
53.1%
-110
+101
-108
+103
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-150
4
5
-0.71924-0.71980-0.63262
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1 (0.000)0-0.74701 
Sportsbooks10-1 (0.000)0-0.76430 
DRatings10-1 (0.000)0-0.76778
-0.02077
-0.00348

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.