MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 17, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Roki Sasaki
Gerrit Cole
46.5%
53.5%
-109
-101
-105
+100
-1½+140
+1½-160

4.14
4.50
8.64
o9-113
u9-105
o9-115
u9+105
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Mason Englert
Eduardo Rivera
48.5%
51.5%
-101
-109
+102
-108
+1½-205
-1½+177
+1½-200
-1½+190
4.65
4.81
9.46
o9-105
u9-115
o9-105
u9-115
PostponedPittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Jared Jones
Gavin Williams
40.0%
60.0%
+106
-126
+110
-115
+1½-200
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+170
3.89
4.94
8.83
o7½-110
u7½-110
o7½-110
u7½-110
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Anthony Kay
Spencer Miles
46.6%
53.4%
+117
-129
+124
-130
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+158
4.69
5.05
9.74
o8½-110
u8½-110
o8½-110
u8½-110
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Cal Quantrill
Chris Sale
35.9%
64.1%
+184
-205
+185
-200
+1½-118
-1½+100
+1½-120
-1½+105
4.24
5.71
9.95
o8-110
u8-110
o8-105
u8½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Sandy Alcantara
Logan Henderson
41.1%
58.9%
+133
-147
+135
-144
+1½-162
-1½+145
+1½-155
-1½+140
3.70
4.64
8.34
o8-105
u8-110
o8-110
u8-105
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Bailey Ober
Colin Rea
49.9%
50.1%
+132
-146
+130
-135
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+135
5.48
5.48
10.96
o11-110
u11-110
o10½-110
u11-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Dean Kremer
Peter Lambert
31.0%
69.0%
+101
-111
+100
-110
+1½-202
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+175
3.73
5.68
9.41
o8½-120
u8½+100
o8½-120
u8½+100
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Mike King
Seth Lugo
54.3%
45.7%
-119
+108
-115
+112
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+143
+1½-145
4.99
4.53
9.52
o10-115
u10+100
o10-115
u10+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Brady Singer
Gabriel Hughes
51.6%
48.4%
+101
-111
+102
-110
+1½-185
-1½+165

5.66
5.49
11.15
o12-110
u12-105
o12-105
u12-110
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Troy Melton
Reid Detmers
40.8%
59.2%
-111
+101
-108
+101
-1½+150
+1½-167
-1½+150
+1½-165
4.26
5.22
9.48
o8½-105
u8½-114
o8-110
u8+105
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Michael McGreevy
Merrill Kelly
52.2%
47.8%
-106
-104
-108
-102


4.26
4.03
8.29
o9+100
u9-120
o9-105
u9+100
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Cade Cavalli
Gage Jump
40.7%
59.3%
-131
+119
-110
+120
-1½+125
+1½-140

4.44
5.42
9.86
o10-115
u10-105
o10-115
u10-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Landen Roupp
Bryce Miller
54.6%
45.4%
+163
-181
+170
-160
+1½-141
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+140
4.65
4.16
8.81
o7-120
u7+102
o7-110
u7+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Jul 16, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Chicago Cubs
New York Mets
42.6%
57.4%
+181
-190
+193
-197
+1½-121
-1½+110
+1½-115
-1½+112
6
3
-1.04418-1.07957-0.85390
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
51.3%
48.7%
+103
-112
+104
-110
+1½-205
-1½+180
+1½-200
-1½+190
1
5
-0.65878-0.66054-0.71914
Baltimore Orioles
Washington Nationals
37.9%
62.1%
-136
+133
-140
+135
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-130
6
2
-0.55661-0.54782-0.97006
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
48.4%
51.6%
-126
+116
-127
+120
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-148
6
1
-0.60453-0.59470-0.72569
San Diego Padres
Seattle Mariners
53.1%
46.9%
+150
-160
+155
-157
+1½-155
-1½+136
+1½-150
-1½+140
1
6
-0.50078-0.49589-0.75692
Atlanta Braves
San Francisco Giants
44.9%
55.1%
-124
+117
-123
+120
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-150
1
4
-0.78902-0.79454-0.59591
Colorado Rockies
Chicago White Sox
40.8%
59.2%
+231
-235
+233
-242
+1½+107
-1½-115
+1½+115
-1½-114
3
0
-1.20055-1.21083-0.89666
Houston Astros
Detroit Tigers
60.8%
39.2%
-209
+200
-205
+195
-1½-135
+1½+116
-1½-131
+1½+120
2
1
-0.40066-0.40836-0.49687
Los Angeles Angels
Cleveland Indians
47.9%
52.1%
+102
-108
+100
-108
+1½-210
-1½+185
+1½-210
-1½+192
3
5
-0.66959-0.67446-0.65270
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds
36.4%
63.6%
+140
-149
+146
-146
+1½-155
-1½+139
+1½-150
-1½+140
10
4
-0.89040-0.90017-1.01176
Atlanta Braves
San Francisco Giants
44.0%
56.0%
-152
+147
-156
+151
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+102
+1½-115
5
1
-0.51355-0.50307-0.82091
San Diego Padres
Seattle Mariners
58.2%
41.8%
-102
-107
-102
+102
+1½-215
-1½+185
+1½-210
-1½+195
2
0
-0.70492-0.68330-0.54123
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
67.6%
32.4%
-190
+180
-195
+185
-1½-120
+1½+110
-1½-120
+1½+115
4
0
-0.43510-0.42580-0.39150
Colorado Rockies
Chicago White Sox
39.6%
60.4%
+180
-190
+178
-187
+1½-117
-1½+100
+1½-120
-1½+105
2
4
-0.43510-0.43959-0.50352
Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers
58.1%
41.9%
+115
-118
+113
-120
+1½-180
-1½+162
+1½-175
-1½+165
7
8
-0.62019-0.62096-0.87074
Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals
54.7%
45.3%
+160
-167
+160
-170
+1½-135
-1½+116
+1½-130
-1½+120
8
4
-0.96553-0.96964-0.60263
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1 (0.500)0-0.70632 
Sportsbooks21-1 (0.500)0-0.70672 
DRatings21-1 (0.500)0-0.71608
-0.00975
-0.00936

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.