MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 17, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Roki Sasaki
Gerrit Cole
46.5%
53.5%
-111
+101
-109
+100
-1½+145
+1½-160

4.14
4.50
8.64
o9-120
u9+100
o9-120
u9½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Mason Englert
Eduardo Rivera
48.5%
51.5%
+115
-127
+115
-123
+1½-177
-1½+155
+1½-180
-1½+165
4.65
4.81
9.46
o9-105
u9-115
o9-105
u9-115
PostponedPittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Jared Jones
Gavin Williams
40.0%
60.0%
+106
-126
+110
-115
+1½-200
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+170
3.89
4.94
8.83
o7½-110
u7½-110
o7½-110
u7½-110
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Anthony Kay
Spencer Miles
46.6%
53.4%
+117
-129
+122
-130
+1½-180
-1½+157
+1½-175
-1½+158
4.69
5.05
9.74
o8½-120
u8½+105
o8½-110
u8½+108
Volatility Bet Value Active
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Cal Quantrill
Chris Sale
35.9%
64.1%
+187
-208
+185
-200
+1½-118
-1½+100
+1½-120
-1½+105
4.24
5.71
9.95
o8-110
u8-110
o8-105
u8½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Sandy Alcantara
Logan Henderson
41.1%
58.9%
+132
-146
+137
-144
+1½-162
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+140
3.70
4.64
8.34
o8-105
u8-115
o8+100
u8-105
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Bailey Ober
Colin Rea
49.9%
50.1%
+135
-148
+134
-135
+1½-147
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+135
5.48
5.48
10.96
o11-120
u11+100
o10½-110
u11-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Dean Kremer
Peter Lambert
31.0%
69.0%
+106
-117
+106
-110
+1½-197
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+175
3.73
5.68
9.41
o8½-120
u8½+100
o8½-120
u8½+100
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Mike King
Seth Lugo
54.3%
45.7%
-122
+111
-115
+110
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+143
+1½-145
4.99
4.53
9.52
o10-110
u10-108
o10+100
u10-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Brady Singer
Gabriel Hughes
51.6%
48.4%
+101
-111
+102
-110
+1½-185
-1½+165

5.66
5.49
11.15
o12-110
u12-105
o12-105
u12-110
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Troy Melton
Reid Detmers
40.8%
59.2%
-110
+100
-105
+100
-1½+155
+1½-168
-1½+155
+1½-165
4.26
5.22
9.48
o8½-105
u8½-114
o8-110
u8+105
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Michael McGreevy
Merrill Kelly
52.2%
47.8%
+101
-111
+100
-106
+1½-205
-1½+177

4.26
4.03
8.29
o9+100
u9-120
o9-105
u9+100
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Cade Cavalli
Gage Jump
40.7%
59.3%
-131
+119
-110
+120
-1½+125
+1½-140

4.44
5.42
9.86
o10-115
u10-102
o10-115
u10-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Landen Roupp
Bryce Miller
54.6%
45.4%
+164
-182
+165
-160
+1½-141
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+140
4.65
4.16
8.81
o7-115
u7+100
o7-110
u7+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Jul 16, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Houston Astros
Detroit Tigers
59.6%
40.4%
-223
+205
-239
+220
-1½-135
+1½+120
-1½-130
+1½+125
7
0
-0.38859-0.36690-0.51802
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds
36.4%
63.6%
+120
-127
+120
-126
+1½-160
-1½+150
+1½-155
-1½+150
6
3
-0.80236-0.80044-1.01176
Los Angeles Angels
Cleveland Indians
49.3%
50.7%
+105
-112
+105
-109
+1½-198
-1½+173
+1½-190
-1½+185
4
5
-0.65406-0.66027-0.67960
Texas Rangers
Miami Marlins
48.8%
51.2%
+113
-120
+112
-118
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+175
3
2
-0.77096-0.76430-0.71732
San Francisco Giants
Chicago Cubs
55.7%
44.3%
+102
-111
+109
-108
+1½-195
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+180
4
2
-0.72400-0.73487-0.58453
Atlanta Braves
Seattle Mariners
49.0%
51.0%
-125
+115
-122
+115
-1½+130
+1½-146
-1½+130
+1½-144
7
8
-0.78592-0.78001-0.67321
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
54.0%
46.0%
-124
+116
-120
+119
-1½+130
+1½-147
-1½+132
+1½-145
11
2
-0.60776-0.60822-0.61545
Chicago White Sox
Oakland Athletics
47.4%
52.6%
-157
+152
-156
+151
-1½+105
+1½-121
-1½+110
+1½-124
3
10
-0.93194-0.92803-0.64329
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
46.5%
53.5%
+114
-120
+113
-120
+1½-182
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+170
4
10
-0.61880-0.62096-0.62624
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
47.0%
53.0%
-153
+146
-152
+148
-1½-110
+1½-109
-1½+100
+1½-109
12
6
-0.51413-0.51194-0.75438
Toronto Blue Jays
Texas Rangers
53.5%
46.5%
-111
+106
-115
+107
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-155
1
4
-0.73414-0.74537-0.76559
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
59.8%
40.2%
+107
-114
+113
-114
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+175
1
0
-0.74322-0.75833-0.51333
Cleveland Indians
Minnesota Twins
51.3%
48.7%
-140
+130
-140
+136
-1½+119
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
4
1
-0.55696-0.54604-0.66680
Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals
43.2%
56.8%
+145
-155
+147
-150
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-153
-1½+140
0
4
-0.51371-0.51567-0.56648
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
40.6%
59.4%
+237
-245
+250
-260
+1½+111
-1½-129
+1½+115
-1½-128
4
12
-0.34915-0.33332-0.52093
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
39.9%
60.1%
+248
-270
+245
-260
+1½+115
-1½-130
+1½+115
-1½-126
6
7
-0.33202-0.33743-0.50893
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0 (1.000)0-0.66563 
Sportsbooks11-0 (1.000)0-0.64913 
DRatings11-0 (1.000)0-0.66437
0.00126
-0.01524

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.