MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 17, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedPittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Jared Jones
Gavin Williams
40.0%
60.0%
+106
-126
+110
-115
+1½-200
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+170
3.89
4.94
8.83
o7½-110
u7½-110
o7½-110
u7½-110
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Troy Melton
Reid Detmers
40.8%
59.2%
-117
+106
-108
+105
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+155
+1½-165
4.23
5.19
9.42
o8-115
u8-105
o8-110
u8+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Michael McGreevy
Merrill Kelly
52.2%
47.8%
+102
-112
+108
-110
+1½-200
-1½+180

4.26
4.03
8.29
o9-110
u9-108
o9-105
u9+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Cade Cavalli
Gage Jump
40.7%
59.3%
-128
+116
-110
+122
-1½+125
+1½-140

4.44
5.42
9.86
o10-115
u10-102
o10-115
u10-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Landen Roupp
Bryce Miller
54.6%
45.4%
+165
-183
+165
-160
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+140
4.65
4.16
8.81
o7-115
u7+100
o7-110
u7+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Jul 16, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
New York Yankees (69-52)
46.5%
53.5%
-111
+101
-109
+100
-1½+145
+1½-160

8.64
o9-120
u9+100
o9-120
u9½-115
8th
BOT
2
1
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
48.5%
51.5%
+115
-127
+115
-123
+1½-177
-1½+155
+1½-180
-1½+165
9.46
o9-105
u9-115
o9-105
u9-115
9th
TOP
3
5
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
46.6%
53.4%
+117
-129
+122
-130
+1½-180
-1½+157
+1½-175
-1½+158
9.74
o8½-120
u8½+105
o9-102
u8½+100
7th
TOP
8
4
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
35.9%
64.1%
+189
-210
+187
-208
+1½-112
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+105
10.05
o8-102
u8-110
o8-105
u8½-115
7th
BOT
0
12
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
41.1%
58.9%
+132
-146
+137
-144
+1½-162
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+140
8.34
o8½-105
u8+105
o8-110
u8½-115
7th
TOP
1
1
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
49.9%
50.1%
+133
-147
+134
-135
+1½-147
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+135
10.98
o11-120
u11+100
o10½-110
u11-105
6th
BOT
4
1
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Houston Astros (70-50)
31.0%
69.0%
+106
-117
+106
-110
+1½-197
-1½+172
+1½-200
-1½+175
9.41
o8½-120
u8½+100
o8½-120
u8½+100
5th
TOP
1
2
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
54.3%
45.7%
-123
+113
-115
+111
-1½+130
+1½-141
-1½+143
+1½-145
9.48
o10-107
u10-110
o10+100
u10-105
5th
BOT
2
1
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
51.6%
48.4%
+101
-111
+103
-110
+1½-185
-1½+165

11.31
o12-115
u12+100
o12-105
u12½-110
5th
TOP
1
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Francisco Giants
Chicago Cubs
55.7%
44.3%
-139
+131
-138
+136
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-125
2
4
-0.85163-0.86221-0.81502
Chicago White Sox
Oakland Athletics
45.5%
54.5%
-195
+183
-190
+181
-1½-120
+1½+100
-1½-112
+1½+105
14
2
-0.42825-0.43383-0.78845
San Francisco Giants
Milwaukee Brewers
48.9%
51.1%
+168
-175
+177
-185
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+108
2
4
-0.46143-0.44222-0.67135
Minnesota Twins
New York Yankees
39.6%
60.4%
+130
-138
+138
-140
+1½-180
-1½+162
+1½-175
-1½+161
4
3
-0.84742-0.87060-0.92629
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
47.8%
52.2%
+120
-127
+122
-128
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+170
6
5
-0.80236-0.80930-0.73823
San Francisco Giants
Milwaukee Brewers
43.9%
56.1%
+183
-195
+185
-195
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-125
-1½+110
1
2
-0.42825-0.42580-0.57844
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
51.6%
48.4%
+123
-132
+130
-136
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+148
4
3
-0.81925-0.84390-0.66231
Washington Nationals
St. Louis Cardinals
44.4%
55.6%
+233
-250
+235
-251
+1½+120
-1½-125
+1½+115
-1½-120
11
6
-1.21746-1.22248-0.81148
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
30.4%
69.6%
+200
-220
+210
-221
+1½+100
-1½-105
+1½+100
-1½-111
3
6
-0.39531-0.38427-0.36269
Cleveland Indians
Kansas City Royals
45.9%
54.1%
-133
+125
-135
+126
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-138
1
2
-0.82608-0.83218-0.61511
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
31.7%
68.3%
+253
-275
+245
-270
+1½+130
-1½-140
+1½+125
-1½-132
3
4
-0.32664-0.33448-0.38079
Minnesota Twins
New York Yankees
34.7%
65.3%
+175
-181
+176
-185
+1½-140
-1½+124
+1½-135
-1½+125
1
7
-0.44760-0.44351-0.42583
Washington Nationals
St. Louis Cardinals
47.4%
52.6%
+270
-300
+263
-285
+1½+135
-1½-145
+1½+135
-1½-140
5
6
-0.30775-0.31637-0.64268
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
51.4%
48.6%
+130
-139
+130
-140
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-164
-1½+145
7
1
-0.84915-0.85085-0.66495
Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles
61.6%
38.4%
-136
+128
-133
+132
-1½+120
+1½-138
-1½+125
+1½-135
4
1
-0.56593-0.56252-0.48475
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
36.2%
63.8%
+149
-159
+149
-154
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+140
3
4
-0.50332-0.50826-0.44904
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0 (1.000)0-0.66563 
Sportsbooks11-0 (1.000)0-0.64913 
DRatings11-0 (1.000)0-0.66437
0.00126
-0.01524

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.