MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 17, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedPittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Jared Jones
Gavin Williams
40.0%
60.0%
+106
-126
+110
-115
+1½-200
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+170
3.89
4.94
8.83
o7½-110
u7½-110
o7½-110
u7½-110
Games for Jul 16, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Houston Astros (70-50)
31.0%
69.0%
+106
-117
+106
-110
+1½-197
-1½+172
+1½-200
-1½+175
9.41
o8½-120
u8½+100
o8½-120
u8½+100
FINAL
FINAL
3
2
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
40.8%
59.2%
-117
+106
-108
+105
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+155
+1½-165
9.42
o8-115
u8-105
o8-110
u8+105
7th
BOT
0
1
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
52.2%
47.8%
+102
-112
+108
-110
+1½-200
-1½+180

8.29
o9-110
u9-108
o9-105
u9+100
7th
TOP
3
2
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
40.7%
59.3%
-128
+116
-110
+122
-1½+125
+1½-140

9.86
o10-115
u10-102
o10-115
u10-105
5th
BOT
8
2
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
54.6%
45.4%
+161
-178
+165
-160
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+140
8.81
o7-115
u7-105
o7-110
u7+100
5th
TOP
2
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
New York Mets
Pittsburgh Pirates
57.1%
42.9%
-245
+225
-240
+233
-1½-145
+1½+135
-1½-145
+1½+140
5
1
-0.35997-0.35448-0.55974
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
41.7%
58.3%
+260
-290
+263
-285
+1½+135
-1½-145
+1½+140
-1½-148
3
6
-0.31741-0.31637-0.53960
Atlanta Braves
Oakland Athletics
45.8%
54.2%
-215
+201
-220
+201
-1½-135
+1½+125
-1½-140
+1½+130
10
9
-0.39659-0.39423-0.78051
Chicago White Sox
Seattle Mariners
53.4%
46.6%
+139
-147
+137
-144
+1½-157
-1½+145
+1½-164
-1½+145
0
3
-0.53242-0.53940-0.76363
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
35.1%
64.9%
+143
-153
+148
-154
+1½-155
-1½+137
+1½-155
-1½+140
5
6
-0.51909-0.50986-0.43291
Detroit Tigers
Los Angeles Angels
40.8%
59.2%
+121
-130
+122
-130
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+150
4
5
-0.58810-0.58609-0.52459
Milwaukee Brewers
Colorado Rockies
57.5%
42.5%
-182
+172
-183
+170
-1½-125
+1½+108
-1½-120
+1½+115
7
10
-1.01357-1.01011-0.85616
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
33.1%
66.9%
+230
-245
+233
-258
+1½+105
-1½-117
+1½+110
-1½-115
4
3
-1.20701-1.22373-1.10691
Cleveland Indians
Kansas City Royals
54.7%
45.3%
-190
+180
-193
+181
-1½-115
+1½+102
-1½-110
+1½+100
4
1
-0.43510-0.43195-0.60327
Washington Nationals
St. Louis Cardinals
45.7%
54.3%
+216
-235
+220
-240
+1½+105
-1½-120
+1½+105
-1½-120
1
4
-0.37234-0.36652-0.61074
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
51.4%
48.6%
+140
-150
+145
-150
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+140
3
9
-0.52736-0.51896-0.72214
Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles
61.2%
38.8%
+101
-110
+100
-108
-1½+150
+1½-167

6
9
-0.66771-0.67446-0.94616
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
37.0%
63.0%
+204
-220
+205
-220
+1½-112
-1½-105
+1½-115
-1½+100
2
3
-0.39102-0.38995-0.46215
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
45.1%
54.9%
+122
-130
+124
-130
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+155
4
8
-0.58609-0.58212-0.59968
New York Mets
Pittsburgh Pirates
58.6%
41.4%
-202
+188
-208
+193
-1½-130
+1½+115
-1½-130
+1½+125
2
8
-1.07376-1.09148-0.88187
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
38.3%
61.7%
+205
-220
+205
-215
+1½-105
-1½-110
+1½+105
-1½-110
7
4
-1.13038-1.12550-0.95902
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks95-4 (0.556)0-0.67354 
Sportsbooks95-4 (0.556)0-0.67036 
DRatings95-4 (0.556)0-0.66373
0.00981
0.00663

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.