Groningen at Ajax

Updated

Groningen

14.4%16.4%69.3%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.45Projected Goals 2.16
0Final Score 3

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Groningen
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Vitesse+130
L 1-2 at Willem II+225
L 2-5 at PSV Eindhoven+950
T 0-0 vs Utrecht+225
L 0-1 at Utrecht+525
Ajax
Money Line
W 5-0 at Fortuna Sittard-800
W 0-5 vs Vitesse-625
T 1-1 at Twente-390
W 3-1 at Vitesse-175
W 1-3 vs VVV-Venlo-950

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Groningen+2400-+2400+2500+2475+2500+2500+3620.5
Ajax-1400--1600-1429-1669-1429-1429-956.3
Draw+1000-+1200+1200+1188+1200+1200+1375.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Groningen-----+3620.5
Ajax------956.3
Draw-----+1375.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Groningen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Groningen: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Groningen: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Groningen: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Groningen ML moved from +2500 to +2400
Ajax ML moved from -1111 to -1429

Over/Under Analysis

 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-o4¼-118o4¼-128-o4¼-128o4¼-108
Under-u4¼-102u4¼+108-u4¼+108u4¼+108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o4¼-108
Under-----u4¼+108

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes32.0%
 
No68.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.33%
Exactly 225.03%
Exactly 414.24%
Exactly 63.24%
Exactly 80.40%
 
Exactly 119.16%
Exactly 321.80%
Exactly 57.44%
Exactly 71.21%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Groningen
Exactly 063.86%
Exactly 128.64%
Exactly 26.42%
Exactly 30.96%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 011.48%
Exactly 124.85%
Exactly 226.89%
Exactly 319.40%
Exactly 410.50%
Exactly 54.55%
Exactly 61.64%
Exactly 70.51%
Exactly 80.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.83%
Exactly 221.83%
Exactly 42.66%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.08%
Exactly 38.80%
Exactly 50.64%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Groningen
Exactly 081.25%
Exactly 116.87%
Exactly 21.75%
Exactly 30.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 036.71%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.43%
Exactly 36.16%
Exactly 41.54%
Exactly 50.31%

Alternate Props

Spread

Groningen
Wins by 2+ goals1.15%
Wins by 3+ goals0.15%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals52.33%
Wins by 3+ goals28.88%
Wins by 4+ goals13.18%
Wins by 5+ goals5.06%
Wins by 6+ goals1.65%
Wins by 7+ goals0.45%

Exact Winning Margin

Groningen
Ajax
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Groningen
Wins by 1 goal5.16%
Wins by 2 goals1.00%
Wins by 3 goals0.14%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal24.92%
Wins by 2 goals23.45%
Wins by 3 goals15.71%
Wins by 4 goals8.12%
Wins by 5 goals3.41%
Wins by 6 goals1.20%
Wins by 7 goals0.36%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.67%7.33%
1.573.51%26.49%
2.548.48%51.52%
3.526.68%73.32%
4.512.44%87.56%
5.55.00%95.00%
6.51.76%98.24%

Total Goals Groningen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.536.14%63.86%
1.57.50%92.50%
2.51.08%98.92%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.52%11.48%
1.563.67%36.33%
2.536.77%63.23%
3.517.37%82.63%
4.56.87%93.13%
5.52.33%97.67%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.17%29.83%
1.534.09%65.91%
2.512.26%87.74%
3.53.46%96.54%

Score Props

Correct Score

Groningen
Ajax
Score012345
0
7.33%
15.87%
17.17%
12.39%
6.71%
2.90%
1
3.29%
7.12%
7.70%
5.56%
3.01%
1.30%
2
0.74%
1.60%
1.73%
1.25%
0.67%
0.29%
3
0.11%
0.24%
0.26%
0.19%
0.10%
0.04%
Groningen
1-03.29%
2-00.74%
2-11.60%
3-00.11%
3-10.24%
3-20.26%
Draw
0-07.33%
1-17.12%
2-21.73%
3-30.19%
Ajax
0-115.87%
0-217.17%
1-27.70%
0-312.39%
1-35.56%
2-31.25%
0-46.71%
1-43.01%
2-40.67%
3-40.10%
0-52.90%
1-51.30%
2-50.29%

Correct Score - First Half

Groningen
Ajax
Score012345
0
29.83%
29.89%
14.98%
5.00%
1.25%
0.25%
1
6.19%
6.21%
3.11%
1.04%
0.26%
0.05%
2
0.64%
0.64%
0.32%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Groningen
1-06.19%
2-00.64%
2-10.64%
Draw
0-029.83%
1-16.21%
2-20.32%
Ajax
0-129.89%
0-214.98%
1-23.11%
0-35.00%
1-31.04%
2-30.11%
0-41.25%
1-40.26%
0-50.25%
PSV Eindhoven at Willem II
Fortuna Sittard at Vitesse