Ajax at Heracles Almelo

Updated

Ajax

78.4%13.8%7.7%
Ajax WinDrawWin
2.66Projected Goals 0.72
4Final Score 3

Heracles Almelo

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Groningen-375
W 2-0 at RKC Waalwijk-255
W 0-5 vs Fortuna Sittard-325
W 0-1 vs Heerenveen-240
T 2-2 at Vitesse-155
Heracles Almelo
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Heerenveen+175
L 0-3 at Zwolle+250
T 1-1 vs Willem II+140
L 3-1 vs PSV Eindhoven+1300
T 0-0 at Sparta Rotterdam+510

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
6.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-265--275-286--286-275-
Heracles Almelo+600-+600+570-+570+600-
Draw+400-+400+410-+410+410-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-270-----235-235-
Heracles Almelo+650----+565+565-
Draw+435----+400+400-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 30.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -278 to -286
Heracles Almelo ML moved from +580 to +570

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 30.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Ajax ML
Heracles Almelo ML moved from +650 to +565

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-118-o3¼-105o3¼-106-o3¼-106o3¼-105-
Underu3-102-u3¼-115u3¼-114-u3¼-114u3¼-114-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.9%
 
No52.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.40%
Exactly 219.43%
Exactly 418.52%
Exactly 67.06%
Exactly 81.44%
Exactly 100.18%
 
Exactly 111.49%
Exactly 321.91%
Exactly 512.53%
Exactly 73.41%
Exactly 90.54%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 07.01%
Exactly 118.63%
Exactly 224.76%
Exactly 321.94%
Exactly 414.57%
Exactly 57.75%
Exactly 63.43%
Exactly 71.30%
Exactly 80.43%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 048.45%
Exactly 135.11%
Exactly 212.72%
Exactly 33.07%
Exactly 40.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.89%
Exactly 225.61%
Exactly 45.23%
Exactly 60.43%
 
Exactly 132.71%
Exactly 313.37%
Exactly 51.64%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 029.21%
Exactly 135.95%
Exactly 222.12%
Exactly 39.07%
Exactly 42.79%
Exactly 50.69%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 071.50%
Exactly 123.99%
Exactly 24.02%
Exactly 30.45%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals57.34%
Wins by 3+ goals35.54%
Wins by 4+ goals18.69%
Wins by 5+ goals8.43%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals1.96%
Wins by 3+ goals0.36%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
Heracles Almelo
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal21.00%
Wins by 2 goals21.81%
Wins by 3 goals16.84%
Wins by 4 goals10.26%
Wins by 5 goals5.14%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal5.71%
Wins by 2 goals1.60%
Wins by 3 goals0.32%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.60%3.40%
1.585.11%14.89%
2.565.68%34.32%
3.543.78%56.22%
4.525.25%74.75%
5.512.72%87.28%
6.55.66%94.34%
7.52.25%97.75%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.99%7.01%
1.574.36%25.64%
2.549.60%50.40%
3.527.66%72.34%
4.513.09%86.91%
5.55.34%94.66%
6.51.91%98.09%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.55%48.45%
1.516.44%83.56%
2.53.72%96.28%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.11%20.89%
1.546.40%53.60%
2.520.79%79.21%
3.57.42%92.58%
4.52.19%97.81%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
Heracles Almelo
Score0123
0
3.40%
2.46%
0.89%
0.22%
1
9.03%
6.54%
2.37%
0.57%
2
12.00%
8.69%
3.15%
0.76%
3
10.63%
7.70%
2.79%
0.67%
4
7.06%
5.12%
1.85%
0.45%
5
3.75%
2.72%
0.99%
0.24%
Ajax
1-09.03%
2-012.00%
2-18.69%
3-010.63%
3-17.70%
3-22.79%
4-07.06%
4-15.12%
4-21.85%
4-30.45%
5-03.75%
5-12.72%
5-20.99%
5-30.24%
Draw
0-03.40%
1-16.54%
2-23.15%
3-30.67%
Heracles Almelo
0-12.46%
0-20.89%
1-22.37%
0-30.22%
1-30.57%
2-30.76%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
Heracles Almelo
Score0123
0
20.89%
7.01%
1.18%
0.13%
1
25.70%
8.62%
1.45%
0.16%
2
15.81%
5.31%
0.89%
0.10%
3
6.49%
2.18%
0.37%
0.04%
4
2.00%
0.67%
0.11%
0.01%
5
0.49%
0.16%
0.03%
0.00%
6
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Ajax
1-025.70%
2-015.81%
2-15.31%
3-06.49%
3-12.18%
3-20.37%
4-02.00%
4-10.67%
4-20.11%
5-00.49%
5-10.16%
6-00.10%
Draw
0-020.89%
1-18.62%
2-20.89%
Heracles Almelo
0-17.01%
0-21.18%
1-21.45%
0-30.13%
1-30.16%