NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 19, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
New England Patriots (7-9)
New York Jets (2-14)
Unknown
Unknown
71.7%
28.3%
+225
-265
+230
-260
+6-110
-6-110
+6½-110
-6-105
22.7
15.7
38.4
o38½-110
u38½-110
o38½-110
u38½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Games for Sep 18, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Atlanta Falcons
Philadelphia Eagles
50.6%
49.4%
+215
-250
+210
-235
+5½-110
-5½-110
+5½-108
-5-110
22
21
-1.17866-1.15518-0.68090
Chicago Bears
Houston Texans
51.8%
48.2%
+250
-300
+245
-280
+6½-110
-6-115
+6½-108
-6½-108
13
19
-0.32277-0.33173-0.72967
Pittsburgh Steelers
Denver Broncos
75.9%
24.1%
-148
+130
-145
+135
-2½-117
+3-120
-2½-118
+3-110
13
6
-0.54728-0.54173-0.27552
Cincinnati Bengals
Kansas City Chiefs
7.6%
92.4%
+240
-285
+250
-265
+6½-110
-6½-110
+6½-105
-6½-108
25
26
-0.33455-0.33183-0.07945
Los Angeles Rams
Arizona Cardinals
53.1%
46.9%
-115
-105
-108
-108
+0-110
+0-105
+0-108
+0-108
10
41
-0.71505-0.69315-0.75745
New York Giants
Washington Football Team
38.6%
61.4%
+107
-120
+110
-120
+1-103
-1½-105
+1½-108
-1½-108
18
21
-0.63429-0.62755-0.48765
New York Jets
Tennessee Titans
12.9%
87.1%
-195
+170
-180
+175
-4-103
+4-110
-3½+102
+4-110
24
17
-0.44488-0.44830-2.04608
Seattle Seahawks
New England Patriots
63.8%
36.2%
-160
+140
-160
+145
-3-112
+3-105
-3-108
+3-105
23
20
-0.51706-0.50878-0.44943
San Francisco 49ers
Minnesota Vikings
46.5%
53.5%
-205
+180
-200
+176
-4-110
+4-105
-4-108
+4½-110
17
23
-1.05849-1.04381-0.62554
Cleveland Browns
Jacksonville Jaguars
78.1%
21.9%
+145
-165
+150
-160
+3+105
-3-114
+3-105
-3-108
18
13
-0.92644-0.93156-0.24691
Indianapolis Colts
Green Bay Packers
35.5%
64.5%
-135
+120
-130
+120
-2-117
+2½-105
-2-108
+2½-110
10
16
-0.81706-0.80802-0.43906
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Detroit Lions
78.4%
21.6%
+290
-360
+320
-350
+8-110
-7½-113
+8-108
-7½-110
20
16
-1.39926-1.45081-0.24287
New Orleans Saints
Dallas Cowboys
78.3%
21.7%
+230
-275
+253
-270
+6+105
-6½-106
+6½-105
-6½-108
44
19
-1.22963-1.27422-0.24405
Los Angeles Chargers
Carolina Panthers
43.6%
56.4%
-215
+185
-200
+200
-4-113
+4½-105
-4½-108
+5-110
26
3
-0.41480-0.40546-0.82986
Las Vegas Raiders
Baltimore Ravens
22.6%
77.4%
+390
-480
+375
-400
+8½-105
-9+100
+9-110
-8-108
26
23
-1.62040-1.56858-1.48811
Buffalo Bills
Miami Dolphins
60.2%
39.8%
+125
-145
+125
-134
+2½-105
-2½-115
+2½+100
-2½-108
31
10
-0.84658-0.82789-0.50692
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks167-9 (0.438)0-0.81295 
Sportsbooks167-8 (0.469)1-0.80929 
DRatings1611-5 (0.688)0-0.63309
0.17986
0.17620

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.