NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Kansas City Chiefs
Philadelphia Eagles
81.7%
18.3%
-112
+105
-110
+105
-1-105
+1-105
-1-103
+1-105
22
40
-0.73382-0.72940-1.69920
Buffalo Bills
Kansas City Chiefs
30.0%
70.0%
-107
-110
+100
-110
+1-112
-1+100
+1+100
-1-105
29
32
-0.68653-0.67015-0.35659
Washington Football Team
Philadelphia Eagles
42.6%
57.4%
+235
-275
+240
-275
+6-105
-6-110
+6+105
-6-108
23
55
-0.34150-0.33724-0.55593
Baltimore Ravens
Buffalo Bills
48.6%
51.4%
-123
+110
-120
+106
-1½-110
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-105
25
27
-0.76932-0.75313-0.66536
Los Angeles Rams
Philadelphia Eagles
67.1%
32.9%
+305
-375
+332
-340
+7-105
-7-110
+7+100
-6½-120
22
28
-0.27212-0.26203-1.11188
Washington Football Team
Detroit Lions
48.6%
51.4%
+395
-460
+400
-450
+8-115
-8-105
+8½-110
-7½-105
45
31
-1.62257-1.62745-0.72124
Houston Texans
Kansas City Chiefs
11.8%
88.2%
+440
-560
+450
-530
+9½-110
-9½-110
+9½-105
-9½-105
14
23
-0.19743-0.19567-0.12523
Minnesota Vikings
Los Angeles Rams
35.7%
64.3%
-142
+125
-135
+125
-2½-110
+2½-110
-2½-105
+2½-105
9
27
-0.84169-0.82968-0.44091
Washington Football Team
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
17.3%
82.7%
+140
-157
+150
-156
+3-110
-3-106
+3-105
-3-103
23
20
-0.90266-0.92563-1.75713
Green Bay Packers
Philadelphia Eagles
74.3%
25.7%
+225
-250
+240
-260
+5½-110
-5½-110
+5½-105
-5-103
10
22
-0.35820-0.34163-1.36031
Denver Broncos
Buffalo Bills
16.6%
83.4%
+365
-455
+385
-450
+7½-105
-7½-115
+7½-102
-7½-105
7
31
-0.23294-0.22474-0.18175
Pittsburgh Steelers
Baltimore Ravens
39.9%
60.1%
+410
-515
+418
-500
+9½-116
-9½-104
+8½-105
-8-105
14
28
-0.21039-0.20837-0.50971
Los Angeles Chargers
Houston Texans
45.0%
55.0%
-155
+135
-155
+140
-2½-120
+2½+100
-2½-110
+2½+105
12
32
-0.88724-0.89968-0.59824
Minnesota Vikings
Detroit Lions
59.0%
41.0%
+140
-160
+145
-155
+3-115
-2½-123
+3-110
-2½-110
9
31
-0.51706-0.51371-0.89133
San Francisco 49ers
Arizona Cardinals
40.5%
59.5%
+200
-225
+205
-220
+5½-105
-5-110
+5-108
-5-108
24
47
-0.39304-0.38995-0.51914
Los Angeles Chargers
Las Vegas Raiders
37.3%
62.7%
-315
+265
-330
+290
-7-105
+6½+105
-6½-116
+7-110
34
20
-0.30818-0.28827-0.98653
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.