NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 19, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
New England Patriots (7-9)
New York Jets (2-14)
Unknown
Unknown
71.7%
28.3%
+240
-285
+250
-270
+6-104
-6½-105
+6½-105
-6½-105
22.7
15.7
38.4
o39-105
u39-110
o38½-110
u39-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Games for Sep 18, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
New York Jets
San Francisco 49ers
18.7%
81.3%
+175
-200
+184
-185
+3½-105
-3½-110
+4-108
-3½-110
19
32
-0.43532-0.43337-0.20690
Los Angeles Rams
Detroit Lions
72.2%
27.8%
+210
-235
+216
-245
+5-105
-5½-105
+5½-108
-5½-108
20
26
-0.37834-0.36855-1.27977
Dallas Cowboys
Cleveland Browns
31.7%
68.3%
+105
-120
+112
-130
+2-110
-1½-105
+2-108
-2-108
33
17
-0.75056-0.78768-1.14848
Washington Football Team
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
17.3%
82.7%
+185
-200
+190
-195
+4-105
-4-110
+4-108
-4-108
20
37
-0.42286-0.41980-0.18939
Denver Broncos
Seattle Seahawks
16.3%
83.7%
+250
-280
+253
-280
+6½-105
-6½-113
+6½-105
-6½-108
20
26
-0.32768-0.32531-0.17806
Las Vegas Raiders
Los Angeles Chargers
51.9%
48.1%
+134
-150
+135
-140
+3-119
-3+100
+3-110
-3+100
10
22
-0.53780-0.54782-0.73287
Houston Texans
Indianapolis Colts
23.0%
77.0%
-160
+140
-160
+143
-3-105
+3-110
-3-105
+3-110
29
27
-0.51706-0.51206-1.46811
Arizona Cardinals
Buffalo Bills
32.6%
67.4%
+245
-280
+260
-290
+6½-107
-6½-110
+6½+100
-6½-110
28
34
-0.33173-0.31741-0.39515
Tennessee Titans
Chicago Bears
60.4%
39.6%
+175
-205
+207
-200
+4-105
-4-114
+5-110
-4-110
17
24
-0.43245-0.39782-0.92695
New England Patriots
Cincinnati Bengals
65.9%
34.1%
+325
-400
+335
-354
+7+100
-7½-106
+8-110
-7½-106
16
10
-1.48162-1.47973-0.41703
Carolina Panthers
New Orleans Saints
16.2%
83.8%
+165
-185
+170
-185
+3½-107
-3½-105
+3½-108
-3½-108
10
47
-0.45828-0.45144-0.17664
Minnesota Vikings
New York Giants
60.9%
39.1%
-115
+100
-102
+100
-1-110
+1-108
+1-110
+1-110
28
6
-0.66000-0.68824-0.49661
Pittsburgh Steelers
Atlanta Falcons
64.6%
35.4%
+166
-191
+184
-190
+4-110
-4-105
+4-105
-4-108
18
10
-1.01011-1.05105-0.43663
Jacksonville Jaguars
Miami Dolphins
15.1%
84.9%
+164
-184
+173
-175
+3½-110
-3½-109
+3½-108
-3½-105
17
20
-0.46037-0.45465-0.16385
Green Bay Packers
Philadelphia Eagles
78.3%
21.7%
+101
-120
+110
-115
+1-110
-1-110
+1½-105
-1½-105
29
34
-0.64821-0.63673-1.52910
Baltimore Ravens
Kansas City Chiefs
33.6%
66.4%
+130
-145
+130
-142
+2½+100
-2½-110
+2½+105
-2½-110
20
27
-0.55080-0.55443-0.40889
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks167-9 (0.438)0-0.81295 
Sportsbooks167-8 (0.469)1-0.80929 
DRatings1611-5 (0.688)0-0.63309
0.17986
0.17620

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.