NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Kansas City Chiefs
Denver Broncos
85.8%
14.2%
+450
-570
+450
-550
+11-110
-11-108
+11-108
-10½-110
0
38
-0.19368-0.19464-1.95080
Miami Dolphins
New York Jets
74.3%
25.7%
+130
-142
+115
-125
+2-103
-2½-110
+2-108
-1½-110
20
32
-0.55443-0.60825-1.35689
Seattle Seahawks
Los Angeles Rams
49.0%
51.0%
-320
+285
-340
+296
-7-110
+7-106
-7-110
+7+100
30
25
-0.29335-0.28277-0.71378
New York Giants
Philadelphia Eagles
36.8%
63.2%
+155
-165
+155
-155
+3+100
-3-114
+3+107
-3-110
13
20
-0.48848-0.49784-0.45925
Houston Texans
Tennessee Titans
23.9%
76.1%
+132
-140
+135
-140
+2½+100
-2½-115
+2½-110
-2-108
23
14
-0.85583-0.86325-1.43112
Washington Football Team
Dallas Cowboys
45.1%
54.9%
-325
+270
-330
+290
-7-102
+7-115
-7-108
+7½-120
23
19
-0.30265-0.28827-0.79520
Carolina Panthers
Atlanta Falcons
38.1%
61.9%
+320
-400
+330
-380
+9-115
-7½-115
+8-108
-7½-110
44
38
-1.47246-1.48254-0.96440
Jacksonville Jaguars
Indianapolis Colts
10.2%
89.8%
+165
-190
+165
-175
+3½-105
-4-105
+3½-108
-3½-108
23
26
-0.45487-0.46561-0.10703
Chicago Bears
Green Bay Packers
21.6%
78.4%
+370
-450
+400
-450
+10-115
-10+100
+10½-110
-10-105
24
22
-1.57804-1.62745-1.53164
Buffalo Bills
New England Patriots
63.3%
36.7%
-170
+155
-165
+155
-3-113
+3-105
-3-108
+3+100
16
23
-0.95763-0.95078-1.00179
New Orleans Saints
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
47.8%
52.2%
+890
-1300
+850
-1050
+14½+100
-14½-120
+15½-110
-14½-110
19
27
-0.10326-0.10911-0.65047
Cincinnati Bengals
Pittsburgh Steelers
13.7%
86.3%
-135
+120
-130
+120
-2½-110
+2-105
-2-108
+2½-105
19
17
-0.58291-0.59012-1.99033
Cleveland Browns
Baltimore Ravens
26.3%
73.7%
+1450
-3300
+1500
-2400
+19½-107
-19-110
+20-108
-19½-110
10
35
-0.06436-0.06307-0.30450
Detroit Lions
San Francisco 49ers
29.2%
70.8%
-225
+195
-215
+210
-3½-110
+3½-109
-3½+100
+4-110
40
34
-0.39854-0.38705-1.23152
Atlanta Falcons
Washington Football Team
52.5%
47.5%
+165
-190
+175
-185
+3½-115
-3½-103
+3½-110
-3½+105
24
30
-0.45487-0.44482-0.74438
Green Bay Packers
Minnesota Vikings
67.3%
32.7%
-105
-115
+100
-108
+1-110
-1-110
+1-110
+0-108
25
27
-0.67172-0.67446-1.11676
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.