NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Washington Football Team
Philadelphia Eagles
42.6%
57.4%
+157
-180
+160
-170
+3+102
-3½+100
+3½-110
-3½+100
24
17
-0.97535-0.96964-0.85224
New York Jets
Buffalo Bills
10.6%
89.4%
+514
-600
+600
-700
+13-110
-13-105
+13-108
-13-108
8
35
-0.17396-0.15123-0.11150
Detroit Lions
Chicago Bears
33.6%
66.4%
+149
-170
+155
-165
+3-104
-3-110
+3½-120
-3-108
19
16
-0.94305-0.95078-1.08963
Kansas City Chiefs
Las Vegas Raiders
77.8%
22.2%
-185
+161
-185
+170
-3½+100
+3½-115
-3½+100
+3½-110
12
14
-0.99110-1.01255-1.50359
Miami Dolphins
New England Patriots
47.7%
52.3%
+754
-1200
+750
-1100
+15-110
-14-125
+15-110
-14½-108
10
38
-0.11944-0.12076-0.64817
Tennessee Titans
Jacksonville Jaguars
84.4%
15.6%
+586
-800
+625
-800
+13-105
-13-115
+13½-110
-12½-110
7
41
-0.15186-0.14425-1.85957
New Orleans Saints
Atlanta Falcons
71.9%
28.1%
+190
-225
+190
-210
+5-105
-4½-110
+4½-108
-4-110
17
19
-0.40419-0.41146-1.26872
Dallas Cowboys
New York Giants
49.9%
50.1%
-165
+145
-165
+150
-3-110
+3-105
-3-110
+3+103
17
34
-0.92644-0.93869-0.69121
Cleveland Browns
Cincinnati Bengals
68.5%
31.5%
+350
-435
+360
-420
+9½-112
-9-110
+9½-108
-8½-110
20
18
-1.53879-1.55084-0.37838
Indianapolis Colts
Houston Texans
68.2%
31.8%
+415
-550
+425
-545
+9½-105
-10-105
+10-110
-9½-108
30
38
-0.20658-0.20329-1.14658
Green Bay Packers
Minnesota Vikings
67.3%
32.7%
+500
-650
+500
-560
+13-105
-13½-105
+12½-105
-12½-110
3
16
-0.17589-0.17934-1.11676
Seattle Seahawks
San Francisco 49ers
61.5%
38.5%
-159
+139
-150
+135
-2½-125
+2½+107
-3+105
+3-110
13
3
-0.51972-0.53604-0.48602
Carolina Panthers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
18.1%
81.9%
+143
-163
+145
-155
+3-105
-3-108
+3-105
-3-105
14
16
-0.50921-0.51371-0.19956
Los Angeles Rams
Atlanta Falcons
61.5%
38.5%
-355
+285
-330
+300
-7-110
+7-105
-7-105
+7-105
24
27
-1.38725-1.40360-0.95389
Chicago Bears
San Francisco 49ers
39.5%
60.5%
+190
-215
+190
-210
+3½+100
-4½-105
+4-105
-3½-110
38
42
-0.40893-0.41146-0.50198
Philadelphia Eagles
Buffalo Bills
21.2%
78.8%
+153
-175
+165
-175
+3+100
-3-118
+3+105
-3-110
13
12
-0.95935-0.98819-1.55103
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.