NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Los Angeles Chargers (7-9)
Pittsburgh Steelers (12-4)
Unknown
Unknown
20.7%
79.3%
+105
-120
+107
-125
+1-104
-1-110
+1½-108
-1½-108
13.9
24.6
38.5
o36-105
u36-110
o35½-110
u36-110
Chicago Bears (8-8)
Indianapolis Colts (11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
28.6%
71.4%
+110
-130
+105
-120
+1+100
-2-105
+1½-110
-1-108
15.7
22.5
38.2
o43½-110
u43½-110
o43½-110
u43½-110
Houston Texans (4-12)
Minnesota Vikings (7-9)
Unknown
Unknown
34.5%
65.5%
-130
+115
-130
+120
-2-110
+2-105
-2-108
+2-108
21.2
25.4
46.6
o46-113
u46-105
o46-110
u46-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
New York Giants (6-10)
Cleveland Browns (11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
27.2%
72.8%
+250
-290
+250
-285
+6½-105
-6½-114
+6½-108
-6½-108
21.3
28.4
49.7
o38½-110
u39½-110
o39-110
u39½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Philadelphia Eagles (4-11-1)
New Orleans Saints (12-4)
Unknown
Unknown
16.4%
83.6%
+128
-145
+131
-150
+2½-101
-2½-115
+3-110
-2½-120
17.7
31.5
49.2
o49½-105
u49-105
o49½-110
u49½-110
Denver Broncos (5-11)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
14.3%
85.7%
+240
-280
+264
-310
+6½-110
-6½-105
+6½+100
-6½-110
15.3
30.9
46.2
o41-110
u41-110
o41-110
u41-110
Green Bay Packers (13-3)
Tennessee Titans (11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
55.0%
45.0%
+130
-145
+130
-140
+2½+100
-2½-118
+2½+100
-2½-110
23.2
21.2
44.4
o38½-110
u38-105
o37½-110
u38-110
Carolina Panthers (5-11)
Las Vegas Raiders (8-8)
Unknown
Unknown
38.1%
61.9%
+200
-240
+210
-220
+5-105
-5-110
+5-110
-4½-108
23.4
26.6
50.0
o40-110
u40-110
o40-110
u40-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Miami Dolphins (10-6)
Seattle Seahawks (12-4)
Unknown
Unknown
29.3%
70.7%
+185
-215
+195
-215
+4½-110
-4½-106
+4½-108
-4½-108
23.2
29.9
53.1
o41-115
u41½-110
o41½-110
u42½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Detroit Lions (5-11)
Arizona Cardinals (8-8)
Unknown
Unknown
25.9%
74.1%
-145
+135
-145
+130
-2½-120
+2½+105
-2½-110
+3-115
20.7
28.0
48.7
o51½-110
u51½-110
o51½-110
u52-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Baltimore Ravens (11-5)
Dallas Cowboys (6-10)
Unknown
Unknown
75.7%
24.3%
-115
-105
-115
+100
-1-105
+1-110
-1-108
+1-108
28.3
20.4
48.7
o47½-115
u48-110
o48-110
u48½-110
San Francisco 49ers (6-10)
Los Angeles Rams (10-6)
Unknown
Unknown
32.5%
67.5%
-285
+250
-280
+260
-6-115
+6½-110
-6½-108
+7-120
24.1
28.9
53.0
o43-115
u43½-110
o43-110
u44-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Kansas City Chiefs (14-2)
Atlanta Falcons (4-12)
Unknown
Unknown
77.8%
22.2%
-165
+145
-155
+145
-3-110
+3½-123
-3-108
+3-108
33.0
23.4
56.4
o46½-110
u46½-110
o46½-110
u46½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Games for Sep 21, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Points
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
New England Patriots (7-9)
New York Jets (2-14)
71.7%
28.3%
+250
-300
+265
-280
+6½-102
-6½-115
+6½+104
-6½-110
38.4
o39-110
u39-105
o39-110
u39-110
2nd Q
00:46
3
14

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Francisco 49ers
Kansas City Chiefs
21.5%
78.5%
-125
+115
-125
+115
-2-105
+2-105
-2-105
+2-105
22
25
-0.78592-0.78592-0.24234
Detroit Lions
San Francisco 49ers
29.2%
70.8%
+285
-350
+300
-340
+7½-110
-7½-105
+7½-110
-7-110
31
34
-0.28815-0.28030-0.34510
Kansas City Chiefs
Baltimore Ravens
56.0%
44.0%
+198
-228
+200
-205
+4½-105
-4½-110
+4½-105
-3½-110
17
10
-1.12215-1.10407-0.57993
Kansas City Chiefs
Buffalo Bills
60.0%
40.0%
+125
-145
+128
-145
+2½-110
-2½-110
+2½-105
-2½-105
27
24
-0.84658-0.85416-0.51078
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Detroit Lions
78.4%
21.6%
+235
-280
+245
-278
+6-105
-6-110
+6+100
-6+100
23
31
-0.34013-0.33226-1.53419
Green Bay Packers
San Francisco 49ers
65.5%
34.5%
+380
-480
+412
-460
+10½-110
-10½-110
+10½-105
-10½-105
21
24
-0.22453-0.21330-1.06305
Houston Texans
Baltimore Ravens
17.5%
82.5%
+375
-440
+400
-475
+10-110
-10-105
+10-108
-10+100
10
34
-0.22983-0.21680-0.19207
Philadelphia Eagles
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
18.4%
81.6%
-155
+135
-155
+140
-3+100
+3-120
-3+105
+3-110
9
32
-0.88724-0.89968-0.20279
Pittsburgh Steelers
Buffalo Bills
43.9%
56.1%
+400
-510
+415
-485
+10-110
-10-105
+10-110
-10+100
17
31
-0.21448-0.21042-0.57873
Los Angeles Rams
Detroit Lions
72.2%
27.8%
+145
-160
+152
-165
+3+100
-3-115
+3+110
-3-110
23
24
-0.50878-0.49307-1.27977
Green Bay Packers
Dallas Cowboys
76.2%
23.8%
+295
-365
+320
-330
+7-105
-7-114
+7½-110
-7-110
48
32
-1.41112-1.44058-0.27138
Miami Dolphins
Kansas City Chiefs
18.5%
81.5%
+197
-225
+205
-222
+4½-115
-4½-105
+5-105
-4½-110
7
26
-0.39632-0.38904-0.20438
Cleveland Browns
Houston Texans
57.4%
42.6%
-136
+120
-132
+120
-2-115
+2+100
-2-105
+2-105
14
45
-0.81880-0.81171-0.85343
Philadelphia Eagles
Seattle Seahawks
20.8%
79.2%
-250
+220
-240
+210
-5-110
+5½-110
-5-110
+5½-110
17
20
-1.18958-1.15948-0.23359
Baltimore Ravens
Jacksonville Jaguars
88.9%
11.1%
-200
+175
-200
+184
-4-105
+4-110
-4-110
+4-110
23
7
-0.43532-0.42407-0.11720
Dallas Cowboys
Buffalo Bills
19.6%
80.4%
+120
-135
+122
-135
+1+108
-2½-110
+2½-110
-2-110
10
31
-0.58291-0.57893-0.21758
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks157-8 (0.467)0-0.81071 
Sportsbooks157-7 (0.500)1-0.80805 
DRatings1510-5 (0.667)0-0.64150
0.16920
0.16654

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.