NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Francisco 49ers
Miami Dolphins
43.7%
56.3%
-125
+105
-118
+110
-2-105
+1-105
-1-110
+2-110
17
29
-0.76029-0.75927-0.57508
New England Patriots
Buffalo Bills
27.2%
72.8%
+790
-1300
+875
-950
+14-105
-14-111
+14½-110
-14-108
21
24
-0.11422-0.10737-0.31700
Minnesota Vikings
Seattle Seahawks
27.1%
72.9%
-130
+125
-135
+125
-2-110
+2½-105
-2-110
+2½-105
27
24
-0.58016-0.57304-1.30711
Los Angeles Rams
New York Jets
82.3%
17.7%
-157
+137
-155
+145
-2½-119
+3-110
-3+100
+3-110
19
9
-0.52514-0.51371-0.19463
Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts
43.3%
56.7%
+180
-210
+192
-200
+4-110
-4-110
+4-108
-4-108
30
38
-0.42344-0.41456-0.56752
New York Giants
Atlanta Falcons
31.3%
68.7%
+395
-500
+375
-450
+9½-105
-9½-106
+9½-108
-9-110
7
34
-0.21706-0.22897-0.37565
Philadelphia Eagles
Washington Football Team
46.4%
53.6%
-228
+198
-230
+200
-4-113
+4-105
-4-108
+4½-110
33
36
-1.12215-1.12846-0.62295
Arizona Cardinals
Carolina Panthers
59.5%
40.5%
-250
+215
-250
+225
-6+100
+5½-105
-5½-110
+6-108
30
36
-1.17866-1.20041-0.90409
Detroit Lions
Chicago Bears
33.6%
66.4%
-320
+275
-320
+310
-6½-115
+7-115
-6½-110
+7-110
34
17
-0.30011-0.27772-1.08963
Cleveland Browns
Cincinnati Bengals
68.5%
31.5%
+450
-550
+450
-540
+10-105
-10-113
+10-108
-10-105
6
24
-0.19464-0.19515-1.15509
Pittsburgh Steelers
Baltimore Ravens
39.9%
60.1%
+295
-350
+300
-345
+7-105
-7-110
+7-108
-7-108
17
34
-0.28178-0.27950-0.50971
Houston Texans
Kansas City Chiefs
11.8%
88.2%
+165
-184
+170
-180
+3½-120
-3-118
+3+100
-3-110
19
27
-0.45898-0.45497-0.12523
Denver Broncos
Los Angeles Chargers
38.5%
61.5%
+136
-150
+150
-155
+2½+105
-2½-122
+2½+112
-2½-120
27
34
-0.53428-0.50566-0.48652
Atlanta Falcons
Las Vegas Raiders
44.5%
55.5%
-290
+260
-270
+260
-6-115
+6½-110
-6-108
+6½-110
15
9
-0.31741-0.32256-0.80948
Chicago Bears
Minnesota Vikings
41.4%
58.6%
+275
-330
+305
-330
+7-110
-6½-115
+7-108
-6½-110
12
30
-0.29823-0.27895-0.53469
Green Bay Packers
Seattle Seahawks
48.7%
51.3%
-153
+135
-154
+145
-2½-120
+3-115
-3+100
+3-110
30
13
-0.53278-0.51473-0.71863
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.