NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
New England Patriots
Arizona Cardinals
38.2%
61.8%
+250
-280
+250
-260
+6-105
-6½-105
+6½-108
-6-110
17
30
-0.32768-0.33332-0.48062
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Los Angeles Chargers
75.1%
24.9%
+150
-170
+150
-155
+3-103
-3-115
+3+100
-3-110
40
17
-0.94549-0.92410-0.28628
Indianapolis Colts
Denver Broncos
72.9%
27.1%
+180
-210
+195
-210
+4+100
-4-120
+4½-105
-4½-108
13
31
-0.42344-0.40573-1.30553
Buffalo Bills
Detroit Lions
75.2%
24.8%
+115
-135
+125
-135
+2-105
-2½-110
+2½-108
-2½-108
48
42
-0.80428-0.82968-0.28445
Pittsburgh Steelers
Philadelphia Eagles
70.0%
30.0%
+205
-245
+224
-250
+5½-110
-5½-110
+5½-108
-5½-108
13
27
-0.37959-0.35914-1.20454
Dallas Cowboys
Carolina Panthers
42.4%
57.6%
+130
-147
+130
-143
+2½+100
-2½-119
+2½+100
-2½-110
30
14
-0.86239-0.85590-0.85717
Kansas City Chiefs
Cleveland Browns
74.1%
25.9%
-216
+186
-220
+200
-4-115
+3½+103
-4-105
+4½-110
21
7
-0.41312-0.39531-0.29931
Baltimore Ravens
New York Giants
79.5%
20.5%
-1600
+900
-1600
+1200
-16½-110
+17-118
-16½-108
+17-115
35
14
-0.10097-0.07856-0.22966
Cincinnati Bengals
Tennessee Titans
16.3%
83.7%
-265
+225
-260
+235
-6-107
+5½+100
-5½-115
+6-108
37
27
-0.35332-0.34595-1.81413
New York Jets
Jacksonville Jaguars
50.1%
49.9%
-175
+160
-175
+160
-3½+100
+3+100
-3-110
+3½-115
32
25
-0.47276-0.47276-0.69137
Miami Dolphins
Houston Texans
57.7%
42.3%
+135
-153
+140
-145
+3-116
-3+105
+2½+100
-2½-110
12
20
-0.53278-0.53299-0.85979
Washington Football Team
New Orleans Saints
15.4%
84.6%
-360
+320
-370
+320
-7-120
+7½-110
-7½-108
+7½-108
20
19
-0.26562-0.26425-1.86905
Los Angeles Rams
San Francisco 49ers
57.2%
42.8%
+136
-156
+143
-155
+3-115
-3+100
+3-110
-3+100
12
6
-0.89123-0.90708-0.55926
Cincinnati Bengals
Dallas Cowboys
33.8%
66.2%
-240
+200
-220
+205
-4½-110
+4½-110
-4½-108
+5-110
27
20
-0.38677-0.38995-1.08498
Los Angeles Chargers
Kansas City Chiefs
12.0%
88.0%
+195
-225
+210
-235
+4½-110
-4½-105
+5-110
-4½-108
17
19
-0.39854-0.37834-0.12775
Chicago Bears
San Francisco 49ers
39.5%
60.5%
+140
-160
+145
-155
+3-105
-3-115
+3+100
-3-110
13
38
-0.51706-0.51371-0.50198
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.