NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Chicago Bears
Green Bay Packers
21.6%
78.4%
+280
-315
+260
-300
+7½-120
-6½-125
+6½+110
-6½-115
21
28
-0.29765-0.31508-0.24358
Denver Broncos
Las Vegas Raiders
31.7%
68.3%
-415
+337
-420
+350
-7½-115
+8½-116
-8-108
+8-108
24
17
-0.24995-0.24305-1.14797
Cincinnati Bengals
Buffalo Bills
13.4%
86.6%
+230
-280
+235
-260
+6½-115
-6-112
+6½-105
-6-110
34
39
-0.34448-0.34595-0.14387
New Orleans Saints
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
47.8%
52.2%
+303
-370
+320
-360
+7½-110
-7½-110
+8-110
-7½-108
24
20
-1.42853-1.45556-0.73773
Indianapolis Colts
Jacksonville Jaguars
85.1%
14.9%
-146
+130
-140
+130
-2½-115
+2½-104
-2-110
+2½-108
19
36
-0.86081-0.85085-1.90053
Seattle Seahawks
Atlanta Falcons
65.6%
34.4%
-285
+252
-310
+275
-6½-110
+6½-110
-6½-108
+6½-105
37
9
-0.32482-0.30209-0.42091
Pittsburgh Steelers
Baltimore Ravens
39.9%
60.1%
+226
-275
+225
-250
+5½-105
-5½-112
+5½-108
-5½-108
27
22
-1.22102-1.20041-0.91797
Tennessee Titans
Cleveland Browns
54.9%
45.1%
+165
-185
+170
-180
+3½-110
-3½-106
+3½-108
-3½-108
31
29
-1.00068-1.00641-0.59969
Miami Dolphins
New York Jets
74.3%
25.7%
-145
+129
-140
+125
-2½-118
+2½+100
-2½-108
+2½-105
34
10
-0.55264-0.56639-0.29768
Washington Football Team
Minnesota Vikings
34.5%
65.5%
-101
-115
-105
-105
+1-110
-1-110
+1-108
+1-110
0
31
-0.66240-0.69315-0.42352
Dallas Cowboys
Detroit Lions
48.0%
52.0%
+165
-190
+165
-175
+3½-110
-3½-110
+3½-105
-3½-105
30
44
-0.45487-0.46561-0.65310
New York Giants
New England Patriots
29.6%
70.4%
+267
-320
+300
-345
+7-108
-7-110
+7-105
-7-105
15
33
-0.30574-0.27950-0.35101
Denver Broncos
Washington Football Team
39.0%
61.0%
-285
+235
-280
+245
-6-104
+6-110
-6-105
+6-105
27
26
-0.33879-0.33173-0.94069
Las Vegas Raiders
Los Angeles Chargers
51.9%
48.1%
+410
-510
+425
-475
+9½-105
-10+100
+9½-108
-9½-108
14
31
-0.21068-0.20749-0.73287
Buffalo Bills
Pittsburgh Steelers
45.1%
54.9%
-175
+155
-160
+155
-3-122
+3+110
-3-110
+3+100
26
7
-0.48012-0.49303-0.79724
Minnesota Vikings
Seattle Seahawks
27.1%
72.9%
+543
-700
+600
-800
+12-110
-11½-110
+12½-110
-12-108
0
26
-0.16359-0.14903-0.31553
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.