NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Buffalo Bills
Los Angeles Rams
48.4%
51.6%
-185
+165
-185
+175
-3½-106
+3½-110
-3½-108
+3½-105
42
44
-1.00068-1.02427-0.66202
Seattle Seahawks
Arizona Cardinals
57.6%
42.4%
+165
-175
+150
-170
+3+110
-3-120
+3+102
-3-110
30
18
-0.98819-0.94549-0.55229
New York Jets
Miami Dolphins
18.2%
81.8%
+255
-290
+255
-280
+6½-105
-6½-110
+6½-105
-6½-108
26
32
-0.32123-0.32375-0.20119
Carolina Panthers
Philadelphia Eagles
44.1%
55.9%
+725
-1100
+800
-1050
+14-105
-14-107
+14-108
-14-108
16
22
-0.12419-0.11484-0.58087
Cleveland Browns
Pittsburgh Steelers
30.0%
70.0%
+235
-280
+245
-260
+6-105
-6-110
+6-108
-6-108
14
27
-0.34013-0.33743-0.35716
Las Vegas Raiders
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
22.3%
77.7%
+265
-310
+270
-300
+7-110
-6½-116
+7-110
-7+100
13
28
-0.30921-0.30775-0.25253
Jacksonville Jaguars
Tennessee Titans
10.6%
89.4%
+145
-163
+145
-160
+3-110
-3-110
+3-108
-3-108
10
6
-0.92364-0.91937-2.24432
New Orleans Saints
New York Giants
81.8%
18.2%
-250
+215
-250
+230
-5½-110
+5½-105
-5½-108
+6-110
14
11
-0.36772-0.35364-0.20087
Atlanta Falcons
Minnesota Vikings
42.1%
57.9%
+225
-250
+240
-260
+6-114
-6-106
+6-110
-5½-108
21
42
-0.35820-0.34163-0.54633
Green Bay Packers
Detroit Lions
78.7%
21.3%
+145
-165
+160
-165
+3+100
-3-110
+3+100
-3-110
31
34
-0.50411-0.48102-1.54473
Cleveland Browns
Denver Broncos
62.8%
37.2%
+235
-260
+260
-265
+6-110
-6-110
+6½-110
-6-108
32
41
-0.34595-0.32397-0.98878
San Francisco 49ers
Buffalo Bills
29.1%
70.9%
+270
-300
+280
-300
+6½-109
-6½-110
+6½-108
-6½-108
10
35
-0.30775-0.30075-0.34458
Philadelphia Eagles
Baltimore Ravens
18.6%
81.4%
+142
-160
+145
-160
+3-107
-3-110
+3-108
-3-105
24
19
-0.91198-0.91937-1.68292
Los Angeles Rams
New Orleans Saints
33.4%
66.6%
-145
+140
-140
+135
-3+100
+3-110
-2½-110
+3-116
21
14
-0.53299-0.54782-1.09799
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Carolina Panthers
74.4%
25.6%
-305
+260
-290
+270
-6½-115
+7-115
-6½-110
+6½+100
26
23
-0.31397-0.31004-0.29536
Seattle Seahawks
New York Jets
84.8%
15.2%
+110
-120
+110
-120
+1½-105
-1½-105
+2-108
-1-110
26
21
-0.76336-0.76336-0.16504
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.