NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Arizona Cardinals
Minnesota Vikings
50.6%
49.4%
+167
-185
+170
-175
+3½-110
-3½-106
+3½-108
-3½-105
22
23
-0.45552-0.45869-0.70506
Houston Texans
Jacksonville Jaguars
68.0%
32.0%
-168
+155
-165
+150
-3-116
+3½-115
-3-115
+3½-110
23
20
-0.48587-0.49617-0.38581
Indianapolis Colts
New England Patriots
59.0%
41.0%
-130
+115
-125
+120
-2½-105
+2-110
-1½-110
+2½-110
25
24
-0.60042-0.59784-0.52812
Pittsburgh Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals
80.2%
19.8%
+150
-170
+145
-160
+3+100
-3-114
+3-108
-3-108
44
38
-0.94549-0.91937-0.22015
Los Angeles Chargers
Atlanta Falcons
37.3%
62.7%
-115
-105
-108
-105
+0-109
-1+100
+0-108
+1-110
17
13
-0.67172-0.68635-0.98682
Tennessee Titans
Washington Football Team
67.2%
32.8%
+220
-255
+220
-245
+6-110
-6-107
+6-108
-6-108
19
42
-0.36120-0.36468-1.11407
Las Vegas Raiders
Kansas City Chiefs
15.5%
84.5%
+575
-775
+630
-850
+13½-105
-13½-115
+13½+100
-13½-110
17
19
-0.15467-0.14246-0.16869
Miami Dolphins
Green Bay Packers
25.9%
74.1%
+163
-183
+160
-175
+3½-117
-3½+100
+3½-110
-3½+100
17
30
-0.46248-0.47276-0.29996
New York Giants
Dallas Cowboys
39.2%
60.8%
+188
-218
+200
-230
+4+100
-4-120
+4+100
-4-110
20
27
-0.40979-0.39087-0.49789
Chicago Bears
Detroit Lions
55.9%
44.1%
+375
-465
+400
-430
+9+100
-10-101
+9½+100
-10+100
20
23
-0.22778-0.22035-0.81903
Baltimore Ravens
Los Angeles Chargers
74.8%
25.2%
-145
+133
-155
+146
-3+100
+3-115
-2½-125
+3-105
30
23
-0.54531-0.51208-0.29007
Philadelphia Eagles
Los Angeles Rams
24.0%
76.0%
-160
+140
-155
+140
-3-105
+3-105
-3-108
+3-108
37
20
-0.51706-0.52206-1.42887
San Francisco 49ers
Green Bay Packers
25.3%
74.7%
+230
-275
+250
-260
+6½-110
-6-110
+6½-110
-6-108
10
38
-0.34588-0.33332-0.29202
Arizona Cardinals
Seattle Seahawks
32.2%
67.8%
-115
+100
-118
+105
-1-110
+1-110
-1-108
+1½-110
6
16
-0.72743-0.74651-0.38787
Denver Broncos
Las Vegas Raiders
31.7%
68.3%
-235
+200
-250
+220
-5-110
+5½-115
-5½-108
+5½-108
29
19
-0.38877-0.36291-1.14797
Tennessee Titans
Houston Texans
67.2%
32.8%
+330
-410
+340
-400
+8-108
-8-105
+8½-110
-8-108
32
27
-1.49446-1.50851-0.39793
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.