NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Francisco 49ers
Cleveland Browns
44.0%
56.0%
-245
+207
-245
+210
-5-110
+5½-115
-5-110
+5½-108
26
8
-0.37753-0.37449-0.82082
Atlanta Falcons
New York Jets
70.0%
30.0%
-160
+140
-160
+145
-3+100
+3-116
-3-108
+3-108
24
27
-0.90701-0.91937-1.20544
New Orleans Saints
Miami Dolphins
67.5%
32.5%
+225
-260
+210
-245
+6-115
-5-118
+5½-108
-5½-106
17
21
-0.35489-0.37449-1.12248
Los Angeles Rams
Carolina Panthers
67.5%
32.5%
-490
+400
-470
+400
-10-110
+10-105
-10-108
+10-105
28
31
-1.63948-1.63368-1.12384
Jacksonville Jaguars
Tennessee Titans
10.6%
89.4%
-290
+240
-260
+245
-6-115
+6-105
-6-107
+6-108
25
3
-0.33328-0.33743-2.24432
Arizona Cardinals
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
28.8%
71.2%
+183
-215
+190
-208
+4-105
-4-115
+4-108
-4-108
17
20
-0.41720-0.41252-0.33996
Houston Texans
Indianapolis Colts
23.0%
77.0%
+148
-165
+150
-158
+3-104
-3-115
+3+100
-3-110
20
16
-0.93379-0.92862-1.46811
Chicago Bears
Philadelphia Eagles
49.9%
50.1%
+299
-360
+310
-360
+7½-110
-7-120
+7+105
-7-115
24
15
-1.41646-1.43717-0.69477
Cincinnati Bengals
Baltimore Ravens
11.6%
88.4%
+324
-410
+335
-375
+9-110
-8-110
+8+102
-7½-110
32
14
-1.48355-1.48935-2.15399
Kansas City Chiefs
Dallas Cowboys
83.2%
16.8%
-185
+172
-180
+165
-3½-105
+3½-113
-3½+100
+3½-110
28
31
-1.01724-0.99458-1.78302
Green Bay Packers
Detroit Lions
78.7%
21.3%
+145
-164
+150
-160
+3-105
-3-110
+3-105
-3-105
31
24
-0.92505-0.93156-0.24000
Carolina Panthers
San Francisco 49ers
34.0%
66.0%
+313
-395
+340
-370
+7½-115
-7½-105
+7+110
-7½-106
9
20
-0.26499-0.25363-0.41552
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Los Angeles Rams
52.9%
47.1%
+292
-365
+325
-350
+7+100
-7½+100
+7+105
-7-110
7
34
-0.28141-0.26429-0.75307
Philadelphia Eagles
Dallas Cowboys
47.0%
53.0%
-145
+130
-150
+140
-2½-115
+3-123
-2½-110
+3-114
21
24
-0.85918-0.89199-0.63526
Atlanta Falcons
New Orleans Saints
20.1%
79.9%
+105
-122
+105
-124
+1-105
-1½-110
+1½-108
-1½-105
24
10
-0.75451-0.75839-1.60485
Cleveland Browns
Las Vegas Raiders
49.5%
50.5%
+140
-160
+150
-157
+3-105
-3-110
+3+100
-3-108
24
10
-0.90701-0.92712-0.70409
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.