NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Jacksonville Jaguars
Arizona Cardinals
13.5%
86.5%
-125
+115
-117
+110
-2-105
+2½-118
-1½-108
+2-108
27
24
-0.60825-0.63297-2.00352
Indianapolis Colts
Kansas City Chiefs
26.3%
73.7%
+201
-240
+200
-225
+5-110
-4½-115
+4½-105
-4-110
20
23
-0.38571-0.39304-0.30555
Minnesota Vikings
Green Bay Packers
23.8%
76.2%
+230
-275
+245
-275
+6½-115
-6½-105
+6½-110
-6-108
6
23
-0.34588-0.33308-0.27215
Seattle Seahawks
Tennessee Titans
50.8%
49.2%
-800
+561
-850
+650
-11-110
+12½-110
-12½-108
+12½-108
30
24
-0.15718-0.13891-0.67767
New England Patriots
Cincinnati Bengals
65.9%
34.1%
-350
+280
-350
+320
-7-115
+7-105
-7-108
+7+100
26
20
-0.29144-0.26707-0.41703
New York Giants
Detroit Lions
42.6%
57.4%
+709
-1100
+750
-1100
+14+100
-14-115
+14+100
-14-108
27
34
-0.12649-0.12076-0.55483
New York Jets
Baltimore Ravens
9.1%
90.9%
+754
-1200
+800
-1100
+14-105
-14-115
+14+100
-13½-118
10
23
-0.11944-0.11441-0.09536
Pittsburgh Steelers
Chicago Bears
65.3%
34.7%
+125
-145
+135
-140
+2½+100
-2½-116
+3-115
-2½-110
28
31
-0.56016-0.54782-1.05716
Buffalo Bills
Houston Texans
72.0%
28.0%
-235
+200
-235
+225
-4½-105
+4½-110
-4½-105
+5-110
19
23
-1.13286-1.18780-1.27386
Dallas Cowboys
Las Vegas Raiders
36.2%
63.8%
-190
+170
-200
+175
-3½-104
+3½-110
-3½-105
+3½-105
33
16
-0.44809-0.43532-1.01683
Detroit Lions
Philadelphia Eagles
38.7%
61.3%
+120
-135
+125
-135
+2½-110
-2½-105
+3-110
-2½-102
9
16
-0.58291-0.57304-0.48864
Kansas City Chiefs
Denver Broncos
85.8%
14.2%
-210
+180
-210
+195
-4-110
+4-110
-4-108
+4-108
19
22
-1.06360-1.09808-1.95080
Baltimore Ravens
Cleveland Browns
64.4%
35.6%
-420
+347
-420
+370
-7½-105
+7½-115
-7½+100
+7½-105
23
16
-0.24449-0.23383-0.44069
San Francisco 49ers
Arizona Cardinals
40.5%
59.5%
-190
+170
-180
+170
-3½-104
+3½-110
-3½+100
+3½-110
41
22
-0.44809-0.45497-0.90394
Seattle Seahawks
Los Angeles Rams
49.0%
51.0%
+155
-170
+165
-175
+3+105
-3½-105
+3½-110
-3½+100
19
21
-0.48418-0.46561-0.67293
Los Angeles Chargers
Jacksonville Jaguars
68.5%
31.5%
-139
+125
-150
+130
-2½-110
+2½-110
-2½-110
+3-120
6
35
-0.83665-0.86710-1.15363
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.