NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Los Angeles Chargers (7-9)
Pittsburgh Steelers (12-4)
Unknown
Unknown
20.7%
79.3%
+105
-120
+107
-125
+1-104
-1-110
+1½-108
-1½-108
13.9
24.6
38.5
o36-105
u36-110
o35½-110
u36-110
Chicago Bears (8-8)
Indianapolis Colts (11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
28.6%
71.4%
+110
-130
+105
-120
+1+100
-2-110
+1½-110
-1-108
15.7
22.5
38.2
o43½-110
u44-110
o43½-110
u43½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Houston Texans (4-12)
Minnesota Vikings (7-9)
Unknown
Unknown
34.5%
65.5%
-130
+115
-130
+120
-2-105
+2-105
-2-108
+2-108
21.2
25.4
46.6
o46-113
u46-105
o46-110
u46-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
New York Giants (6-10)
Cleveland Browns (11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
27.2%
72.8%
+250
-290
+250
-285
+6½-105
-6½-114
+6½-108
-6½-108
21.4
28.6
50.0
o38½-110
u39½-110
o39-110
u39½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Philadelphia Eagles (4-11-1)
New Orleans Saints (12-4)
Unknown
Unknown
16.4%
83.6%
+128
-145
+131
-150
+2½-101
-2½-115
+3-110
-2½-120
17.7
31.5
49.2
o49½-105
u49-105
o49½-110
u49½-110
Denver Broncos (5-11)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
14.3%
85.7%
+240
-285
+264
-310
+6½-110
-6½-110
+6½+100
-6½-110
15.2
30.7
45.9
o41-105
u41-110
o41-110
u41-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Green Bay Packers (13-3)
Tennessee Titans (11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
55.0%
45.0%
+125
-145
+130
-140
+2½+100
-2½-118
+2½+102
-2½-110
23.4
21.3
44.7
o38½-110
u38-105
o37½-110
u38-110
Carolina Panthers (5-11)
Las Vegas Raiders (8-8)
Unknown
Unknown
38.1%
61.9%
+200
-240
+210
-220
+5-105
-5-110
+5-110
-4½-108
23.4
26.6
50.0
o40-110
u40-110
o40-110
u40-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Miami Dolphins (10-6)
Seattle Seahawks (12-4)
Unknown
Unknown
29.3%
70.7%
+185
-215
+195
-215
+4½-110
-4½-106
+4½-108
-4½-108
23.3
30.1
53.4
o41-115
u41½-110
o41½-110
u42½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Detroit Lions (5-11)
Arizona Cardinals (8-8)
Unknown
Unknown
25.9%
74.1%
-145
+135
-145
+130
-2½-120
+2½+105
-2½-110
+3-115
20.7
28.0
48.7
o51½-110
u51½-110
o51½-110
u52-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Baltimore Ravens (11-5)
Dallas Cowboys (6-10)
Unknown
Unknown
75.7%
24.3%
-115
-105
-115
+100
-1-110
+1-110
-1-108
+1-108
28.3
20.4
48.7
o47½-115
u48-110
o48-110
u48½-110
San Francisco 49ers (6-10)
Los Angeles Rams (10-6)
Unknown
Unknown
32.5%
67.5%
-285
+250
-280
+260
-6½-110
+6+100
-6½-108
+7-120
24.1
28.9
53.0
o43-115
u43½-110
o43-110
u44-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Kansas City Chiefs (14-2)
Atlanta Falcons (4-12)
Unknown
Unknown
77.8%
22.2%
-165
+145
-155
+145
-3-115
+3½-123
-3-108
+3-108
33.0
23.4
56.4
o46½-105
u46½-110
o46½-110
u46½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Games for Sep 21, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Detroit Lions
Los Angeles Chargers
39.9%
60.1%
-130
+135
-130
+120
-2-106
+3-120
-2-110
+2-110
41
38
-0.56124-0.59012-0.91789
Atlanta Falcons
Arizona Cardinals
36.3%
63.7%
-130
+115
-130
+120
-2-110
+1+103
-2-110
+2½-110
23
25
-0.79536-0.80802-0.45051
Tennessee Titans
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
34.7%
65.3%
+125
-145
+130
-140
+2½+100
-2½-119
+2½+100
-2½-110
6
20
-0.56016-0.55696-0.42679
Green Bay Packers
Pittsburgh Steelers
49.9%
50.1%
+155
-170
+148
-165
+3½-115
-3-119
+3+100
-3-110
19
23
-0.48418-0.49933-0.69053
New Orleans Saints
Minnesota Vikings
69.9%
30.1%
-150
+140
-150
+135
-3-105
+3-110
-3-105
+3-110
19
27
-0.89199-0.87962-1.19928
San Francisco 49ers
Jacksonville Jaguars
77.8%
22.2%
-165
+150
-160
+155
-3-115
+3+100
-3-110
+3+100
34
3
-0.49617-0.49303-0.25130
Houston Texans
Cincinnati Bengals
56.4%
43.6%
+220
-240
+215
-235
+6-115
-5½-110
+5½-110
-5½-110
30
27
-1.18136-1.16616-0.57275
Cleveland Browns
Baltimore Ravens
26.3%
73.7%
+225
-240
+237
-260
+6-105
-5½-110
+6-110
-6-110
33
31
-1.19214-1.23368-1.33747
Indianapolis Colts
New England Patriots
64.2%
35.8%
-120
+110
-120
+110
-1-115
+2+100
-1½-110
+2-110
10
6
-0.62755-0.62755-0.44328
Carolina Panthers
Chicago Bears
38.8%
61.2%
+155
-173
+160
-170
+3+105
-3½+100
+3½-110
-3-110
13
16
-0.48170-0.47678-0.49071
Los Angeles Chargers
New York Jets
63.4%
36.6%
-170
+159
-170
+160
-3-120
+3+100
-3-110
+3+100
27
6
-0.47823-0.47678-0.45549
Buffalo Bills
Cincinnati Bengals
80.6%
19.4%
+110
-123
+110
-125
+0+103
-1½-110
+2-110
-1½-110
18
24
-0.62237-0.61904-1.63974
Dallas Cowboys
Philadelphia Eagles
42.0%
58.0%
+150
-170
+150
-165
+3+100
-3-119
+3+100
-3-110
23
28
-0.49182-0.49617-0.54478
New York Giants
Las Vegas Raiders
31.3%
68.7%
+105
-123
+110
-120
+0+103
-1½-110
+1½-110
-1-110
6
30
-0.63360-0.62755-0.37580
Indianapolis Colts
Carolina Panthers
67.0%
33.0%
-123
+105
-120
+106
-1-110
+0+103
-1-110
+1½-110
27
13
-0.63360-0.63656-0.40085
Chicago Bears
New Orleans Saints
19.6%
80.4%
+350
-415
+368
-440
+9-110
-10+105
+9-110
-9-110
17
24
-0.24355-0.23289-0.21875
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks168-8 (0.500)0-0.78021 
Sportsbooks168-7 (0.531)1-0.77730 
DRatings1610-6 (0.625)0-0.68033
0.09988
0.09697

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.