NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Carolina Panthers
Atlanta Falcons
38.1%
61.9%
+192
-230
+195
-215
+4½-105
-4½-110
+4½-108
-4-110
30
27
-1.11024-1.10310-0.96440
Chicago Bears
Minnesota Vikings
41.4%
58.6%
+135
-155
+135
-150
+3-120
-3+100
+3-110
-2½-120
19
17
-0.88724-0.87962-0.88153
Houston Texans
Tennessee Titans
23.9%
76.1%
-245
+210
-240
+210
-5-110
+5-110
-4½-110
+5½-110
16
13
-0.37449-0.37637-1.43112
Cincinnati Bengals
Pittsburgh Steelers
13.7%
86.3%
+215
-250
+210
-240
+6-115
-5½-112
+5½-108
-5½-108
12
34
-0.36772-0.37637-0.14694
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Buffalo Bills
49.0%
51.0%
+250
-290
+260
-295
+6½-105
-6½-110
+6½-108
-6½-108
32
44
-0.32515-0.31623-0.67272
Green Bay Packers
New York Giants
79.9%
20.1%
-360
+320
-380
+330
-7½-110
+7½-110
-7½-108
+7½-105
27
20
-0.26562-0.25755-0.22388
Washington Football Team
Miami Dolphins
37.0%
63.0%
+130
-142
+125
-135
+2½-110
-2½-107
+2½+100
-2-108
13
16
-0.55443-0.57304-0.46258
New York Jets
New England Patriots
20.2%
79.8%
+574
-800
+550
-680
+13-115
-13+100
+12½-105
-12½-105
14
27
-0.15436-0.16252-0.22596
Philadelphia Eagles
Green Bay Packers
18.2%
81.8%
-105
-115
-105
-105
+0-110
+0-110
+0-105
+0-105
10
7
-0.71505-0.69315-1.70617
Pittsburgh Steelers
Los Angeles Chargers
71.1%
28.9%
+175
-195
+170
-180
+3½-115
-3½-105
+3+110
-3-120
10
25
-0.43833-0.45497-1.24247
Los Angeles Rams
San Francisco 49ers
57.2%
42.8%
-265
+220
-240
+240
-6-110
+6-110
-5½-115
+6½-110
42
26
-0.35798-0.34831-0.55926
Detroit Lions
Washington Football Team
40.5%
59.5%
-435
+344
-420
+350
-8-108
+8-105
-7½-108
+8-110
44
22
-0.24452-0.24305-0.90500
Arizona Cardinals
Seattle Seahawks
32.2%
67.8%
+295
-365
+300
-345
+7½-115
-7-115
+7+100
-7-110
22
44
-0.27954-0.27950-0.38787
New York Giants
Chicago Bears
31.9%
68.1%
+192
-225
+190
-210
+4½-110
-4½-110
+4½-108
-4-108
20
24
-0.40191-0.41146-0.38446
New England Patriots
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
23.8%
76.2%
+130
-150
+135
-150
+2½+100
-2½-118
+3-110
-2½-118
28
23
-0.86710-0.87962-1.43717
Baltimore Ravens
Minnesota Vikings
66.6%
33.4%
-240
+203
-220
+200
-5-110
+4½-103
-4½-109
+5-108
27
19
-0.38359-0.39531-0.40594
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.