NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Baltimore Ravens
Pittsburgh Steelers
49.2%
50.8%
-180
+160
-175
+160
-3½+105
+3-102
-3-116
+3½-110
16
18
-0.98262-0.97625-0.67643
Los Angeles Rams
New England Patriots
59.5%
40.5%
-207
+177
-190
+184
-4-110
+4-110
-4-108
+4-108
28
22
-0.42880-0.43012-0.51847
Cleveland Browns
New Orleans Saints
23.5%
76.5%
-119
+105
-115
+105
-1-110
+1+100
-1-108
+1½-110
14
35
-0.74855-0.74028-0.26751
Green Bay Packers
Chicago Bears
70.0%
30.0%
-275
+230
-265
+235
-6-110
+6-110
-6-108
+6-108
20
19
-0.34588-0.34441-0.35705
Washington Football Team
Philadelphia Eagles
42.6%
57.4%
+187
-217
+200
-225
+4½-110
-4-113
+4½-102
-4-110
18
26
-0.41145-0.39304-0.55593
Miami Dolphins
Los Angeles Rams
33.2%
66.8%
+115
-130
+115
-128
+2-110
-2½-105
+2-108
-2-108
23
15
-0.79536-0.79164-1.10289
Detroit Lions
Houston Texans
40.4%
59.6%
-220
+190
-204
+195
-4-110
+4-110
-4-105
+4-108
26
23
-0.40651-0.40889-0.90520
New York Jets
Arizona Cardinals
16.3%
83.7%
-140
+120
-130
+115
-2-110
+2-106
-1½-110
+2-108
6
31
-0.82563-0.79536-0.17827
Philadelphia Eagles
Dallas Cowboys
47.0%
53.0%
-310
+270
-296
+290
-7+100
+7½-125
-7+100
+7+100
34
6
-0.30562-0.29493-0.75460
Tennessee Titans
Los Angeles Chargers
66.7%
33.3%
+345
-425
+332
-400
+8½-110
-8½-110
+8½-108
-8½-108
17
27
-0.24498-0.25414-1.09964
New England Patriots
Chicago Bears
47.2%
52.8%
+240
-285
+250
-270
+6½-115
-6-110
+6½-108
-6-110
19
3
-1.25758-1.26808-0.75084
San Francisco 49ers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
25.6%
74.4%
-285
+240
-275
+260
-6½-108
+6½-110
-6½-108
+6½-108
23
20
-0.33455-0.32121-1.36340
Denver Broncos
Kansas City Chiefs
9.6%
90.4%
+285
-320
+300
-330
+7-115
-7-104
+7-105
-7-110
14
16
-0.29335-0.28198-0.10122
Atlanta Falcons
New Orleans Saints
20.1%
79.9%
-197
+172
-185
+175
-4-110
+3½-104
-3½-110
+4-108
17
20
-1.03111-1.02427-0.22429
Pittsburgh Steelers
Washington Football Team
71.6%
28.4%
+105
-122
+110
-125
+1½-110
-1½-110
+2-108
-2-108
28
27
-0.75451-0.77319-0.33445
Minnesota Vikings
Jacksonville Jaguars
76.3%
23.7%
-325
+270
-320
+272
-7-110
+7-110
-7-108
+7-108
12
7
-0.30265-0.30220-0.26986
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.