NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Jacksonville Jaguars
Houston Texans
23.2%
76.8%
+105
-125
+105
-115
+0+100
-1½-110
+1½-110
-1-104
29
36
-0.63023-0.64814-0.26437
Buffalo Bills
Miami Dolphins
60.2%
39.8%
-410
+340
-420
+350
-7½-110
+8-115
-7½-108
+8-110
13
30
-1.51231-1.53354-0.92218
New Orleans Saints
Carolina Panthers
76.9%
23.1%
+211
-240
+210
-240
+5-110
-4½-115
+5½-110
-5-108
17
7
-1.16168-1.15948-0.26282
Cleveland Browns
New York Jets
74.0%
26.0%
-125
+110
-130
+115
-2-110
+1½-105
-2-108
+2-108
20
27
-0.77319-0.79536-1.34869
Atlanta Falcons
Indianapolis Colts
34.0%
66.0%
+226
-275
+240
-260
+5½-105
-6-105
+6½-115
-5½-108
25
31
-0.34946-0.34163-0.41505
Las Vegas Raiders
Denver Broncos
58.0%
42.0%
+334
-420
+390
-400
+8½-105
-9-105
+8½-105
-8½-105
7
10
-0.25096-0.22721-0.86838
Arizona Cardinals
Dallas Cowboys
61.5%
38.5%
+155
-171
+160
-175
+3½-117
-3-120
+3½-110
-3-115
27
17
-0.95899-0.97625-0.48591
Seattle Seahawks
Washington Football Team
72.5%
27.5%
-144
+125
-140
+130
-2½-115
+2½-105
-2½-110
+3-110
38
14
-0.56138-0.55696-0.32183
Kansas City Chiefs
Buffalo Bills
60.0%
40.0%
-135
+116
-130
+120
-2½-105
+2½-110
-1½-110
+2½-105
21
28
-0.80685-0.80802-0.91637
New Orleans Saints
Los Angeles Rams
56.2%
43.8%
+754
-1100
+800
-1250
+14½-110
-14-114
+14½-108
-14-115
10
34
-0.12021-0.11333-0.82606
Jacksonville Jaguars
Las Vegas Raiders
18.0%
82.0%
-130
+115
-125
+110
-1½-110
+2-110
-1½-108
+2-109
30
29
-0.60042-0.61904-1.71408
Los Angeles Chargers
Tennessee Titans
24.3%
75.7%
-490
+396
-520
+440
-9½-115
+9½-104
-10+100
+9½+100
27
20
-0.21734-0.19951-1.41502
Denver Broncos
Houston Texans
39.0%
61.0%
+120
-140
+110
-130
+2½-110
-2½-110
+2-108
-2-108
18
15
-0.82563-0.78250-0.94089
Minnesota Vikings
Detroit Lions
59.0%
41.0%
+383
-490
+400
-475
+9½-105
-9½-110
+10-110
-9½-108
27
24
-1.61169-1.63522-0.52782
Carolina Panthers
Green Bay Packers
17.9%
82.1%
+574
-700
+650
-800
+13-110
-13-104
+13-108
-12½-110
16
13
-1.93116-2.03692-1.72076
Indianapolis Colts
Pittsburgh Steelers
40.6%
59.4%
-165
+149
-155
+145
-3-115
+3+100
-3-108
+3+100
20
27
-0.93624-0.91198-0.52118
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.