NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Los Angeles Chargers (7-9)
Pittsburgh Steelers (12-4)
Unknown
Unknown
20.7%
79.3%
+106
-120
+107
-125
+1-103
-1-110
+1½-108
-1½-108
13.9
24.6
38.5
o36-110
u36-105
o36-110
u36-110
Chicago Bears (8-8)
Indianapolis Colts (11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
28.6%
71.4%
-105
-115
-105
-108
+0-110
+0-110
+1-110
+0-108
15.7
22.5
38.2
o43½-110
u44-110
o43½-110
u43½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Houston Texans (4-12)
Minnesota Vikings (7-9)
Unknown
Unknown
34.5%
65.5%
-130
+115
-130
+120
-2-105
+2-105
-2-108
+2-108
21.2
25.4
46.6
o46-113
u46-105
o46-110
u46-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
New York Giants (6-10)
Cleveland Browns (11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
27.2%
72.8%
+250
-290
+250
-285
+6½-106
-6½-110
+6½-108
-6½-108
21.3
28.4
49.7
o38½-110
u38-105
o38½-110
u39-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Philadelphia Eagles (4-11-1)
New Orleans Saints (12-4)
Unknown
Unknown
16.4%
83.6%
+130
-148
+131
-150
+3-120
-2½-119
+3-110
-2½-120
17.7
31.5
49.2
o49½-105
u49-105
o49½-110
u49½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Denver Broncos (5-11)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
14.3%
85.7%
+240
-285
+264
-310
+6½-109
-6½-110
+6½+100
-6½-110
15.2
30.7
45.9
o41-105
u41-110
o41-110
u41-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Green Bay Packers (13-3)
Tennessee Titans (11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
55.0%
45.0%
+135
-150
+130
-140
+3-115
-2½-121
+2½+102
-2½-110
23.4
21.3
44.7
o38½-110
u38+100
o37½-110
u38-110
Carolina Panthers (5-11)
Las Vegas Raiders (8-8)
Unknown
Unknown
38.1%
61.9%
+215
-255
+225
-255
+6-110
-5½-115
+6-108
-5½-110
23.4
26.6
50.0
o40-110
u40-110
o40-110
u40-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Miami Dolphins (10-6)
Seattle Seahawks (12-4)
Unknown
Unknown
29.3%
70.7%
+185
-215
+195
-215
+4½-114
-4½-105
+4½-108
-4½-108
23.3
30.1
53.4
o41½-110
u41½-105
o41½-110
u42½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Detroit Lions (5-11)
Arizona Cardinals (8-8)
Unknown
Unknown
25.9%
74.1%
-145
+135
-145
+130
-2½-120
+2½+105
-2½-110
+3-115
20.7
28.0
48.7
o51½-110
u52-110
o51½-110
u52-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Baltimore Ravens (11-5)
Dallas Cowboys (6-10)
Unknown
Unknown
75.7%
24.3%
-115
-105
-115
+100
-1-110
+1-110
-1-108
+1-108
28.3
20.4
48.7
o47½-110
u48-115
o47½-110
u47½-110
San Francisco 49ers (6-10)
Los Angeles Rams (10-6)
Unknown
Unknown
32.5%
67.5%
-285
+250
-280
+260
-6½-110
+6+100
-6½-108
+7-120
24.1
28.9
53.0
o43-115
u43½-110
o43-110
u44-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Kansas City Chiefs (14-2)
Atlanta Falcons (4-12)
Unknown
Unknown
77.8%
22.2%
-162
+145
-163
+145
-3-114
+3-105
-3-108
+3-108
33.0
23.4
56.4
o46½-105
u46½-110
o46½-110
u46½-110
Games for Sep 21, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
New York Jets
New York Giants
32.6%
67.4%
-160
+141
-165
+150
-3-110
+3-105
-3-110
+3-105
13
10
-0.51539-0.49617-1.12129
New England Patriots
Miami Dolphins
41.3%
58.7%
+300
-350
+330
-350
+7½-110
-7½-108
+8-110
-7½+100
17
31
-0.27871-0.26160-0.53341
Los Angeles Rams
Dallas Cowboys
69.3%
30.7%
+260
-290
+260
-295
+7-115
-7+100
+7-110
-7+100
20
43
-0.31741-0.31623-1.18123
Philadelphia Eagles
Washington Football Team
46.4%
53.6%
-310
+283
-320
+300
-7½+110
+7-115
-7-110
+7-110
38
31
-0.29664-0.28377-0.76865
Houston Texans
Carolina Panthers
43.1%
56.9%
-170
+155
-175
+160
-3½+100
+3+100
-3½+100
+3½-110
13
15
-0.95763-0.97625-0.56368
Jacksonville Jaguars
Pittsburgh Steelers
8.8%
91.2%
-130
+125
-130
+120
-2-110
+2½-105
-2-110
+2½-110
20
10
-0.58016-0.59012-2.43144
New Orleans Saints
Indianapolis Colts
56.8%
43.2%
-130
+123
-130
+125
-2-114
+1+103
-2-110
+2½-110
38
27
-0.58410-0.58016-0.56555
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Buffalo Bills
49.0%
51.0%
+400
-475
+425
-475
+10-110
-10-107
+10-110
-9½-110
18
24
-0.21680-0.20749-0.67272
San Francisco 49ers
Minnesota Vikings
46.5%
53.5%
-290
+255
-320
+272
-6½-110
+6½-105
-6½-110
+7-110
17
22
-1.29193-1.34396-0.62554
Miami Dolphins
Philadelphia Eagles
55.8%
44.2%
+149
-162
+150
-155
+3-110
-3-110
+3-105
-3-110
17
31
-0.50048-0.50566-0.81724
Green Bay Packers
Denver Broncos
79.6%
20.4%
+105
-122
+108
-115
+1-105
-1½-110
+1½-110
-1-110
17
19
-0.63533-0.64124-1.59160
Los Angeles Chargers
Kansas City Chiefs
12.0%
88.0%
+220
-240
+240
-260
+5½-105
-5½-110
+6-110
-5½-110
17
31
-0.36652-0.34163-0.12775
Pittsburgh Steelers
Los Angeles Rams
47.9%
52.1%
+155
-175
+155
-170
+3½-110
-3½+100
+3½-110
-3½+100
24
17
-0.96420-0.95763-0.73702
Arizona Cardinals
Seattle Seahawks
32.2%
67.8%
+360
-440
+375
-430
+9-106
-10½+110
+9½-110
-9-110
10
20
-0.23649-0.23071-0.38787
Washington Football Team
New York Giants
50.6%
49.4%
-160
+140
-155
+135
-3-105
+3-110
-3-110
+3-105
7
14
-0.90701-0.88724-0.70443
Buffalo Bills
New England Patriots
63.3%
36.7%
-350
+320
-370
+335
-7½-110
+8-110
-7½-110
+8-110
25
29
-1.45081-1.48713-1.00179
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks168-8 (0.500)0-0.78021 
Sportsbooks168-7 (0.531)1-0.77730 
DRatings1610-6 (0.625)0-0.68033
0.09988
0.09697

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.